Top 3 Player Props for Brewers vs Pirates – See Which +128 Prop to Target
By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Published:
- I project heavy contact for Brice Turang against right-handed pitching
- Spencer Horwitz shows extreme vulnerability against southpaws
- See my top three Brewers vs Pirates player props to bet on Sep 17
The Milwaukee Brewers (95-57) continue their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-77) at PNC Park on September 17, 2026. Coming off a tight 5-4 victory over Pittsburgh yesterday, the MLB-leading Brewers look to keep rolling.
With the Brewers leaning on key contributors like William Contreras and Brice Turang, I see plenty of lucrative angles to exploit on the diamond today.
As the first pitch approaches at 12:35 PM ET, I break down the market to find the best value. Let’s dive right into my favorite situational betting angles for this afternoon clash.
Brewers vs Pirates – Top 3 Player Props
Finding the best price is critical for long-term profitability. Below are the top available lines I found across the major sportsbooks for today’s highlighted markets.
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits (-212 at Polymarket)
Brice Turang enters today’s matchup riding a scorching hot streak at the plate. Over his last 15 games, the Brewers second baseman is slashing .367/.446/.669 with a 1.115 OPS, piling up 29 total bases and 6 multi-hit performances. That recent surge is amplified over his last five contests, where he has gone 8-for-15 (.533 AVG) with 16 total bases and four multi-hit outings.
Turang has crushed right-handed pitching all season long (.288 AVG, .902 OPS, 17 HR). While Pirates starter Wilber Dotel has been tougher on lefties (.197 Opp BA) than righties (.323 Opp BA), Turang’s barrel control and top-of-the-order volume make him a strong candidate to create offense. At a steep -227 price for Over 0.5 Hits, bettors looking for better plus-money upside might also consider his Over 1.5 Total Bases prop to fully capitalize on his recent extra-base pop.
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Hits (+125 at Caesars)
Pirates first baseman Spencer Horwitz is set up for a difficult assignment against Brewers left-hander Kyle Harrison. A left-handed bat, Horwitz has struggled in same-side matchups all season, slashing just .225/.333/.268 (.601 OPS) across 71 at-bats against southpaws. Harrison compounds that disadvantage by stifling lefties to a .236 opponent average and allowing just 5 walks against 37 strikeouts.
Horwitz’s recent form provides further conviction: he is batting a cold .184 (9-for-49) with 11 strikeouts over his last 15 contests and is hitless across his last five appearances at PNC Park (0-for-9). Because plate-discipline walks do not count as hits, even extended plate appearances favor the under by eating away at his official at-bat volume. Grabbing Under 0.5 Hits at plus-money (+125 on Caesars) offers excellent expected value against both his individual slump and a tough platoon matchup.
William Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases (+128 at bet365)
Brewers catcher William Contreras enters today’s matchup with Pirates starter Wilber Dotel in the midst of a sustained power surge. Over his last 15 appearances, Contreras is slugging a blistering .639 with 39 total bases, racking up 19 hits (5 doubles, 5 home runs) and clearing 1.5 total bases in 11 of those 15 games (73.3%).
That hot streak is red-hot over his last five contests, where he has gone Over 1.5 TB in four games (80%) behind three homers and a double. Contreras faces a favorable assignment against Dotel, a right-hander who has struggled containing right-handed bats in 2026, yielding a .323 opponent average and a .468 opponent slugging percentage.
While walks can occasionally limit at-bat volume, Contreras has averaged over four at-bats per game in September while punishing contact. Getting Over 1.5 Total Bases at +128 on bet365 presents tremendous value against an implied probability of just 43.9%.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.