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UFC Vegas 36 Odds, Picks and Betting Preview – Brunson vs Till

Cole Shelton

by Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News

Updated Aug 30, 2021 · 9:56 AM PDT

UFC Vegas 36 odds
Can Darren Till take down Derek Brunson at middleweight in his return to the UFC?
  • Fan-favorite Darren Till makes his return to the Octagon at UFC Vegas 36 on Saturday, September 4th, 2021 after an injury
  • Heavyweight prospect Tom Aspinall also makes his return in the co-main
  • See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full UFC Vegas 36 main card, below

The UFC is still at the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, for UFC Vegas 36 on September 4th, 2021. The event was supposed to take place at the O2 in London, England – which is why so many English and European fighters are on the card – but COVID forced it to Vegas. The co-main event sees heavyweight prospect Tom Aspinall battle Sergey Spivak.

UFC Vegas 36 airs live on ESPN+ with the main card at 4 PM EST. The table below shows odds for the main card at DraftKings followed by best bets. Make sure to check out the latest sportsbook promos before placing your bets for UFC Vegas 36.

UFC Vegas 36 Odds

Fighter Odds at DraftKings
Derek Brunson +155
Darren Till -180
Fighter Odds
Tom Aspinall -290
Sergey Spivak +225
Fighter Odds
David Zawada +145
Alex Morono -165
Fighter Odds
Khalil Rountree +135
Modestas Bukauskas -155
Fighter Odds
Luigi Vendramini +115
Paddy Pimblett -135

All odds as of August 30

Will Till Emerge Victorious in His Return?

Darren Till is a fan-favorite, and UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya had made it clear he wants to fight Till, but all he needs to do is win, so if he wins on Saturday against Derek Brunson, he could very well earn a title shot.

Brunson & Till Recent Fights

Brunson
VS
Till
Kevin Holland, win by decision Fight 1 Robert Whittaker, loss by decision
Edmen Shahbazyan, win by TKO Fight 2 Kelvin Gastelum, win by decision
Ian Heinisch, win by decision Fight 3 Jorge Masvidal, loss by KO
Elias Theodorou, win by decision Fight 4 Tyron Woodley, loss by submission (title fight)

Brunson is a great wrestler who has all the skills to be able to take Till down and control the fight. However, his chin is always a concern as he does get hit a lot and does get rocked. Even though he dominated Holland in his last fight when Holland landed one good punch it staggered Brunson.

Till, meanwhile, is a great counter striker and has underrated takedown defense where if he can keep it standing it should be his fight to lose. However, the layoff is a concern as he hasn’t fought since July of last year.

Brunson & Till Stats

Brunson
VS
Till
37 Age 28
6’1″ Height 6’0″
77″ Reach 75″
8 UFC Finishes 2

This is a great fight, and it will be a good test for both men. If Brunson can get past Till he would likely be in a number one contender bout and has proven to be a tough out for anyone. However, if the Englishman wins, it’s hard to deny him the shot against Adesanya as it would be a big fight, so the stakes are high for this one.

Early on, I expect the fight to be a slow pace as Brunson will be cautious to run in and shoot for a takedown, while Till is always a low output counter striker. I do think Brunson will be able to get him down, but Till should be able to get back up. In the event that happens, he will eventually land the big left hand that stuns Brunson, and he’ll finish him off via TKO in the second or third round. Once the line becomes available, Till to win by KO/TKO should pose great value in the UFC Vegas 36 odds.

Pick: Darren Till (-180)

Will Aspinall Continue His Rise?

Tom Aspinall is one of the best heavyweight prospects, and he now returns against short-notice replacement, Sergey Spivak.

Aspinall & Spivak Recent Fights

Battle
VS
Urbina
Andrei Arlovski, win by submission Fight 1 Alexey Oleynik, win by decision
Alan Baudot, win by TKO Fight 2 Jared Vanderaa, win by TKO
Jake Collier, win by KO Fight 3 Carlos Felipe, win by decision
Mickael Ben Hamouda, win by TKO Fight 4 Marcin Tybura, loss by decision

Aspinall will get a very tough test on short notice as Spivak will be able to test his takedown defense and how good of a grappler he is. Spivak has a style where he can get his opponent down and grind out a decision, or just clinch them against the fence.

However, I do believe in Aspinall’s well-rounded skill set that he will be able to keep the fight standing and piece up Spivak and eventually get the TKO win in the second round.

Pick: Tom Aspinall (-290)

Other UFC Vegas 36 Picks:

  1. Alex Morono (-165): Even though Morono is taking this fight on short notice, I do think he will keep it standing and outstrike Zawada to win a decision.
  2. Modestas Bukauskas (-155): Bukauskas does get hit a lot, but Rountree doesn’t throw enough volume where Bukauskas will be able to piece him up for three rounds and win a decision.
  3. Paddy Pimblett (-135): Pimblett will finally make his UFC debut, and he should be able to get Vendramini down and control him on the ground and potentially get a submission.
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