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Colgate vs Texas Odds, Lines & Predictions for March Madness First Round

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Basketball

Updated Mar 15, 2023 · 9:37 PM PDT

Texas Longhorns guard Sir'Jabari Rice breathing
Feb 18, 2023; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Sir'Jabari Rice (10) reacts after scoring a three point basket during the second half against the Oklahoma Sooners at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports
  • No. 2 Texas meets No. 15 seed Colgate in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday,  March 16
  • Texas is a 13.5-point favorite over Colgate in a Midwest Regional game in Des Moines, Iowa
  • Read below for Colgate vs Texas odds and prediction

No. 5 Texas (26-8, 12-6 Big 12) is a 13.5-point favorite over Colgate in a first-round game in the Midwest Regional of the NCAA Tournament at 7:15 pm ET Thursday on TBS in Des Moines, Iowa. The Longhorns won the Big 12 Tournament.

Colgate (26-8, 17-1 Patriot) have won nine games in a row since a 61-60 loss to American on Feb. 4. The Raiders have reached the NCAA Tournament for three straight seasons, four considering the 2020 event was cancelled.

Colgate vs Texas Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Colgate Raiders +13.5 (-112) +680 Over 150.5 (-110)
Texas Longhorns -13.5 (-108) -1100 Under 150.5 (-110)

Texas is a 13.5-point favorite over Colgate in the first meeting between the two schools. The Longhorns are 17-17 ATS this season, 5-8 in nonconference games and 3-3 on a neutral court. Colgate is 17-16 ATS this season, 5-7 in nonconference play. The Raiders are 20-13 against the over, while Texas is 16-15-3.  At -1100 on the moneyline, the Longhorns have a 91.7 implied win probability.

 

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Texas Enters on a Roll

The Longhorns finished the regular season with a strong stretch that make them look an awful lot like a contender in the odds to win March Madness. They beat Big 12 Tournament top seed Kansas twice in eight days, the first in Austin to clinch a share of the regular-season title and the second in Kansas City (Kansas’ home away from home) in the Big 12 tournament finals.

Neither was close — 75-59 at home and 76-56 in KC. Also included in that final run was a victory over NCAA Midwest No. 6 seed TCU.

The Longhorns are so deep and talented that they won their three Big 12 Tournament games by a combined 40 points without 6’6″ starting forward Timmy Allen (10.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists), who was out with a lower right leg injury suffered in the regular-season finale against Kansas. Texas did not have to look far for a replacement– Big 12 Sixth Man of the Year 6’4″ Sir’Jabari Rice (12.6 points, 51 threes) stepped in with 37 points and 16 rebounds. Rice and Xavier’s Souly Boom, who played at New Mexico State last season, are two of the most impactful portal transfers this year. Harris will be “full tilt” for the Colgate game, interim coach Rodney Terry said.

All-Big 12 guard 6’4″ Marcus Carr (15.9 points, 4.1 assists) enters in a 22-of-75 shooting slump,  but athletic 6’9″ forward Dylan Disu is at the top of his game after being named the MOP of the Big 12 Tournament. Disu, Harris and forward Christian Bishop contest everything inside, and opponents are shooting just 42 percent from the field. The Longhorns force 16.2 turnovers per game, 16th most in Division I.

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Colgate Lights It Up

Patriot League Coach of the Year Matt Langel Colgate has designed one of the most productive offenses in Division I around conference Player of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year guard Tucker Richardson. The Raiders are second in Division I in field goal percentage (51.4) and effective field goal percentage (58.3), first in three-point field goal percentage (40.8) and third in assists (18.6 per game). They average 78.6 points per game.

The 6’5″ Richardson, one of four senior starters, leads the Raiders in points (13.9 per game) and assists (5.8) and is second in rebounds (5.2). He has a host of quality options. Big man 6’10” Keenan Records (13.0 points, 6.0 rebounds) leads in rebounding, and freshman guard 6′ Braeden Smith (11.8 points, 4.5 assists) has been a been a find at point. Richardson had a triple-double in the 79-61 victory over Lafayette in the league tournament finals, and Records rolled to the hoop for 21 points.

Colgate vs Texas Prediction

The Raiders are in a tough spot here, as usual. Their last three NCAA Tournament games have come against No. 2 seed Tennessee (2019), No. 3 seed Arkansas (2021) and No. 3 seed Wisconsin (2022). They are 2-1 ATS in those three,  losing by seven, 17 and seven points, respectively. Colgate set a program record with 26 wins and has won 20 of its last 21 games. The Longhorns’ defense shone in the Big 12 Tournament, when they Oklahoma State, TCU and Kansas shot a combined 34.9 percent shooting from the field and forced 49 turnovers. Texas is capable of going to the final weekend, but look for smart, veteran Colgate to shoot well enough to keep it close. The points are the play.
  • Pick: Colgate +13.5 (-112)
  • Season CBK: 48-25 ATS

 

Other first round March Madness predictions:

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