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UFC 266 Props – Volkanovski vs Ortega Best Prop Bets, Method of Victory Value, Total Rounds Odds and More

Cole Shelton

by Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Sep 23, 2021 · 12:00 PM PDT

UFC 266 props
Robbie Lawler, pictured, fights Rory MacDonald during their welterweight title fight mixed martial arts bout at UFC 189 Saturday, July 11, 2015, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
  • A stacked UFC 266 card goes down on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and we’ve got prop bets to breakdown
  • Nick Diaz makes his return against Robbie Lawler, does the rematch end inside the distance again?
  • Aside from the betting line, here are a handful of props that hold value

The UFC is back at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, for UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25. The main event sees Alexander Volkanovski defending his featherweight title against Brian Ortega. The co-main event sees Valentina Shevchenko look to defend her flyweight strap again against Lauren Murphy. UFC 266 props are available at DraftKings, with a few lines offering great value.

We’ve already broken down the full UFC 266 card and found some value on some fighters. Although some of the main card is chalky as three fighters are above -200, there is some value on props. Let’s take a look at the props list below.

UFC 266 Props – Total Rounds Odds

Matchup Total Rounds at DraftKings Over Odds Under Odds
Volkanovski vs Ortega 4.5 -130 +100
Shevchenko vs Murphy 2.5 -125 -105
Diaz vs Lawler 3.5 -165 +135
Blaydes vs Rozenstruik 1.5 -160 +130
Andrade vs Calvillo 2.5 -155 +125

All odds as of Sept. 23

Shevchenko vs Murphy Under 2.5 Rounds

Valentina Shevchenko is a -1500 favorite, so a prop is the way to find value on her as I expect her to finish the fight. However, taking the under 2.5 rounds holds better value.

Shevchenko is dominant, and although Lauren Murphy has never been finished in her career, this is the fight she gets finished. We have seen fighters that have never been finished or hard to finish as she TKO’d Katlyn Chookagian in the third round. Moreover, she finished Andrade in the second round, who is very durable.

In her UFC career, Shevchenko lands 3.02 significant strikes per minute while Murphy absorbs 4.25 significant strikes per minute. Shevchenko will be able to piece her up on the feet and be able to wrestle and ground and pound her to get either a first or second-round TKO win. At -105 in the UFC 266 total rounds odds, this offers great value. Lock it in!

Pick: Shevchenko-Murphy Under 2.5 Rounds (-105)

UFC 266 Props – Fight Goes The Distance Odds

Matchup Yes Odds No Odds
Volkanovski vs Ortega -120 -110
Shevchenko vs Murphy +200 -280
Diaz vs Lawler -115 -115
Blaydes vs Rozenstruik +150 -200
Andrade vs Calvillo -125 -105

Diaz vs Lawler Not to Go the Distance

Nick Diaz is making his return to the Octagon since 2015 and rematching Robbie Lawler, who he knocked out in 2004. The fight was supposed to be at welterweight (170-pounds), but on fight week, Diaz asked for the fight to be moved to middleweight (185-pounds) which is a concern as he likely would’ve missed weight.

>> Bet Diaz vs Lawler Not to Go the Distance at DraftKings Here! <<

Although Lawler is on a four-fight losing skid he has only fought the best of the best and Diaz at this time isn’t that. Footage then came out of him shadowboxing, and he did not look good at all as he looked slow. He did an interview where he admitted he doesn’t really want to fight and doesn’t know why he is doing this.

This is a very winnable fight where I think Lawler can KO Diaz as there is a rumor Diaz was KO’d in training camp, and when there’s smoke there is usually fire. Lawler should be able to KO Diaz but playing the fight doesn’t go the distance is a safer play as Diaz could pull off an upset and finish Lawler.

Pick: Diaz-Lawler Not to Go the Distance (-115)

UFC 266 Props – Method of Victory Odds

Result KO / TKO/DQ Odds Submission Odds Decision Odds
Volkanovski beats Ortega +250 +1600 +150
Ortega beats Volkanovski +650 +450 +450
Shevchenko beats Murphy -120 +330 +240
Murphy beats Shevchenko +2500 +2800 +1800
Diaz beats Lawler +500 +900 +250
Lawler beats Diaz +215 +2500 +250
Blaydes vs Rozenstruik +120 +900 +200
Rozenstruik beats Blaydes +380 +3500 +900
Andrade beats Calvillo +175 +900 +150
Calvillo beats Andrade +1600 +800 +400

Blaydes Wins By KO/TKO/DQ

Curtis Blaydes has a ton of pressure on him entering this fight and I think he not only beats Jairzinho Rozenstruik but finishes him.

Blaydes should be able to take Rozenstruik down, and when he does, he will use his vicious ground and pound to get a TKO win. Although “Razor” is known as a wrestler, he doesn’t hold opponents down, instead, he looks for the finish, and off his back, Rozenstruik leaves a lot to be desired. Blaydes will be able to find the stoppage, and at +120 in the method of victory odds at DraftKings, it’s a great spot.

Pick: Blaydes wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+120)

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