Miami vs Indiana Odds, Spread & Predictions (March 19)

• The Hoosiers are 1.5-point favorites in the Miami vs Indiana odds in Sunday’s second-round March Madness action
• Trayce Jackson-Davis enters play averaging 21 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists this season for the Hoosiers
• See the latest Miami vs Indiana odds and predictions below, plus betting splits and key trends

Everybody loves a good underdog story, but sometimes the love can go too far. That was the case on Friday at the NCAA Tournament, as two of the most heavily bet underdogs, Drake and Kent State, failed to live up to the hype and reward their backers.

Miami and Indiana spoiled all those underdog tickets in the first round, and will now meet in second round action in the Midwest’s 5 vs 4 matchup.

Online sportsbooks are predicting a tightly contested affair, with the slight edge going to the Hoosiers according to Sunday’s college basketball odds.

Miami vs Indiana Odds

Indiana is currently a 1.5-point favorite, in a contest with a total of 146. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:40 pm ET at the MVP Arena in Albany, NY, with TNT providing the broadcast coverage.

Odds as of March 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. See full list of March Madness betting promos. 

Miami vs Indiana Betting Splits

This game opened as a pick, but Hoosiers money quickly drove the line to Indiana -1 and then -1.5. Even at that number the Hoosiers are drawing the majority of the spread action. 66% of the ATS tickets are on Indiana, and those bets account for 64% of the spread handle.

Total wise, the line opened at 146 and that’s exactly where it still sits. 14 of Friday’s first round games in the March Madness bracket fell under the total, including both of Miami and Indiana’s matchups.

Miami vs Indiana Betting Trends

While the Hurricanes underwhelmed in their opening game and needed to stage a late rally to get past Drake, Indiana was never in danger versus Kent State.

The Hoosiers shot 47% from the field in a 71-60 victory, while limiting their opponent to 32% shooting. Player of the year finalist Trayce Jackson-Davis did most of the damage with 24 points, 11 rebounds and fives assists, and made history along the way.

Jackson-Davis became the first player since blocks became an official stat to record 5 swats, and at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists. The senior enters play averaging 21 points and 11 boards per game, and along with projected first-round pick Jalen Hood-Schifino form an incredible 1-2 scoring punch.

TRAYCE JACKSON-DAVIS WITH THE POSTER @IndianaMBB pic.twitter.com/UcMUbNzqc2

— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) March 18, 2023

Miami meanwhile, struggled from the field en route to a season low 63 points in a 7 point victory. They were down three late in the contest, before rallying to score the final 10 points and secure the win.

The Hurricanes looked off on offense the entire night, and that will need to be corrected if they hope to emulate last year’s Elite Eight run. Isaiah Wong and Jordan Miller, the team’s top two scorers, combined for only 12 points on an abysmal 3-for-17 from the field.

Sophomore guard Nijel Pack bailed out the Canes, pouring in 21 points on 7-of-15 shooting. The victory was their 10th in their last 12 games, but marked just the first time in five outings they’ve covered the spread. Their defense is largely to thank for that, but bettors shouldn’t count on that kind of efficiency at that end of the court moving forward.

Miami vs Indiana Predictions

Miami held Drake scoreless over the final 3:24, forced 12 turnovers and limiting the Bulldogs to 40% from the field. That looks like an outlier performance, as the Canes defense was well below average during the regular season. They ranked 210th in scoring defense and 213th in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Also working against Miami specifically in this matchup is a lack of size. None of their primary rotational players stand above 6-7 which is going to be an issue versus the much taller Jackson-Davis.

I watched both Indiana and Miami play in person yesterday. I have no idea how Indiana is only a 1.5 favorite. I’m not going to complain, I’m just gonna take a nice chunk of the money I’m up and wager accordingly.

— Capital Region Cardinals Fan (@scho525) March 18, 2023

Indiana on the other hand, is a potent offense both inside and out. They average 75 points per contest, while boasting the nation’s seventh ranked shooting percentage. The Hoosiers shoot 37% from three and have produced the 30th most assists this season.

Defensively, they also matchup well with what is usually a very potent Hurricanes offense. Indiana ranks 23rd in opponent shooting percentage, and 14th in blocks. They also don’t allow very many second chance opportunities, ranking 28th in defensive rebounds per outing.

The Hoosiers may have been a very popular team to wager against in the first round, but they profile as a clear team to back in the second round.

Pick: Indiana -1.5 (-110)

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