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Bears vs Seahawks Touchdown Picks & Player Props to Target on MNF

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL News

Published:


D'Andre Swift running with ball
Oct 22, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift (4) runs the ball against the New England Patriots during the fourth quarter at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images
  • The NFL closes out Week 8 when the Chicago Bears visit the Seattle Seahawks on MNF
  • Chicago RB D’Andre Swift plays a prominent role in my player props picks
  • See all my Week 8 Bears vs Seahawks player props, picks and best bets below

The Chicago Bears travel to Lumen Field to face the Seattle Seahawks on November 2 at 8:15pm ET for an intriguing matchup broadcast on ESPN. Bettors seeking value on the board have plenty of compelling player props to sift through before kickoff.

Chicago relies on Caleb Williams to distribute the football, while D’Andre Swift commands opportunities out of the backfield. On the opposite sideline, Seattle looks to Sam Darnold to connect with Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp to move the chains. Let’s break down the passing, rushing, and receiving projections to uncover actionable betting value in this primetime clash.

My top NFL prop picks for this potential NFC Championship game matchup are below.

Bears vs Seahawks Player-Prop Picks

Bettors looking to wager on individual performances can find a variety of passing, rushing, and receiving markets for this contest. The following tables break down the current totals available for both Chicago and Seattle.

CHI vs SEA Passing Props

PlayerPassing YardsPass CompletionsPassing Touchdowns
Caleb Williams (CHI)226.5 (O-115/U-115)20.5 (O-105/U-125)1.5 (O+130/U-175)
Sam Darnold (SEA)235.5 (O-115/U-115)19.5 (O-128/U-105)1.5 (O-115/U-115)

Odds as of November 1. Click here for a bet365 Sportsbook promo code to bet on NFL games this season.

Sam Darnold Under 30.5 Pass Attempts (-104 at Novig)
Darnold has operated in positive or neutral game scripts that limit heavy dropback volume. He has finished with fewer than 30.5 pass attempts in three of his last four starts (22 attempts vs the Chargers, 29 vs San Francisco, and 28 in Week 7 vs Kansas City), averaging 32.5 attempts per game overall.

When Seattle plays with a lead or within one score, head coach Mike Macdonald leans heavily into the running game, where the Seahawks have averaged 21.8 team carries over their last four contests. Against a Bears defense allowing just 241.3 passing yards per game, Seattle will look to protect Darnold rather than force 31 or more dropbacks.

Bears vs Seahawks Rushing & Receiving Props

PlayerRushing YardsRushing AttemptsReceiving YardsReceptions
D’Andre Swift (CHI)60.5 (O-115/U-115)17.5 (O+101/U-130)20.5 (O-110/U-120)2.5 (O-167/U+125)
Luther Burden (CHI)3.5 (O-118/U-110)–51.5 (O-125/U-105)4.5 (O+100/U-133)
Rome Odunze (CHI)––42.5 (O-115/U-115)3.5 (O+130/U-175)
Colston Loveland (CHI)––44.5 (O-115/U-115)4.5 (O+110/U-149)
Zach Charbonnet (SEA)32.5 (O-115/U-115)–7.5 (O-115/U-115)1.5 (O+155/U-208)
Emanuel Wilson (SEA)18.5 (O-112/U-114)–––
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)––100.5 (O-115/U-115)7.5 (O-111/U-120)
Cooper Kupp (SEA)––29.5 (O-120/U-111)2.5 (O-128/U-105)

The rushing yards line for D’Andre Swift dropped from 62.5 to 60.5, while his rushing attempts moved from 18.5 (-112) down to 17.5 (+101). Luther Burden saw his receiving yards decrease from 52.5 to 51.5, and his rushing yards fell from 4.5 to 3.5. On the Seattle side, Zach Charbonnet experienced a drop in his rushing yards expectation, falling from 35.5 to 32.5. Conversely, the receiving yards line for Jaxon Smith-Njigba climbed from 98.5 to 100.5, with his receptions over odds shifting from -105 to -111.

D’Andre Swift Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-104 / 51¢ at Kalshi)
Swift enters Monday night as Chicago’s undisputed primary scoring option near the goal line, having racked up 7 rushing touchdowns through seven games. He arrives riding a three-game touchdown streak, scoring four total rushing touchdowns over that span (one at Green Bay in Week 5, two at Atlanta in Week 6, and one against New England in Week 7).

The Bears have fed Swift heavily inside the 20-yard line, converting Chicago’s 53.3% red zone touchdown rate into sustained scoring volume. Facing a Seattle defense that has surrendered four rushing scores to opposing running backs this season, Swift’s heavy workload – averaging 16.0 carries and 3.1 receptions per game – makes him a premier bet to find the end zone at -113.

D’Andre Swift Under 83.5 Rush+Rec Yards (-113 at Novig)
Swift has consistently fallen short of high scrimmage yardage thresholds over the last month. He has stayed under 83.5 rushing plus receiving yards in three of his last four games (74 total yards vs the Jets, 73 at Green Bay, and 70 at Atlanta), averaging 76.8 scrimmage yards per game over that four-game stretch.

While Chicago averages 25.7 points per game, Swift’s explosive plays have leveled off against disciplined front sevens. Seattle’s defense allows just 89.4 rushing yards per game (11th in the NFL), making this an uphill climb for Swift to clear 84 scrimmage yards on the road.

CHI Bears vs SEA Seahawks Touchdown Props

PlayerAnytime TDFirst TD
D’Andre Swift (CHI)-113+500
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)-113+575
Zach Charbonnet (SEA)+129+725
Luther Burden (CHI)+228+1150
Colston Loveland (CHI)+225+1350
Rome Odunze (CHI)+253+1350
AJ Barner (SEA)+237+1050
Cooper Kupp (SEA)+298+1600
Roschon Johnson (CHI)+318+2000
Emanuel Wilson (SEA)+343+1750
Caleb Williams (CHI)+502+2000
Sam Darnold (SEA)+683+4000

The NFL TD scorer odds highlight D’Andre Swift and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as the most likely candidates to light the lamp, both sitting at -113 for an anytime score. Smith-Njigba’s anytime odds shifted from -140, while his first touchdown odds moved from +625 to +575. Swift’s first touchdown odds shortened from +525 to +500. Zach Charbonnet also saw his first touchdown price move from +550 to +725, and Luther Burden’s odds to score first dropped from +1250 to +11

Emanuel Wilson Over 18.5 Rushing Yards (-113 at Novig)
Wilson has developed into Seattle’s primary early-down bellcow, easily clearing this modest line in four consecutive games (81 yards vs the Chargers, 61 vs San Francisco, 52 at Denver, and a 100-yard, 24-carry clinic against Kansas City in Week 7). During that four-game streak, Wilson is averaging 73.5 rushing yards per game on 19.8 carries, turning a committee into an undisputed lead role. With backfield partner Velus Jones Jr ruled out due to a hamstring injury, Wilson should see ample volume to shatter 18.5 rushing yards early in the contest.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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