Bengals vs Ravens Prediction & Best Odds for Thursday Night Football (Nov. 7)
By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Published:
- The Cincinnati Bengals will be desperate for a win when they visit the Baltimore Ravens on TNF
- Cincinnati is a game out of the last AFC Wild Card, while the Ravens are half a game out of the AFC North lead
- Below, see the Bengals vs Ravens predictions and bets odds for Thursday Night Football
AFC North rivals renew hostilities on Thursday Night Football in Week 10 as the Cincinnati Bengals (4-5, 3-1 away, 5-4 ATS) visit the Baltimore Ravens (6-3, 3-1 home, 5-3-1 ATS) at M&T Bank Stadium at 8:15 pm ET. Winners of six of their last seven, including a Week 5 OT victory at Cincinnati, Baltimore is a six-point favorite in the Bengals vs Ravens odds for TNF.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions
- Bengals +6.5 (-124) at FanDuel
- Over 52.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet
Earlier in the week, when Cincinnati was still catching 6.5 points, I included the Bengals +7.5 (-52) in my favorite early ATS picks for Week 10. I’m not the least bit surprised the line has moved towards the underdogs in this bitter division rivalry, and I’m still going to take the Bengals and the points, even at a smaller number.
The Baltimore offense is an absolute beast. The Ravens currently sit second in the NFL in points per game (31.4 PPG) and first in DVOA by a big margin. Their 37.7% rating is 16.1% ahead of second-place Washington (21.6%). The gap between Baltimore and Washington is bigger than the gap between Washington and 13th-rated Philadelphia (6.3%).
The problem with laying a bunch of points with the Ravens is two-fold: their defense isn’t great and the Bengals attack is elite. It’s still hard to comprehend how Cincinnati lost the Week 5 matchup between these teams (41-38 OT). Joe Burrow was almost perfect (30/39, 5 TDs, 1 INT) and they were up by ten points with fewer than six minutes to play.
Cincinnati has also played considerably better on the road this season (3-1) than at home (1-4).
Despite the team’s combining for 79 points in Week 5 (76 in regulation), I am still targeting the under of 53.5. The Bengals cannot afford another loss with the AFC Wild Card race as populated and packed as it is. This game is going to have the look and feel of a postseason contest. Both teams are going to try to establish the run – especially the league-leading Ravens (191.9 yards per game) – which will keep the clock moving.
Best Bengals vs Ravens Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati Bengals | +6.5 (-124) at FanDuel | +225 at bet365 | O 52.5 (-115) at bet365 |
Baltimore Ravens | -5.5 (-110) at Caesars | -258 at DraftKings | U 53.5 (-115) at FanDuel |
As of Wednesday night, there was still a surprising range in the Bengals vs Ravens odds. The spread was still as high as 6.5 at FanDuel (though Cincy +6.5 was juiced at -124) while it was as low as 5.5 at Caesars (-110 odds both ways).
The same is true of the game total. Most books have it at 53 flat but ESPN Bet currently lists it at 52.5 (O -115/U -105) while FanDuel has it a full point lower at 52.5 (O -105/U -115).
On the moneyline, the best price on the underdog Bengals is +225 at bet365, while the best Ravens’ moneyline is -258 at DraftKings.
The NFL public-betting percentages for TNF show the public hammering the Ravens on the moneyline, putting 78% of handle on Baltimore to win. The public also loves the under with 84% of money on the under so far. The public doesn’t have a strong lean on the spread, though. Cincinnati is getting 55% of ATS handle at the moment on exactly 50% of bets.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.