Best Colts vs Vikings Player Props to Bet for SNF in Week 9
By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:
- The Colts square off with the Vikings in NFL Week 9 action on Sunday, November 3rd, from U.S. Bank Stadium
- Both teams are desperate for a win as Indianapolis and Minnesota are trailing in their divisions
- Take a look below for our top Colts vs Vikings player prop bets
Through eight weeks of the NFL season, the Indianapolis Colts are 4-4, good for second in the AFC South. The Minnesota Vikings are 5-2, but in third place in the ultra-competitive NFC North. The Colts are switching back to veteran QB Joe Flacco and benching Anthony Richardson. As the Colts meet the Vikings on Sunday, November 3rd, at U.S. Bank Stadium, it’s the home squad that’s a five-point favorite in the Week 9 NFL odds. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm ET and the game will be broadcast on NBC in the US and TSN in Canada.
Colts vs Vikings Player Props
Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Flacco (IND) | 22.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 241.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 1.5 (Ov+120/Un-155) |
Sam Darnold (MIN) | 21.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 249.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 1.5 (Ov-130/Un +100) |
Running Backs | Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 18.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) | 72.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Aaron Jones (MIN) | 17.5 (Ov+110/Un-145) | 71.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 16.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Josh Downs (IND) | 5.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) | 61.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 21.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) | 4.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) | 53.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 19.5 (Ov-125/Un-105) |
Alec Pierce (IND) | 1.5 (Ov-190/Un+145) | 23.5 (Ov-115/Un-15) | 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Adonai Mitchell (IND) | 1.5 (Ov-170/Un+130) | 18.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 12.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Mo Alie-Cox (IND) | 1.5 (Ov+135/Un-175) | 8.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 7.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 6.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) | 84.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 26.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
T.J. Hockenson (MIN) | 3.5 (Ov-135/Un+105) | 38.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 17.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) |
Jordan Addison (MIN) | 3.5 (Ov+110/Un-145) | 41.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 19.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Jalen Nailor (MIN) | 1.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) | 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 13.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Sam Darnold is favored to throw for more passing yardage (249.5 compared to Joe Flacco 241.5). Justin Jefferson has the highest receiving yardage total in the NFL player props for SNF at 84.5. As for the running backs, the Colts’ Jonathan Taylor is set at 72.5 yards and the Vikings’ Aaron Jones is at 71.5 yards.
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Colts vs Vikings Prop #1: Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
This season, the Indianapolis Colts have been gashed on the ground, allowing the third most rushing yards in the NFL (151.9 per game). In their last four contests, the Colts have surrendered 102 yards to Joe Mixon, 77 to De’Von Achane, 93 to Tony Pollard, and 101 to Tank Bigsby.
11/1 💣
Running backs with the best matchups heading into week 9 based on rush yards given up exclusively to RBs…
Kyren Williams (LAR)
Alvin Kamara (NO)
Aaron Jones (MIN)
Tony Pollard (TEN)
DeAndre Swift (CHI) pic.twitter.com/14umPp0YoQ— Breaking Balls Sports (@BreaknBallsBets) November 1, 2024
On four occasions this season, Aaron Jones has gone past the 71.5 yards threshold, and he’s been 90+ rushing yards in each of those contests. Given that he’s up against a squad that gives up a ton of yardage on the ground, expect Minny to pound the rock a lot, and get him his total.
- Colts vs Vikings Prop Pick: Aaron Jones over 71.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Colts vs Vikings Prop #2: Josh Downs Receptions
One receiver that has shown fantastic chemistry with Colts’ QB Joe Flacco is Josh Downs. In the three games Flacco has competed in this season, Down has caught 24 passes for a total of 217 yards and two TD’s.
Josh Downs (2024)
+ @FantasyPtsDataw/ Joe Flacco
+ 26.5% target share (WR8)
+ 9.0 catchable targets per game (WR1)
+ 19.2 FPG (WR7)w/ Anthony Richardson
+ 21.1% target share (WR32)
+ 3.3 catchable targets per game (WR66)
+ 9.6 FPG (WR52)— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) October 29, 2024
In each of the three affairs, Downs has caught at least seven balls, and been targeted at least nine times. He’s also coming off a 109 yard game last week with Anthony Richardson at QB. His line is set at 5.5 receptions in this game, and the Vikings are surrendering the third highest passing yards per game in the league (263.0). Expect Downs to continue the chemistry with Flacco, and he’s a big part of John Hyslop’s Colts vs Vikings same-game parlay.
- Colts vs Vikings Prop Pick: Josh Downs over 5.5 receptions (-155); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Colts vs Vikings Touchdown Scorer Props
Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
---|---|---|
Aaron Jones (MIN) | +475 | -135 |
Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +500 | -150 |
Jonathan Taylor (IND) | +550 | -150 |
T.J. Hockenson (MIN) | +1000 | +165 |
Jordan Addison (MIN) | +1000 | +170 |
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) | +1500 | +200 |
Josh Downs (IND) | +1600 | +225 |
Jalen Nailor (MIN) | +1600 | +290 |
Ty Chandler (MIN) | +1600 | +300 |
Sam Darnold (MIN) | +2200 | +475 |
The Vikings’ Aaron Jones owns the shortest odds for this game to get an anytime TD at -135 and he also has the shortest odds to find the end zone first at +475.
Colts vs Vikings Prop #3: Justin Jefferson Anytime Touchdown
It’s no surprise that Justin Jefferson has been phenomenal yet again this season, as he’s third in receiving yardage (646). He’s also been clutch at finding the end zone, finding pay dirt in five of seven contests on the campaign.
Justin Jefferson career stats in the month of November:
🟣 2x Player of the Month
🟣 13 Games played
🟣 77 Receptions
🟣 1,325 Yards
🟣 9 TouchdownsWelcome to the month of Justin Jefferson. 🦃 pic.twitter.com/6PZZDdIAYY
— JJetasMuse✈️ (@JJetasMuse) November 2, 2024
Not only have the Vikings struggled against the pass this season, but the Colts are only marginally better (ninth most yards per game). Jefferson will have his looks to record a TD, something he’s done in seven of his last ten overall contests. If you’re also looking for a standard bet on the game, make sure to check out Brady Trettenero’s Colts vs Vikings predictions.
- Colts vs Vikings Prop Pick: Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown (-150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.