Warriors vs Rockets Game 7 Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total – Houston Favored to Complete Comeback
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Updated: May 3, 2025 at 12:17 am EDTPublished:
- The Houston Rockets forced a Game 7 with the Golden State Warriors thanks to a massive road win on Friday night
- The Rockets will host the Warriors in Game 7 on Sunday, May 4th
- See the opening Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 odds, including the spread, moneyline, and game total
The Houston Rockets (53-33, 31-13 Home) are on the verge of the improbable. After falling behind the Golden State Warriors (51-37, 25-19 away) 3-1 in their best-of-seven first-round series, the Rockets have won two straight to force a decisive Game 7 at home on Sunday, May 4th. And the opening Warriors vs Rockets odds for Game 7 favor Houston completing the comeback.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Game 7 Odds
Sunday’s NBA odds favor the Rockets by two points against the spread and -130 on the moneyline, giving Houston a 56.52% implied win probability. The Warriors are +110 underdogs, which amounts to a 47.62% implied win probability. The game total has opened at just 201.0. Houston and Golden State have combined to hit three straight overs, after the first three games of the series all stayed under the total.
Teams that fall behind 3-1 in best-of-seven series are only 13-279 all-time, which is just a 4.5% win rate. The winner of Sunday’s Game 7 will face the #6 Minnesota Timberwolves in the second round of the NBA playoff bracket. If the Rockets win, the series will start in Houston. If the Warriors win, the series will start in Minneapolis.
Houston went almost wire-to-wire in a must-win Game 6, taking a 25-21 lead after the first quarter and never trailing thereafter in a 115-107 victory. Veteran point guard Fred VanVleet turned back the clock once more. After dropping 25 points on 61.5% shooting in Game 4 and 26 points on 66.7% shooting in Game 5, the 31-year-old had a series-high 29 points on 53.8% shooting in Game 6, leading all Rockets.
Alperen Sengun added 21 points, a game-high 14 rebounds, and six assists.
Steph Curry had a team-high 29 points in a losing effort for the Dubs while Jimmy Butler added 27. No other Warrior had more than 13 points. Golden State finished -4 on the glass, -5 in turnovers, and shot 24 fewer free-throw attempts, though a big part of that was intentionally sending Steven Adams (46.2 FT%) to the line 16 times. The 31-year-old Kiwi made Steve Kerr pay for his hack-a-Shaq imitation, hitting 56.3% of his free-throw attempts (9-of-16).
Warriors vs Rockets H2H Results & Betting Trends
The Warriors, who were +1400 fourth-favorites in the NBA championship odds after taking a 3-1 series lead, faded all the way to +2500 after losing Game 6 at home. The Rockets improved to +5000 to win their first NBA title since 1995.
Game 7 between Golden State and Houston will tip-off at 7:40 pm CT/8:40 pm ET at the Toyota Center on Sunday, May 4th, with TNT providing broadcast coverage.
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKBET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
