UFC 269 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview – Oliveira vs Poirier

• UFC 269 goes down on December 11th, 2021 from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas as two titles headline the card
• Charles Oliveira looks to defend his lightweight title for the first time against Dustin Poirier
• See the UFC 269 odds below, along with our best bet predictions for the main card

UFC 269 is set for the year-end pay-per-view which is always a big event and the promotion didn’t disappoint. The card goes down on December 11, 2021 from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event features Charles Oliveira in a lightweight scrap against Dustin Poirier. Poirier is narrowly favored in the UFC 269 odds.

UFC 269 airs live on pay-per-view at 10 PM EST. The table below shows UFC 269 odds for the main card at Barstool Sportsbook followed by best bets.

UFC 269 Odds

All odds as of December 6 at Barstool Sportsbook

Oliveira vs Poirier Odds & Betting Analysis

After Dustin Poirier knocked out Conor McGregor in January, he was offered the chance to fight Charles Oliveira for the vacant belt but decided to take the third McGregor fight, which he also won by stoppage. Now, the two get to throw down to determine who truly is the best lightweight as many have called Poirier the uncrowned champ.

Oliveira vs Poirier Recent Fights

Oliveira still doesn’t get the respect he deserves as the lightweight champ but if he can beat Poirier on Saturday night, he can get start to get that. As for Poirier, this could be his final shot to become an undisputed champion, and there have been rumblings that should he win, he may retire on top, although he has said that isn’t true.

Oliveira vs Poirier Stats

This is a phenomenal matchup and it’s a fight that is evenly matched. On the feet, Poirier is the better technical striker and has more power, however, Oliveira’s striking is very unique, and can find the openings, as he did against Chandler. On the ground, Oliveira is the better grappler and can sink in a submission quickly. That being said, Poirier’s takedown defense is solid and he’s tough to get down.

Even though Oliveira rallied to beat Chandler last time out, he still has a knock that he is a quitter, which was evident in his early UFC fights. Although I don’t think he has that same quit, his chin is there to be hit and he does get rocked.

Ultimately, I expect Poirier to be able to keep the fight standing and avoid the power shots of Oliveira and piece him up. Poirier moneyline is a solid play at -165 in the UFC 269 odds. Poirier to win inside the distance is also a great bet.

Pick: Dustin Poirier (-165)

Nunes vs Pena Odds, Pick and Prediction

Amanda Nunes is arguably the most dominant champion in the UFC and returns to 135lbs to defend her belt against Julianna Pena in a fight not many people are giving Pena a shot.

Nunes & Pena Recent Fights

As the odds suggest, this shouldn’t be a close fight and I agree with that. Pena is a good fighter but she isn’t on the level of Nunes on the feet or the ground. Nunes should be able to hurt Pena early on the feet and will either get the knockout or hurt her enough and then sink in a choke as she did to Megan Anderson. Regardless, Nunes is a free square parlay piece of sorts while a better bet is Nunes inside the distance. However, just not a ton of value to play Nunes moneyline on it’s own at -770 in the UFC 269 odds.

Pick: Amanda Nunes (-770)

UFC 269 Odds Boosts

Let’s take a look at the best available odds boosts at DraftKings, FanDuel, Barstool Sportsbook and more:

• DraftKings Boost – Dustin Poirier & Cody Garbrandt & Tai Tuivasa All to Win (boosted to +500)
• DraftKings Boost – Dustin Poirier vs Charles Oliveira to End in Round1 (boosted to +240)
• DraftKings Boost – Sean O’Malley & Gillian Robertson & Miranda Maverick All to Win (boosted to +225)
• FanDuel Sportsbook Boost – Sean O’Malley to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (boosted to +200)
• FanDuel Sportsbook Boost – Amanada Nunes to Win in Round 1 (boosted to +180)
• Barstool Sportsbook Boost – Sean O’Malley to Win in Round 3 (boosted to +1250)
• Barstool Sportsbook Boost – Dustin Poirier to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (boosted to +175)
• Caesars Sportsbook Boost – Kai Kara France to Win by Decision (boosted to +350)
• Caesars Sportsbook Boost – Charles Oliveira to Win by Submission (boosted to +350)

Other UFC 269 Odds and Picks:

1. Geoff Neal (-112): Both Neal and Ponzinibbio have struggled recently but I just think Neal is the better striker and will be able to win a decision.
2. Kai Kara-France (+125): I don’t think the flyweight move for Garbrandt. His speed won’t be the same while Kara-France is a heavy hitter and will find the chin of Garbrandt to get the KO win.
3. Sean O’Malley (-345): O’Malley is too good of a striker for Paiva and will find his chin in the first or second round to get the KO win.