Knicks vs Pacers Predictions, Props & Injuries on Nov 13
By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The Knicks visit a depleted Pacers squad as 8.5-point road favorites tonight
- I’m backing the Knicks and banking on a big night on the glass from Karl-Anthony Towns
- Keep reading for the Knicks vs Pacers predictions, props and injuries on Nov 13, below
The 6-5 New York Knicks, currently sitting fifth in the Eastern Conference, hit the road to play the 4-8 Indiana Pacers tonight. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Fans can catch the broadcast on Amazon Prime Video, MSG, and DAZN-MSG.
The road favorite Knicks hold a massive statistical advantage against a Pacers team missing its franchise point guard. Bettors will watch closely to see how the suffocating half-court defense of the Knicks handles an ailing roster. Keep reading for my Knicks vs Pacers predictions, props and injuries on Nov 13, below.
Knicks vs Pacers Predictions
ATS Pick: NYK -8.5 (+100, Kalshi)
When deciphering this Eastern Conference clash, situational trends point heavily toward the visitors. New York is a NBA Championship odds contender and has hit its stride away from home, winning two of its last three true road contests including a dominant 109-97 road victory over Cleveland, while posting a +11.8 average scoring margin across its last six overall victories.
The Pacers are an abysmal 0-4 ATS following a victory over their last four, sitting at just 4-8 straight up on the season while dropping four of their five games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse by an average margin of 8.8 points. Backing the road favorite at -8.5 is the sharp play against an Indiana squad struggling to stay competitive against winning opponents. Grab the Kalshi promo code today to lock in this line.
Game-Total Pick: Under 219.5 Points (-108, Novig)
For the total, betting the under provides a clear mathematical advantage. The over has failed to hit in all six of the home games for Indiana this season, with their home matchups averaging just 212.8 total points per contest. Taking under 219.5 points at 52% (-108) via Novig provides fantastic value.
The missing backcourt depth will cause the home offense to fall off a cliff against a defense allowing just 103.5 points per game, with the Under cashing in eight of New York’s 11 games this season and the Knicks holding four of their last six opponents to 97 points or fewer.
New York vs Indiana Props
Player-Prop Pick: Towns 13+ Rebounds (-113, Novig) – Claim the NOVIG PROMO CODE today
Comparing NBA player props to season-long averages uncovers massive value on Karl-Anthony Towns. The posted line sits at 12.5 rebounds, but the big man is eating up the glass, averaging 13.5 rebounds per contest across 11 games while pulling down double-digit boards in every single appearance this season.
Towns has cleared this 13-rebound mark in six of his last nine games, highlighted by monster performances of 20 rebounds against Detroit and 16 boards against both Brooklyn and Milwaukee. Grabbing the over on this prop at -113 via Novig is a high-percentage situational angle against an Indiana interior yielding 46.8 total rebounds per contest. Before making any wager tonight, scan the prediction market apps to find the best price.
NYK vs IND Odds
Odds as of November 13 at Kalshi. Already signed-up at Kalshi, claim SBD’s exclusive ONYX ODDS PROMO CODE
Evaluating the NBA odds reveals a stark advantage for the road team. Bypassing traditional sportsbooks and utilizing Kalshi provides the best market value. Removing the juice from these moneyline prices yields a 74.2% vig-free implied win probability for the visiting favorite, leaving the home underdog with just a 25.8% chance of securing a victory.
Analyzing current NBA ATS records uncovers a few stark contrasts that bettors need to monitor.
- New York is 6-1 (85.7%) straight up on the road as a favorite over their last seven games.
- Indiana is 0-4 (0.0%) ATS after a win over their last four contests.
- The over has failed to hit in all six home matchups for the Pacers this season.
- The over has cashed in four of the last five (80.0%) meetings for New York against Indiana.
Looking at the NBA public betting data, bettors are hammering the road squad. The Knicks command 76.8% of the spread handle on 77.7% of the tickets. The moneyline market is even more lopsided, with a staggering 91.5% of the money backing the visitors. The public is leaning heavily toward the over, grabbing 68.7% of the handle. This perfectly aligns with fading the public by betting the under 219.5 total.
Knicks vs Pacers Injuries
Missing Haliburton destroys the fast-paced offense the home squad relies on to generate points. Without their primary distributor, they will struggle to get up and down the court efficiently. Monitoring NBA starting lineups is essential, especially with Nesmith carrying a questionable tag. If Nesmith sits, the wing defense will be thoroughly overmatched.
The Knicks don’t have a single player on their injury report heading into Friday night.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.