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Bucks Given -460 Odds to Advance to NBA Finals After Beating Raptors in Game 1

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 21, 2020 · 10:16 AM PDT

Happy Giannis
The Greek Freak, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and the Milwaukee Bucks downed the Toronto Raptors 108-100 in Game 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference final. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Toronto Raptors 108-100 to open the NBA Eastern Conference final
  • Game 1 winners have taken seven of the last ten East finals
  • Oddsmakers now list the Bucks as -460 to win the series

To open the NBA Eastern Conference final, the Toronto Raptors discovered that the Milwaukee Bucks don’t stop there.

A rested Milwaukee team didn’t prove to be a rusty Milwaukee team, as the Bucks posted a 108-100 victory, gaining the early advantage in this best-of-seven set.

Bucks vs Raptors Series Price

Team Odds
Milwaukee Bucks -460
Toronto Raptors +385

Odds taken 05/16/19.

Troubling Signs

In the second half, Kyle Lowry made seven field goals for the Raptors. Kawhi Leonard hit five.

The rest of the Raptors combined for one field goal.

Toronto would have a hard time beating the Detroit Pistons shooting that poorly, let alone the top seed in the East.

The Raptors hit just 5-of-20 from beyond the arc in the second half, mostly thanks to Lowy, who scored 30 points and was 4-of-5 from 3-point range in the second half.

One Isn’t Done

While history favors the Game 1 winner in recent NBA Eastern Conference finals, it’s not impossible to drop the opener and still win the series.

Last year, the Boston Celtics were Game 1 winners but lost the East final in seven games to the Cleveland Cavaliers. In the past ten Eastern Conference finals, the Game 1 winner carried on to win seven series.

Perhaps the more pressing issue for the Raptors is their overall road record in the East final. In the only previous trip to the final four, the Raps lost in six games to the Cavs in 2016. Toronto went 0-3 at Cleveland in that set.

Toronto is 3-2 on the road in the playoffs – 2-0 at Orlando and 1-2 at Philadelphia. But the Raptors have come up with a couple of big road performances.

They took Game 3 at Orlando when the set was deadlocked 1-1. They also won Game 4 at Philly when trailing 2-1 in the series.

Bench Strength Favors Bucks

After Mike Babcock underplayed many of his key Toronto Maple Leafs in their NHL playoff series loss to Boston, lavish praise was heaped on Raptors’ coach Nick Nurse for running with his stars against the 76ers. But are they paying a price for that now?

Toronto looked fatigued in Game 1. Milwaukee grabbed 15 offensive rebounds that led to 24 second-chance points. The Bucks got 15 points off the bench from Malcolm Brogdon.

Milwaukee 7-footer Brook Lopez, who scored 29 Game 1 points, can hit the three, forcing the bigs to move away from the hoop to defend him.

More movement not only will wear down Toronto’s bigs, it opens lanes for Giannis Antetokounmpo to do his thing.

Leonard’s one-man show was enough to take out the Sixers. Toronto will need much more than against Milwaukee.

That’s why the Bucks will stop the Raptors here.

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