The 3 Best Player Props & TD Picks for Lions vs Cardinals

• The Lions vs Cardinals matchup will feature two teams in dire need for a win in Week 5 of the regular season
• Jared Goff could be in line for an explosive performance against a struggling Arizona defense
• Read on to find my best Lions vs Cardinals player props and touchdown picks

The Detroit Lions (2-2 SU, 0-3-1 ATS, 4-0 O/U) travel to the desert to battle the Arizona Cardinals (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U) at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2026, with kickoff set for 4:25 PM ET on FOX.

Prop bettors will lock in on a high-octane Detroit offense driven by quarterback Jared Goff (averaging 303.5 passing yards per game) and explosive dual-threat back Jahmyr Gibbs, who commands an immense 25.5 touches per contest.

Across the field, veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett commands an Arizona attack leaning heavily on emerging backfield weapon Jeremiyah Love and target monster Trey McBride.

With Detroit’s four games combining for an undefeated 4-0 Over run behind a defense surrendering 31.8 points per game, and Arizona allowing scores on over 45% of opponent drives, identifying reliable volume within these condensed distributions offers distinct betting value.

Here are the premier player prop picks on the board for this Week 5 matchup.

Best Player Prop Picks for Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals

The player prop market for this matchup highlights a clash of established offensive volume and yielding defensive parameters. Bettors can uncover actionable value by targeting reliable individual usage patterns, particularly within Detroit’s passing attack and Arizona’s defined backfield split.

Jared Goff Over 35.5 Passing Attempts (-110, BetMGM)

Operating at the helm of an explosive offense and having thrown for 1,214 yards through four weeks, Detroit’s starting quarterback brings established volume into this dome road environment.

Jared Goff has exceeded 35.5 passing attempts in three of four games this season and four of his last five overall, maintaining a robust 40.3 passing attempts per game average over that span – capped off by a massive 52-attempt showing against Carolina in Week 4.

That high dropback ceiling is fueled by game scripts where Detroit’s defense has surrendered 31.8 points per game, constantly forcing Goff to stay aggressive through the air.

Facing an Arizona defense surrendering 351.3 total yards per game and yielding scores on 45.24% of opponent drives, Goff’s proven floor for dropbacks should remain securely intact.

Tyler Allgeier Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-115, theScore Bet)

Operating as the secondary change-of-pace back behind rookie Jeremiyah Love, limited offensive snaps and diminishing touch volume present a significant hurdle for this rushing prop. Tyler Allgeier has failed to exceed 25.5 rushing yards in four of his last six games in this split, averaging a quiet 16.2 rushing yards per game.

More critically, over Arizona’s last three contests, Allgeier has logged rush attempt totals of just five, two, and eight carries, including a minus-1 yard outing against San Francisco in Week 3, although he did record 42 rushing yards in Week 4 against the Giants.

The Detroit defensive front allows just 119.8 rushing yards per contest and restricts opposing ball-carriers to 4.44 yards per carry, consistently shutting down interior gaps. With Arizona frequently forced into negative passing scripts, Allgeier’s limited carry share points safely to the under.

Trey McBride Over 7.5 Receptions (-104, Polymarket)

Detroit’s defense currently surrenders an NFL-high 304.0 gross passing yards and second-worst 31.8 points per game, along with a porous 52.83% third-down conversion rate allowed that consistently extends opposing drives.

These yielding middle-of-the-field conditions present an ideal target funnel for Arizona’s undisputed alpha option. Trey McBride has commanded double-digit targets in every single game this season (13, 10, 11, and 12 looks), amassing 46 total targets and hauling in at least seven catches in all four outings (9, 8, 9, and 7 receptions).

That sustained 33.8% target share makes him the clear security blanket for Jacoby Brissett. As Arizona plays catch-up against Detroit’s 29.8 points-per-game scoring machine, expect McBride to easily blow past eight grabs.

Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown (76% / -317, Novig) – Use SBD’s Novig promo code during sign-up

Finding value in the touchdown market requires isolating players with guaranteed multi-faceted red-zone volume. Jahmyr Gibbs commands a massive 25.5 combined touches per outing for Detroit, having totaled 80 carries and 28 targets (22 receptions) through four weeks to establish himself as one of football’s most lethal dual threats.

Gibbs has reached the end zone in all four games in 2026, compiling seven total touchdowns (five rushing, two receiving), including multi-touchdown performances against both the New Orleans Saints and the New York Jets.

Given his 100% scoring consistency and unmatched touch priority against an Arizona defense allowing touchdowns on over 45.2% of opposing possessions, Gibbs possesses multiple avenues to pay dirt.

Securing the “Yes” contract at 76% (equal to -317 odds) at Novig provides much better value compared to standard bookmaker juice (cf -450 at FanDuel).

DET vs ARI Touchdown Scorer Odds

Odds are American-format equivalent of Kalshi’s cent-based contract prices. New users can sign-up using SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code ahead of Week 5.