- Our Patriots vs Vikings same-game parlay picks for Thursday’s Thanksgiving Day contest are live
- Will Kirk Cousins fall short of 274.5 Passing Yards? Can Jakobi Meyers exceed 49.5 Receiving Yards?
- Keep reading for our Patriots vs Vikings same-game parlay picks below
Let’s face it. At this point, you’re probably sprawled out on the couch in the middle of a tryptophan coma. You’re likely in no shape or condition to create a Patriots vs Vikings same-game parlay, but fear not, we’ve got you covered.
Patriots vs Vikings Same-Game Parlay
|Kirk Cousins Under 274.5 Passing Yards||-205|
|Jakobi Meyers Over 49.5 Receiving Yards||-150|
|New England Patriots +3.5||-135|
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Our New England-Minnesota same-game parlay features three legs and pays out +370 odds if it hits. The first leg is a bet against Kirk Cousins’ arm, while the second leg targets a favorable matchup for Jakobi Myers. The anchor leg focuses on the Pats, who should be able to keep this game within a touchdown.
Kirk Cousins Under 274.5 Passing Yards
The Vikings are 2.5-point favorites in this matchup, but success for Cousins and the Vikings’ pass game should be just as difficult as it was last week against the Cowboys. Cousins threw for just 105 yards and was sacked seven times by the league’s number two-ranked defense per DVOA, and now he has to face the number one unit.
#Vikings offense in Week 11:
Dalvin Cook: 72 rushing yards, 0 TDs
Kirk Cousins: 12/23, 105 yards, 0 TDs
TJ Hockenson: 34 yards
Justin Jefferson: 33 yards
Adam Thielen: 25 yards #Cowboys defense –
7 sacks, 3 points allowed
— Patrik [No C] Walker (@VoiceOfTheStar) November 21, 2022
New England hasn’t allowed a touchdown in back-to-back games. Bill Belichick’s teams have held Cousins to 5.0 yards per attempt in two career meetings, Cousins’ lowest mark against any team he’s faced multiple times.
Also working against Cousins is the loss of his star left tackle. Christian Darrisaw is out with a concussion per the Patriots vs Vikings injury report, and his loss is sure to be felt. New England ranks second in pressure rate, while Cousins’ QBR dips 60 points when under duress this season.
Minnesota’s QB looks like a clear fade in the Patriots vs Vikings player props.
Jakobi Meyers Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
Only seven teams have allowed more receiving production than Minnesota. That’s good news for Jakobi Meyers, who’s been a target monster since Mac Jones returned under center.
Jakobi Meyers Stats – Last 3 Games
Meyers has seen 25 targets in his last three games alone, racking up 18 catches for 154 receiving yards. He’s reached at least 50 receiving yards in six of eight games this season and leads New England in catches, yards and targets.
The Vikings rank 19th against the pass per DVOA and 25th in coverage per Pro Football Focus’ metrics. Given that info, it’s not a shocker to see one of our experts roll with New England in the Patriots vs Vikings picks.
New England Patriots +3.5
New England enters play with a 6-3-1 record against the spread, covering in six of their past seven games. They drew plenty of early week money in the Patriots vs Vikings public betting splits, pushing the line from Minnesota -3 to -2.5.
Despite their impressive 8-2 record, the Vikings have not been kind to spread bettors. They’ve covered in just 40% of their games, and are one of only four teams in the past 20 seasons to begin the year with an 8-2 straight-up record, but with a losing mark ATS.
Kirk Cousins in daylight vs Kirk Cousins in the dark pic.twitter.com/t2K874vLAX
— The Volume (@TheVolumeSports) November 20, 2022
Then there’s the Cousins primetime narrative. Cousins is 11-17 ATS all-time under the lights, losing in Minnesota’s lone night game this year by 17 points at Philadelphia.
DVOA has New England graded 13 spots higher than the Vikings, but even if Minnesota does pull this game out it likely won’t be by much. Seven of the Vikings’ eight wins this season have been by one score, with three of those victories coming by 3 points or less.