Updated NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds After NFL Draft

• The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have shifted following the 1st Round of the Draft
• Ty Simpson is the biggest faller moving from +1200 to +3000, while Jadarian Price is the biggest riser moving from +2500 to +1300
• The updated NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds can be found below

Following the first round of the NFL Draft, the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds look eerily similar at the top to before any names were called. The only difference now is, we know who some of the top offensive freshmen will be playing for.

Jeremiyah Love, the third selection by the Cardinals, remains the +280 favorite. He’s followed by number-one overall pick Fernando Mendoza of the Raiders, and the fourth selection Carnell Tate of the Titans. Jordyn Tyson, now of the Saints, has the fourth-shortest odds, while Makai Lemon of the Eagles rounds out the top five.

2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

The top-five in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds remains exactly the same as before Draft night, price included. Ty Simpson initially boasted the sixth shortest odds at +1200, but his stock plumetted to +3000 after being selected by the Rams. At the other end of the spectrum, Jadarian Price saw his odds cut nearly in half, going from +2500 to +1300 after being taken by the Seahawks.

Outside of Simpson and Price, the only other changes to the top-14 in this NFL Futures market were Mike Washington Jr., and Emmett Johnson seeing their odds lengthened by a few points.

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of April 23. Grab the FanDuel promo code before placing any NFL futures bets.

Simpson Real-Life Rise Causes Odds to Crater

Raise your hand if you had Ty Simpson going inside the top-15 picks in the NFL Draft odds? The lone person beating that drum was Todd McShay, and he nailed not only that but the team and exact draft slot. Simpson being drafted to the Rams is one of the best-case scenarios for his football career, but it absolutely craters his chances in this market.

The reason is simple. He’s now the heir apparent to Matthew Stafford who’s not going anywhere in 2026. The reigning NFL MVP is still under contract through the 2026 season and is reportedly working on an extension to finish his career in LA. The only way Simpson is getting on the field and in contention for the OROY award is if Stafford goes down, and that’s not a bet you can wisely make.

Love Is not the Answer

If you bought Love stock in this market before the Draft, seeing him wind up in Arizona has got to be a stomach punch. The Cardinals are a mess offensively, and boast one of the lowest projections in the NFL win totals. Love is going to be on the field a ton so there should be no shortage of opportunity, the problem is he’s not going to have much help around him.

There is no reliable QB in place as Jacoby Brissett is holding out, meaning they could go into the season with Gardner Mindshew as QB 1. As concerning as that is, the offensive line is an even bigger issue. Arizona graded out 26th along the offensive line in 2025, yielding a 39.3% pressure rate, and allowing 19% of the team’s rushes to be stuffed.

The Card ranked 26th in EPA per rush and 28th in rushing touchdowns, and while Love will certainly improve those metrics, it’s hard to win an award when you’re being hit in the backfield on every other run.

The Price Is Right

I’d also fade Mendoza to win OROY as Las Vegas invested significant capital in Kirk Cousins to be their Day 1 starter, and would like the Indiana product to sit for the bulk of the season to learn under the veteran.

No running back has won the offensive rookie of the year since Saquon Barkley in 2018, but allow me to make the case for Price, Love’s teammate at Notre Dame. While Love is going to be saddled with a dysfunctional offense, Price is joining the Super Bowl champions presumably as their lead back.

That honor belonged to Kenneth Walker III before he moved on to KC, and Price will have the opportunity to run behind one of the best offensive lines in football. Price is a Jack of all trades type back, capable of dominating on the ground and through the air. He was also an elite kick returner at Notre Dame, and that type of elusiveness typically carries over well to the NFL game.

Seattle has an uber efficient passing game that keeps opponents on their heels, which will benefit Price greatly. He’ll see fewer heavy boxes than Love, and will be put in much more favorable situations. He scored 15 TD as a backup to Love last year so you know he has a nose for the endzone, and he’s also a more natural runner than his heralded teammate. Given his extremely favorable new destination, he’s a great bet to win OROY at +1300.