Tigers vs Yankees Odds and Picks – Turnbull vs Taillon (May 1)
- New York is a -205 home favorite over Detroit on Saturday (May 1, 1:05 pm ET)
- Spencer Turnbull will get the ball for the Tigers, while the Yankees will counter with Jameson Taillon
- Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game
After smashing Detroit 10-0 in the series opener, New York will look to hand the Tigers a fourth straight loss when the two teams meet again on Saturday (May 1st). First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm ET, and oddsmakers are expecting another Yankee victory.
Tigers vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline at FanDuel | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | +1.5 (-125) | +172 | O 8.5 (-110) |
| New York Yankees | +1.5 (+104) | -205 | U 8.5 (-110) |
Odds as of April 30th.
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New York opened up as a sizeable -205 moneyline favorite, in a game that features a total of 8.5. Jameson Taillon will get the ball for the Yankees, while Spencer Turnbull will toe the rubber for the Tigers.
Detroit’s Pitching Is a Disaster
Detroit has been outscored 24-1 during their three-game losing streak, and has struggled on the mound all season. They rank 29th in ERA, 28th in WHIP and have produced only 10 quality starts. One of those belongs to Turnbull, who’s actually fared well by Tigers standards in 2021. He’s allowed only four runs in 11 innings, although his only two outings came against Pittsburgh and KC, who aren’t exactly offensive juggernauts.
Spencer Turnbull, Nasty 86mph Back Foot Slider. 😨 pic.twitter.com/BcrhtJYIIR
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 19, 2020
Turnbull has a career 8-24 record, with a 4.49 ERA, and 0-1 lifetime mark against the Yankees. He’s made just one career start against the Pinstripes, surrendering seven hits and four runs in 5 innings of work.
Yankees Career Stats vs Turnbull
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Ford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 |
| Brett Gardner | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
| Aaron Judge | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .333 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 |
| Rougned Odor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Gary Sanchez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Gleyber Torres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 |
| Tyler Wade | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 |
New York’s bats meanwhile, pounded 15 hits off Tigers pitching on Friday night, including five home runs. Aaron Judge hit his sixth and seventh homer of the season, one of which was a grand slam, while Aaron Hicks, Rougned Odor and Clint Frazier all went deep as well.
AARON JUDGE GRAND SLAM, HIS SECOND HOMER OF THE NIGHT pic.twitter.com/4Y5AEm1Qyf
— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) May 1, 2021
The 10 runs was their highest output of the season, and they’ve now won seven of 11 games, after starting the year 5-10.
Taillon Struggling in 2021
New York’s shutout on Friday marked the third time they’ve blanked an opponent this season, but we shouldn’t expect an encore performance on Saturday. That’s because Jameson Taillon has struggled in two of his past three starts, and hasn’t made it past the 5th inning in any of his four outings.
Gerrit Cole giving Jameson Taillon a pep talk before today's game. pic.twitter.com/GGFoVXNfPr
— Mike Salvatore (@MikeSalvatore10) April 25, 2021
He gave up four runs and five hits over 4 innings last Sunday, and brings a 6.23 ERA and 1.27 WHIP into Saturday’s matchup. He’s 0-1 in one career outing versus Detroit, and that start didn’t last long. He was chased in the 4th inning after surrendering 10 hits and seven runs.
Tigers Career Stats vs Taillon
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Cabrera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .667 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 |
| Niko Goodrum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| JaCoby Jones | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 |
| Wilson Ramos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
| Victor Reyes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Detroit’s offense has been quiet lately, scoring two or fewer runs in eight of its past nine games, but a matchup versus Taillon, a pitcher they’ve hit hard in the past, might be exactly what they need to kickstart their bats.
Over and Out
The Tigers are 4-6 in their last 10 games versus the Yankees, but rather than play a side, target the total instead. New York’s offense has come alive recently with five or more runs in three of their past four outings, and two of Taillon’s past three starts have produced double-digit totals.
The Bronx Bombers are home. pic.twitter.com/HR68XD1i6B
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 1, 2021
The Yankees are near the top of MLB in home runs hit, while Detroit has allowed a league leading 38 dingers. Expect New York’s strong hitting to continue against Turnbull, and for the Tigers to do their part against Taillon to help this game clear the 8.5 total.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110)
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
