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UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 Odds, Picks & Predictions

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Mixed Martial Arts News

Aug 16, 2022 · 3:08 PM PDT

Kamaru Usman taking down Colby Covington
Nov 6, 2021; New York, NY, USA; Kamaru Usman (red gloves) competes against Colby Covington (blue gloves) during UFC 268 at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-USA TODAY Sports
  • UFC welterweight Kamaru Usman tangles with No. 2 challenger Leon Edwards in a long awaited rematch at UFC 278
  • Luke Rockhold returns to action for the first time in three years, as he battles struggling middleweight Paulo Costa in the co-main event
  • Read on for all the UFC 278 odds and trends for Saturday’s card at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City

Kamaru Usman will be looking to defend his UFC welterweight title with a 20th straight victory when he puts his belt on the line against long-time rival Leon Edwards in the main event at UFC 278 on Saturday August 20. Former UFC middleweight champion Luke Rockhold returns to the octagon for the first time in over three years, as he battles Paulo Costa in the co-main event of the evening.

Prelim action is scheduled for 8:00pm ET on Saturday night at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, with all the action available on ABC, ESPN, and ESPN+. The main card follows on ESPN+ at 10:00pm ET.

UFC 278 Odds

Fighter Odds
Kamaru Usman -400
Leon Edwards +300
Fighter Odds
Paulo Costa -335
Luke Rockhold +260
Fighter Odds
Jose Aldo +102
Merab Dvalishvili -127
Fighter Odds
Tyson Pedro -835
Harry Hunsucker +550
Fighter Odds
Marcin Tybura +370
Alexander Romanov -500
Fighter Odds
Amir Albazi -435
Francisco Figueiredo +320
Fighter Odds
Victor Altamirana -200
Daniel da Silva +160
Fighter Odds
AJ Fletcher -162
Ange Loosa +130
Fighter Odds
Jared Gordon -315
Leonardo Santos +245
Fighter Odds
Aori Qileng -167
Jay Perrin +135
Fighter Odds
Sean Woodson -335
Luis Saldana +255

Odds at Barstool Sportsbook as of August 16, 2022.



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Usman vs Edwards 2 Odds & Prediction

Kamaru Usman has successfully defended the UFC welterweight title on five occasions, including three wins by decision, and has earned performance bonuses three times over that stretch.

Currently perched at No. 2 in the UFC welterweight rankings, Leon Edwards is undefeated in 10 octagon appearances since suffering a three-round unanimous decision loss in his first clash with Usman almost seven years ago.

Usman vs Edwards Stats

35 Age 30
6′ 0″ Height 6′ 2″
76 inches Reach 74 inches
20-1-0, (10) Pro MMA Record (finishes) 19-3-0, one no contest (9)
Champion UFC Welterweight Ranking #2

Kamaru Usman has vaulted to the top of the UFC pound-for-pound rankings since claiming the UFC welterweight title with a unanimous decision win over Tyron Woodley at UFC 235. With his unanimous decision win over Colby Covington at UFC 268, “The Nigerian Nightmare” has now seen six of eight fights go a full five rounds, and sits second all-time in the UFC with 10 career unanimous decision wins.

Usman is a talented grappler, who has yet to be taken down in 15 UFC contests. The 35-year-old has also finished opponents with punches in five of his first six pro fights, and has seen nine of his 20 career wins come by KO or TKO.

A 76-inch reach has helped him keep power-punching opponents like Covington and Jorge Masvidal at bay. His ability to seamlessly switch up his stance from orthodox to southpaw also causes fits for opponents.

Usman vs Edwards Recent Fights

Colby Covington (win – unanimous decision) Fight 1 Nate Diaz (win – unanimous decision)
Jorge Masvidal (win – KO) Fight 2 Belal Muhammad (no contest)
Gilbert Burns (win – TKO) Fight 3 Rafael dos Anjos (win – unanimous decision)
Jorge Masvidal (win – unanimous decision) Fight 4 Gunnar Nelson (win – split decision)
Colby Covington (win – TKO) Fight 5 Donald Cerrone (win – unanimous decision)

Fresh off a unanimous decision win over Nick Diaz at UFC 263, Leon Edwards trails only Usman among active UFC welterweights with eight straight victories.

“Rocky” has enjoyed a steadily increasing profile during his current win streak. Three of his past five fights billed as main events, and his recent clash with Diaz marking the first time a non-title and non-main event clash has been schedule for five rounds. The transition to championship round action has been seamless for Edwards, who has seen 12 of 23 career fights decided by the judges.

Edwards was brought to the mat 13 times over his first five octagon appearances. But Rocky has shown steady improvement since, stuffing 17 of 22 takedown attempts over his past five fights.

Pick: Usman by decision (-120)

Costa vs Rockhold Odds & Pick

Paulo Costa is looking to rebound from back-to-back losses. “The Eraser” came up short in his light heavyweight debut, dropping a five-round unanimous decision to Marvin Vettori last fall at UFC Vegas 41. That defeat followed a second-round TKO loss to Israel Adesanya in a failed bid for the UFC middleweight crown at UFC 253.

Despite his recent setbacks, Costa remains a formidable threat. The 31-year-old finished opponents in 12 of his previous 13 contests, with his first nine pro fights ending inside five minutes.

Costa vs Rockhold Recent Fights

Marvin Vettori (loss – unanimous decision) Fight 1 Jan Blachowicz (loss – KO)
Israel Adesanya (loss – TKO) Fight 2 Yoel Romero (loss – KO)
Yoel Romero (win – unanimous decision) Fight 3 David Branch (win – TKO)
Uriah Hall (win – TKO) Fight 4 Michael Bisping (loss – KO)
Johny Hendricks (win – TKO) Fight 5 Chris Weidman (win – TKO)

Luke Rockhold returns to the octagon for the first time since suffering a second-round KO loss to Jan Blachowicz in his light heavyweight debut at UFC 239.

Overall, the 37-year-old has been knocked out inside 10 minutes on three occasions in four outings since 2016. And his struggles to make weight along with his lengthy layoff raise doubts about his ability to compete against a ranked opponent like Costa.

Pick: Costa (-335)

Other UFC 278 Picks

  • Merab Dvalishvili (-127): “The Machine” faces the toughest test of his UFC career against Jose Aldo, but has emerged as a force among bantamweights during a seven-fight win streak.
  • Leonardo Santos (+245): Santos has lost two straight, but offers intriguing value as an underdog in his date with Jared Gordon, who has lost four of his past six lightweight contests.
  • Wu Yunan (+116): Wu has endured hard luck during a three-fight slide, but holds the edge in experience on the big stage over UFC debutante Lucie Pudilova.


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