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Pacers vs Cavaliers Odds, Predictions, Picks & Player Props for Game 1

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell shoots a lay-up against Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam
Jan 14, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) shoots the ball while Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (43) defends in the first half at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of their best-of-seven series on Sunday evening
  • The Cavaliers are heavy favorites to take Game 1 at home
  • Below, see the Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks, predictions, and player props on May 4

The #1 Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18, 34-7 home) and #4 Indiana Pacers (50-32, 20-20 away) start their second-round, best-of-seven series on Sunday night at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland at 6:10 pm ET. The Cavs are heavy favorites in Sunday’s NBA odds after running over Miami in the first round of the NBA playoff bracket.

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds (Game 1)

Bet TypePacersCavaliers
Spread+8.0 (-110)-8.0 (-110)
Moneyline+278-355
TotalO 229.5 (-110)U 229.5 (-110)

Cleveland is currently laying eight points in Sunday’s Pacers/Cavs odds and is a -355 favorite on the moneyline, giving the Cavaliers a 78.02% implied win probability. The Pacers come back as +278 road underdogs (26.46% implied win probability). The Pacers vs Cavaliers game total is sitting at 229.5, the highest of the postseason to date.

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The Cavs went over the total in three of four games during their first-round sweep of Miami. The Pacers went over in three of five against Milwaukee. Including postseason, Cleveland is an NBA-best 54-32 over/under this year. Indiana is 46-39-2 O/U including playoffs.

Cleveland came out of the first round with a ludicrous +33.5 Net Rating thanks to a 37-point win in Game 3 and a laughable 55-point win in Game 4. The Pacers finished their five-game series with the Bucks with a +6.9 Net Rating.

IND vs CLE Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssists
Donovan Mitchell CLE)26.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -135 | U +105)5.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Pascal Siakam (IND)19.5 (O -110 | U -120)7.5 (O +120 | U -150)2.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Darius Garland (CLE)19.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -150 | U +120)5.5 (O -140 | U +110)
Tyrese Haliburton (IND)17.5 (O -125 | U -105)4.5 (O -105 | U -125)10.5 (O +110 | U -140)
Evan Mobley (CLE)17.5 (O -125 | U -105)9.5 (O -130 | U -10-)3.5 (O +125 | U -155)
Myles Turner (IND)15.5 (O -105 | U -125)6.5 (O +105 | U -135)1.5 (O +160 | U -200)
Andrew Nembhard (IND)12.5 (O -110 | U -120)3.5 (O -100 | U -130)4.5 (O -105| U -125)
Jarrett Allen (CLE)12.5 (O -110 | U -120)10.5 (O -115 | U -115)1.5 (O -125 | U -105)
De’Andre Hunter (CLE)12.5 (O -115 | U -115)3.5 (O -155 | U +125)1.5 (O +110 | U -140)
Aaron Nesmith (IND)12.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -125 | U -105)1.5 (O +165 | U -210)
Ty Jerome (CLE)12.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -160 | U +130)2.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Max Strus (CLE)10.5 (O -105 | U -125)4.5 (O -100 | U -130)3.5 (O +120 | U -150)
Bennedict Mathurin (IND)9.5 (O -105 | U -125)2.5 (O -160 | U +130)0.5 (O -170 | U +140)
TJ McConnel (IND)7.5 (O -120 | U -110)2.5 (O -120 | U -110)3.5 (O -140 | U +110)
Obi Toppin (IND)6.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -160 | U +130)1.5 (O +180 | U -230)

NBA player props as of May 4 at bet365.

Donovan Mitchell (23.8 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 4.0 APG postseason) leads the point totals on Sunday at 26.5 O/U. No other player is over the 20-point plateau. Pascal Siakam (19.8 PPG, 6.0 APG, 2.4 APG) has the highest total on the Indiana side at 19.5 O/U.

Jarrett Allen (14.3 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 1.3 APG postseason) leads the rebound totals at 10.5 while Tyrese Haliburton (17.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 11.6 APG postseason) has the highest assist total at 10.5.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction & Picks

The Pacers had their share of success against the Cavaliers in the regular season. Indiana won a 108-93 decision in Cleveland on Jan. 12 as nine-point road underdogs. They also beat Cleveland twice late in the regular season, though the Cavs were resting starters in both. Cleveland won the only other meeting, 127-117 on Jan. 14 as eight-point road favorites.

YouTube video

As great as Cleveland looked in the first round, Miami was on fumes and seriously devoid of scoring. The Pacers are a very different beast. They scored at least 108 points in all four regular-season games against Cleveland, averaging 116.3 PPG, four points higher than Cleveland’s 112.4 PAPG.

The only game Indiana lost to Cleveland this year came when Tyrese Haliburton and Aaron Nesmith were both injured. Indiana heads into Game 1 at full strength. The Cavs list Darius Garland (20.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 6.7 APG regular season) as questionable due to a toe injury that kept him out of both Games 3 and 4 against Miami.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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