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2021 NBA Draft Props – Odds and Over/Unders on When Players Will Be Selected

John Hyslop

by John Hyslop in NBA Basketball

Updated Jul 27, 2021 · 8:16 AM PDT

Davion Mitchell driving
In this Feb. 2, 2021, file photo, Baylor guard Davion Mitchell (45) drives to the basket past Texas guard Andrew Jones (1) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Austin, Texas. Mitchell is one of the top point guards in the NBA draft after guiding Baylor to the national championship. (AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)
  • The 2021 NBA Draft will take place at the Barclays Center in Brookyln, New York Thursday, July 29th
  • Any draft can be made more fun with a little action on the side and this one is no different
  • See the available NBA Draft player props at DraftKings and best bets within the story below

The 75th edition of the NBA draft will take place at the Barclays Center in Brookyln on Thursday, July 29th. ABC will televise the first-round beginning at 8:00pm ET before handing over the reigns to ESPN who will carry the rest of the draft. This will be the first time in history that the NBA draft will take place in July.

The Detroit Pistons own the first pick of this year’s draft followed by the Houston Rockets and Cleveland Cavaliers. Although nothing is guaranteed, the first few slots of the draft are generally tough to find value as the favorite is usually the pick and is highly juiced. For instance, if you want to bet Cade Cunningham to go first, you have to lay odds of -6000 at FanDuel. Draft position over/under lines are generally a little easier to swallow and can offer good value. For that reason, this article will focus on those.

DraftKings and BetMGM have the most options in terms of over/under draft positions. Both books have 40+ players listed at the moment in the over/under market while FanDuel doesn’t even have 20. Below is a table with all players currently listed at DraftKings.

2021 NBA Player Draft Position Odds & Over/Unders

Player Draft Position Over Odds Under Odds
Aaron Henry 43.5 -120 -110
Alperen Sengun 12.5 -125 -105
Ayo Dosunmu 26.5 -165 +130
BJ Boston 38.5 -120 -110
Cameron Thomas 22.5 -125 -105
Chris Duarte 15.5 -135 +105
Davion Mitchell 10.5 -130 +100
Day’Ron Sharpe 30.5 -120 -110
Franz Wagner 9.5 -140 +110
Greg Brown 45.5 -115 -115
Herbert Jones 42.5 -115 -115
Isaiah Jackson 18.5 -130 +100
Isaiah Livers 52.5 -120 -110
Isaiah Todd 37.5 -115 -115
Jaden Springer 22.5 -135 +100
Jalen Johnson 14.5 -130 +100
James Bouknight 7.5 +135 -170
Jason Preston 41.5 -120 -110
Jay Huff 58.5 -280 +210
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 39.5 -120 -110
Jericho Sims 48.5 -110 -120
Joe Wieskamp 42.5 -115 -120
Joel Ayayi 40.5 -120 -110
Jonathan Kuminga 6.5 -125 -105
Josh Christopher 33.5 -110 -120
Josh Giddey 10.5 +135 -170
Joshua Primo 28.5 +105 -140
JT Thor 31.5 -105 -125
Kai Jones 15.5 +135 -170
Keon Johnson 12.5 -135 +105
Luka Garza 54.5 -105 -125
Matthew Hurt 53.5 -145 +115
McKinley Wright IV 58.5 -185 +150
Miles McBride 28.5 -110 -120
Moses Moody 11.5 +110 -140
Neemias Queta 47.5 -140 +110
Quentin Grimes 32.5 -105 -125
Sam Hauser 57.5 -175 +145
Scottie Barnes 5.5 +275 -400
Sharife Cooper 20.5 -120 -110
Tre Mann 24.5 -180 +145
Trey Murphy 19.5 -105 -125
Usman Garuba 15.5 -150 +120
Ziaire Williams 18.5 -140 +110

Odds as of July 27th

If you really want to get down on 1st overall selection along with other draft props, check out our NBA Draft Odds tracker to see how these lines have moved over the past few months. Sometimes knowing where a line came from can help determine where it goes.

Davion Mitchell Slips

Here’s the thing – I am a Davion Mitchell fan. He covered his points prop in the national title game against Gonzaga and that is all we can really ask for as bettors. Just win money for us. He profiles as a good ball-handler as well as a high-energy defensive guy that will flourish in his role anywhere he goes. He’s also a low-key, needle threader that will pass people open at the next level.

 

The biggest issue with Mitchell is that he can’t really shoot and he’s already 22 years old. On top of that, he’s only 6 feet tall on his tippy toes so he really is undersized. Especially since point guards are huge nowadays. I think he finds a home sooner than later but I like him to go in the teens on Thursday. That makes his over 10.5 at -130 an instant smash in my opinion.

  • The Pick: Davion Mitchell Over 10.5 (-130)

Kuminga Just Falls Enough

Jonathan Kuminga is an absolute beast who has an extremely high ceiling if he pans out. He’s only 18 years old but at 6’8″, 210 pounds, NBA executives are selling themselves on what he might turn into. He’s not exactly NBA-ready at the moment but that isn’t keeping teams away. There are rumors of him falling but just how far is a mystery.

I’m no draft expert but I can count and by my count, Kuminga will go at least seventh or even later. The top four are already sealed in my opinion with Scottie Barnes going fifth so if James Bouknight goes sixth to the Thunder or someone else that trades up for him, Kuminga can’t go until at least seventh overall. He doesn’t seem like someone the Golden State Warriors will trade up for so this is a good bet from where I’m sitting.

  • The Pick: Jonathan Kuminga Over 6.5 (-125)

Not Buying Moody

Moses Moody was a ton of fun at Arkansas and he may be just as fun in the league. He is a prototypical 3-and-D guy that could have a long career in the NBA. One thing that any college hoops fan will have a hard time forgetting is just how easy Moody made scoring look. Fadeaways, layups, dunks, and threes are all in Moody’s repertoire.

The issue I have with Moody is the fact that he is only 19 years old and he’s not NBA ready at the moment. We don’t even know how high his ceiling really is and he has seemed to have lost ground to Chris Duarte who could even go ahead of him to Golden State. There are plenty of scenarios where Moody could go top 10 but I am not buying it. I think he goes in the teens to a team that can handle a longer development time.

  • The Pick: Moses Moody Over 11.5 (+110)
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