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Opening 2022 Big Ten Championship Game Odds – Michigan a 15.5-Point Favorite vs Purdue

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Football

Nov 27, 2022 · 10:42 AM PST

Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy moving in the pocket
Nov 26, 2022; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Michigan Wolverines quarterback J.J. McCarthy (9) scrambles out of the pocket during the second half of the NCAA football game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State lost 45-23. Mandatory Credit: Adam Cairns-The Columbus Dispatch Ncaa Football Michigan Wolverines At Ohio State Buckeyes
  • Michigan has opened as a 15.5-point favorite over Purdue in the Big Ten Championship Game on Saturday, Dec. 3
  • Michigan is 7-4-1 ATS this season and Purdue is 5-7
  • A look at the Michigan vs Purdue opening odds for the Big Ten title game can be found below

Michigan has opened as a 15.5-point favorite over Purdue in the 2022 Big Ten Championship Game.

The big number is not a surprise. Michigan (12-0) was #3 in the last CFP rankings and upset #2 Ohio State 45-23 on the road Saturday while Purdue (8-4) is unranked.

The over/under is 48.5 points in a game that will be played at 8:00 p.m. ET Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. It will be televised by Fox.

Purdue vs Michigan Opening Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Purdue +640 +15.5 (-110) Over 48.5 (-110)
Michigan -1000 -15.5 (-110) Under 48.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 27th at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Michigan has an implied win probability of 90.91% as -1000 favorites on the moneyline in the college football odds. As +640 underdogs, Purdue’s IWP is 13.51%.

The Wolverines have +300 national championship odds and are the second choice behind defending champion Georgia (-175).



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Michigan Rolls in Columbus

Five of Michigan’s six touchdowns were at least 45 yards as it beat Ohio State to clinch the East Division title.

Donovan Edwards, subbing for an injured Blake Corum, had scoring runs of 75 and 85 yards in the fourth quarter to put the game out of reach. He finished with 216 yards on 22 carries.

Cornelius Johnson caught TD passes covering 69 and 75 yards. He wound up with four receptions for 160 yards.

J.J. McCarthy completed 12 of 24 passes for 263 yards and three touchdowns and also rushed for a score. Prior to Saturday, his longest completion of the season was 42 yards.

Michigan finished its first perfect regular season in Big Ten play since winning all eight conference games in 1991. The Wolverines’ last undefeated regular season came in 1971.

Purdue Wins, Gets Help

Iowa was in position to win the West Division but was upset at Nebraska on Friday. That gave Purdue an opening and it took advantage by beating Indiana 30-16 on Saturday on the road.

Aidan O’Connell shined for the Boilermakers as he threw for 290 yards and two touchdowns while completing 18 of 29 attempts.

Running back Devin Mockobee amassed 157 yards of total offense. He carried 15 times for 99 yards and a score while also notching five receptions for 58 yards.

Charlie Jones hauled in four passes for 143 yards and a score. Charlie Trice returned an interception for a touchdown.

Purdue won the Old Oaken Bucket, emblematic of its in-state rivalry with the Hoosiers. The Boilermakers also made it back-to-back eight-win seasons for the first time since 1997 and 1998

Keep an Eye on Corum

Corum left the game early for the second week in a row because of a knee injury. While Edwards filled in quite capably despite having a hand injury himself, Corum is one of the best running backs in the country.

His +1400 Heisman Trophy odds are a testament to Corum’s importance to the Michigan offense. Corum has 1,463 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns on 247 carries.

History Favors Michigan

Michigan has won four straight games against Purdue, though the teams haven’t met since 2017.

The Wolverines are also the defending Big Ten champions after rolling over Iowa 42-3 in last year’s title game. Purdue hasn’t won the conference since 2000 and has never appeared in the championship game, which was instituted in 2011.

Movement on the Line?

At 15.5 points, Michigan is a substantial favorite. However, it would not be a surprise to see the line go higher, especially in the wake of the Wolverines’ convincing win over Ohio State.

Michigan is a national brand and Purdue is not. That also tends to influence the odds.


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