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Cavaliers vs Heat Odds, Spread & Picks (Mar. 10)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 9, 2023 · 4:16 PM PST

Cavaliers vs Heat NBA action
Mar 8, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Heat forward Caleb Martin (16) and center Bam Adebayo (13) guard Cleveland Cavaliers forward Evan Mobley (4) during the fourth quarter at Miami-Dade Arena. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers are 1.5-point road favorites over the Miami Heat in an NBA game scheduled for Friday, March 10
  • On Tuesday, Cleveland downed Miami 104-100, also as the 1.5-point road chalk
  • The Cavaliers are 2-1 straight up in three games facing the Heat this season

The Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26, 36-29-3 ATS) and Miami Heat (35-32, 23-41-3 ATS) will be closing out the ledger in terms of regular-season meetings against each other on Friday. Oddsmakers are calling for a repeat performance from Wednesday’s clash.

Cleveland is set as a 1.5-point road favorite over Miami. The Cavaliers were also the 1.5-point road chalk on Wednesday and won outright by a 104-100 count. Cleveland is 4-1 straight up and against the spread over the club’s past five games.

Cavaliers vs Heat Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110) -120 O 214 (-110)
Miami Heat +1.5 (-110) +100 U 214 (-110)

The Cavaliers opened up as 1.5-point favorites in the NBA odds. Currently, the total is set at 214 points. That’s up from Wednesday’s 212-point total  that the two teams went under. Cleveland is 2-1 SU against the Heat this season.

This game is being broadcast by NBA League Pass in the USA and Canada. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00pm ET at Miami-Dade Arena.

The Cavaliers are the just inside the top-ten favorites in the NBA championship odds at +2800. Oddsmakers currently have the Heat as the 12th-favorite in this betting market at a line of +7000.

 

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Odds as of March 9 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Trends

In spread splits, the public is supporting the experts. Cleveland is getting 74% of handle and bets. Moneyline splits, though, a divided. There’s 52% of handle with the Heat. However, 60% of bets are going with the Cavaliers.

No data has been released as far as action on the total of 214 points.

Cleveland vs Miami Injury Report

Miami will again be missing point guard Kyle Lowry (knee) from the NBA starting lineups. However, former Cavaliers power forward Kevin Love (rib contusion) has been upgraded to probable.

The Cavaliers are reporting no injuries.

Cavaliers, Heat Are NBA’s Top Defensive Teams

Perhaps betting the under is the way to go when wagering on this game. After all, these are the two best scoring defenses in the NBA.

Cleveland is allowing an NBA-low 106.5 points per game. In the past three games, the Cavaliers have limited the opposition to 101.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Miami is #2 in the league, surrendering only 109.1 ppg.

Adding to the potential for a low-scoring affair is the fact that Miami is last in the Eastern Conference in scoring offense. The Heat are averaging 108.3 ppg. And that number has dropped to 107.9 ppg through the last 10 games for Miami.

Miami Spreading Out At The Bottom

The Heat and the Dallas Mavericks share the NBA’s worst ATS record this season. Both are 23-41-3, an abysmal 35.9% coverage rate.

It gets even worse for Miami at home. The Heat are also last overall ATS on their home court at 28.1% (9-23-2). Miami is 1-8 ATS over the club’s last nine home games. As a home underdog, though, the Heat are 2-2 ATS.

Cleveland is a solid 36-25-3 (55.4%) ATS, good for seventh in the NBA. On the road, though, the Cavaliers dropped to 14-17-2 (45.2%). As a road favorite, Cleveland clocks in at 55.6% (10-8-2). Only the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks (13 apiece) have won more games this season as the road chalk.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction

Miami is enduring a dismal run. The Heat are 3-7 SU over the past 10 games and 3-12 ATS through the last 15 contests. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 4-1 both SU and ATS through the past five games, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. The Cavaliers have won 11 of their last 15 games.

Still, even with all that evidence supporting a wager on the Cavaliers, it still feels like the best bet on this game is to hammer the under. The under has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.

Pick: Under 214 points (-110)

 

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