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Reds vs Blue Jays Odds and Picks (May 21)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

May 20, 2022 · 9:09 PM PDT

Bo Bichette swing
May 20, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette (11) hits an RBI double against the Cincinnati Reds in the fifth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Blue Jays are -250 home favorites over the Reds on Saturday
  • Alek Manoah (4-1, 1.71) will start for Toronto against rookie Hunter Greene (1-6, 6.21)
  • A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Toronto Blue Jays look to continue their winning ways when they host the Cincinnati Reds at 3:07pm ET Saturday at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays (21-18, 13-7 home) notched a 2-1 victory Friday night in the opener of the three-game series for their third win in four games after losing six of seven. The Reds (11-27, 6-18 road) were coming off a two-game road sweep of the Cleveland Guardians.

Reds vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +200 +1.5 (+100) Over 8 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -250 -1.5 (-120) Under 8 (-110)

Odds as of May 20th at BetMGM.

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As -250 favorites, the Blue Jays have an implied win probability of 71.43% The Blue Jays have +900 World Series odds, but the Reds are listed at +9000.

The roof will likely be closed at Rogers Centre as the weather forecast calls for a rainy Saturday.

Probable Pitchers

Rookie Hunter Greene (1-6, 6.21) is scheduled to pitch for the Reds against Alek Manoah (4-1, 1.71). Both will be working on five days of rest.

Greene vs Manoah Stats

Hunter Greene
VS
Alek Manoah
1-6 Record 4-1
6.21 ERA 1.71
4.54 xERA 2.39
1.56 WHIP 0.88
2.20 SO/W 4.33

Greene is coming off a heartbreaking loss last Sunday in which he held the Pirates hitless for 7.1 innings but was charged with the game’s only run after walking the first two batters in the eighth inning. He had nine strikeouts and five walks while losing his sixth straight start.

Greene will be facing the Blue Jays for the first time. So far this season, he is 1-4 with a 6.57 ERA in five starts on the road and has a 1-2 record and 7.20 in three starts in the daylight.

Manoah took his first loss of the season Sunday against the Rays at Tampa Bay, despite turning in a quality start. In six innings, he allowed three runs (one earned), five hits and no walks to go with four strikeouts.

At Rogers Centre this season, Manoah is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three starts. He has made five starts in day games, going 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA.

This will be Manoah’s first career appearance against the Reds. He has +1100 AL Cy Young odds.

Reds vs Blue Jays Betting Outlook

The Blue Jays improved to 11-6 in one-run games this season with Friday night’s win and lead the major leagues in that category.

Toronto broke a scoreless tie in the fifth inning. George Springer had an RBI single and scored on Bo Bichette’s double.

The Reds got their run in the seventh on Matt Reynolds’ single. He had three of Cincinnati’s eight hits.

The Reds are 1-6 in one-run games and have the fewest wins in those situations in the majors this season.

Reds first baseman Joey Votto came off the COVID-19 IL and was 1-for-4 with a double for just his second extra-base hit of 2022. He played in his first game in his native Canada since 2017.

Cincinnati reliever Joel Kuhnel, infielder Brandon Drury and outfielder Albert Almora Jr. were placed on the restricted list. They were unable to cross the Canadian border because they are not vaccinated against COVID-19.

Blue Jays left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sat out the game with a tight left hamstring and is questionable for Saturday.

The Blue Jays swept a three-game series in the teams’ last meeting in 2017 before Friday.

Reds vs Blue Jays Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/20/22 Blue Jays Reds TOR, 2-1
5/31/17 Blue Jays Reds TOR, 5-4
5/30/17 Blue Jays Reds TOR, 6-4
5/29/17 Blue Jays Reds TOR, 17-2
6/22/14 Reds Blue Jays CIN, 4-3
6/21/14 Reds Blue Jays CIN, 11-1
6/20/14 Reds Blue Jays TOR, 14-9
6/19/11 Reds Blue Jays CIN, 2-1
6/18/11 Reds Blue Jays TOR, 4-0
6/17/11 Reds Blue Jays TOR, 3-2

Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction

Even though Greene didn’t allow a hit in his last start, it’s tough to buck Manoah, especially at home. The Blue Jays are the play here even laying a huge number.

Pick: Blue Jays ML -250

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