Upcoming Match-ups

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Odds, Player Props, Expert Picks & Predictions for Game 4

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 31, 2023 · 9:09 AM PDT

Texas Rangers right fielder Adolis Garcia reacts to an injury in Game 3 of the 2023 World Series
Oct 30, 2023; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Texas Rangers right fielder Adolis Garcia (53) reacts after after suffering an injury in the eighth inning of game three of the 2023 World Series against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks look to even the 2023 World Series with the Texas Rangers at two games all in Game 4 on Tuesday, Oct. 31
  • The DBacks send reliever Joe Mantiply out as an opener while the Rangers roll with Andrew Heaney
  • See the Rangers vs Diamondbacks Game 4 odds, player props, and expert picks for Tuesday’s game at Chase Field

It could prove to be a Pyrrhic victory with both Max Scherzer and Adolis Garcia leaving the game due to injury, but the Texas Rangers (100-76, 49-41 away) earned a 3-1 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks (94-83, 46-40 home) last night and now hold a 2-1 edge in the 2023 World Series heading into Game 4 on Tuesday (8:03 pm ET).

Neither team will be terribly confident in its pitching situation heading into Game 4, and oddsmakers once again see it as a coinflip.

Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Game 4 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Texas Rangers -110 -1.5 (+145) O 9.5 (+100)
Arizona Diamondbacks -110 +1.5 (-175) U 9.5 (-120)

Like Monday, Texas and Arizona are both -110 on the moneyline in another pick’em game on Tuesday. Despite yesterday’s game staying well under the total of 9.0, the run total for Game 4 has ticked up by half a run to 9.5.

The MLB public betting splits so far show Texas getting the majority of moneyline handle (58%) while the under is getting most of the money bet on the total (58% as well).

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win

Not Available in NV, NY, NC, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: DIME1500
CODE: DIME1500
SIGNUP BONUS
GET $1,500
BACK

BET NOW

Odds as Oct. 31 on the BetMGM Sportsbook app. If you’ve already signed up at BetMGM, see the latest on the upcoming ESPN Bet sportsbook. 

The injuries to Garcia and Scherzer notwithstanding, the Rangers are now -298 favorites to win their first championship in the updated World Series odds. Arizona faded from +116 to +245 after Monday’s loss.

YouTube video

DBacks vs Rangers Game 4 Starting Pitchers

Mostly relegated to the bullpen for the better part of the past two months, Andrew Heaney will get his second start of the postseason on Tuesday. The 32-year-old has a 6.00 playoff ERA over just six innings pitched. He lasted just 3.2 innings in his first postseason start against Baltimore back on October 7, giving up one run on two hits and a walk while striking out one.

Reliever Mantiply has pitched 6.1 innings over eight appearances in the 2023 playoffs. He carries a 4.25 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Five of his eight appearances lasted less than a full inning while only one saw Mantiply record more than three outs (1.1 IP against the Dodgers in Game 3).

Andrew Heaney vs Joe Mantiply

Heaney
VS
Mantiply
10-6* Record 3-2
4.15 ERA 4.62
4.55 xERA 3.82
1.38 WHIP 1.13
23.6% SO% 17.8%

*All statistics in table from 2023 regular season. 

There is very limited history between Mantiply and the Ranger hitters, but the top of the order – Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, and likely Evan Carter slotting into the number-three hole if Garcia can’t go – is 3-for-7 off the 6’4 lefty.

There is a little more history between Heaney and the Arizona lineup, but still little to go on. In 38 total at-bats, the DBack hitters have a just a .211 average but a .526 slugging percentage thanks to four home runs. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have both taken Heaney deep twice.

Texas vs Arizona Player Props (Game 4)

Player 1+ Home Run  Hits RBIs Pitcher Strikeouts Outs Recorded Hits Allowed
Alek Thomas +1000 0.5 (-145o/+110u) 0.5 (+260o/-380u) N/A N/A N/A
Christian Walker +380 0.5 (-205o/+155u)  0.5 (+145o/-195u) N/A N/A N/A
Corbin Carroll +900 0.5 (-235o/+170u)  0.5 (+205o/-285u) N/A N/A N/A
Corey Seager +320 1.5 (+180o/-250u)  0.5 (+130o/-175u) N/A N/A N/A
Evan Carter +750 0.5 (-180o/+135u)  0.5 (+210o/-295u) N/A N/A N/A
Evan Longoria +500 0.5 (-125o/-105u)  0.5 (+220o/-310u) N/A N/A N/A
Gabriel Moreno +800 0.5 (-265o/+190u)  0.5 (+160o/-220u) N/A N/A N/A
Geraldo Perdomo +2100* 0.5 (-130o/+100u)  0.5 (+320o/-475u) N/A N/A N/A
Jonah Heim +550 0.5 (-215o/+155u)  0.5 (+170o/-230u) N/A N/A N/A
Josh Jung +550 0.5 (-230o/+170u)  0.5 (+165o/-225u) N/A N/A N/A
Ketel Marte +400 0.5 (+170o/-240u)  0.5 (+155o/-215u) N/A N/A N/A
Leody Taveras +750 0.5 (-200o/+145u) 0.5 (+210o/-295u) N/A N/A N/A
Lourdes Gurriel Jr +650 0.5 (-280o/+200u)  0.5 (+160o/-215u) N/A N/A N/A
Marcus Semien +550 1.5 (+170o/-235u)  0.5 (+175o/-235u) N/A N/A N/A
Mitch Garver +400 0.5 (-210o/+155u)  0.5 (+155o/-210u) N/A N/A N/A
Nathaniel Lowe +600 0.5 (-170o/+125u)  0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A N/A
Tommy Pham +500 0.5 (-225o/+165u)  0.5 (+180o/-245u) N/A N/A N/A
Andrew Heaney N/A N/A N/A 2.5 (-150/+115u) 9.5 (+115o/-145u) 3.5 (+125o/-165u)
Joe Mantiply N/A N/A N/A OFF OFF OFF

*Perdomo’s home run odds from Caesars Sportsbook. All others odds in the MLB props table from DraftKings.

With Mantiply expected to go just an inning – four or five outs at the most – Heaney is the only starter on the board in the Game 4 player props. The erstwhile starter has a strikeout prop of just 2.5 and an outs-recorded number of 9.5. He would need one out in the fourth inning to go over.

With Garcia off the board, the shortest home run odds belong to teammate Corey Seager (+320) who has already gone yard twice in the first three games of the series, and three times in his past four, also homering in Game 7 of the ALCS against Houston.

Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Game 4 Predictions

While most of his outings in this span have been in relief, Heaney hasn’t recorded more than two strikeouts in nine straight appearances. After the Texas bullpen accounted for six innings on Monday, Bruce Bochy will undoubtedly be hoping for some length out of Heaney in Game 4 on Tuesday. But he was pitching relatively well in Game 1 of the NLDS with Baltimore and was still yanked after just 56 pitches and 11 outs.

While Texas is now a perfect 9-0 on the road in the 2023 playoffs, they were the only AL team to make the postseason with a losing record away from home in the regular season, and with the MVP of the ALCS (Garcia) at less than 100% if he plays at all, expect the Rangers to come back to the realm of mortals on Tuesday night.

Rangers vs DBacks Picks for Game 4:

  • Diamondbacks moneyline (-110)
  • Heaney under 2.5 strikeouts (+115)
  • Ketel Marte over 0.5 RBI (+155)

 

 

Author Image