Best Wild Card Weekend NFL Parlays and Teasers
- Our Wild Card Playoffs parlay picks come in the form of the Bills, Cowboys and one scoring prop in SNF
- With weather concerns and quarterback injuries, we’re teasing some totals Under in two of the weekend’s six games
- Read on to see our breakdown of the best Wild Card Weekend parlays and teasers to target this weekend
We’re getting creative with this week’s NFL parlays and teasers for Wild Card Weekend. With only six games to choose from, we have moneyline favorites, alt totals on both the Over and Under, scoring props and alternate spreads touching nearly every game this weekend.
See why we’ve included these seven selections into our best NFL parlays and teasers for the Wild Card Playoffs.
Wild Card Playoffs Parlay Picks
| Matchup | Pick (Odds) |
|---|---|
| Steelers vs Bills | Bills (-525) |
| Packers vs Cowboys | Cowboys (-360) |
| Rams vs Lions | Both Over 1.5 TDs (-375) |
| TOTAL ODDS | -109 |
Our Wild Card Playoffs parlay predictions include plays on the Bills, Cowboys and two touchdowns or more from each of the Rams and Lions coming in at -109 odds at Bet365. With the playoffs coming up, be sure to get all the top Super Bowl betting promos to kick off the new year!
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NFL Wild Card Parlay Picks
As heavy home favorites on Sunday we’ll include the Bills and Cowboys to get the win and advance and close out our Wild Card parlay with a scoring prop on Sunday Night Football between two high-scoring teams in the Rams and Lions.
Steelers vs Bills
- Pick: Bills
The Steelers are a solid 5-3 on the road and riding a three-game winning streak, but they come up against a team in even better form as Buffalo has won five straight and is 7-2 at home.
Pittsburgh’s offense has improved with Mason Rudolph but this is still the third-stringer who couldn’t beat out Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett for playing time earlier this season, in a Steelers offense that ranks 28th in PPG (17.9).
Rudolph has been effective but has just three passing touchdowns in just over three games. They could lean on the run game with Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren, but then Buffalo is 7th versus the run.
And Pittsburgh have been dealt a huge blow with TJ Watt, the league’s sack leader with 19 sacks being ruled out with a knee injury. The Steelers are rarely and almost never a good bet without their defensive leader, being 1-10 SU and 4-6-1 ATS without Watt in the lineup.
Packers vs Cowboys
- Pick: Cowboys
Dallas is a perfect 8-0 at home this season and that goes back even further to last season where they’re now 16-0.
At home this season Dallas has wins by 20, 35, 23, 32, 35, 6, 20 and then 1 point against Detroit most recently in Week 17.
Dallas has the second-highest point differential in the league at +194 with most of that coming at home where they’ve outscored their opponents by 172 points.
The Packers are 4-5 SU and ATS on the road and 3-3 ATS as a road underdog. They’ve let Bryce Young and Baker Mayfield throw for over 300 yards passing in recent games and now will face a big step up in Dak Prescott.
Prescott is 21-2 SU as a home favorite of 7+ points and the Packers are improving but are still the youngest team in the league. The more- seasoned and dominant home team wins here.
#Cowboys are 7.5-point favorites Sunday vs. #Packers per ESPN BET. Dak Prescott is 21-2 outright as a home favorite of at least 7 points in his career and 15-7-1 ATS in those 23 games. This would be the first time in his playoff career as a 7-point favorite.
@EpKap pic.twitter.com/mxOqu8rSfY
— Ed Werder (@WerderEdESPN) January 10, 2024
Rams vs Lions
- Pick: Both Over 1.5 Touchdowns
We’re getting down to it and running out of options for parlays here, so let’s get creative and create an SGP game prop at Bet365 to round out this parlay.
We have two top offenses here with LA averaging 23.8 PPG (8th) and Detroit averaging 27.1 PPG (5th).
Neither defense is good with the Rams 19th in PPG allowed and Lions 23rd. Both are better versus the run, LA 12th and Detroit 2nd, while being 20th (LA) and 27th (Detroit) versus the pass.
Just looking at the Lions’ defense, they’ve allowed over 800 yards to Nick Mullens alone in recent games.
Points are expected in this game. The total in the NFL football line is 51.5. But rather than worrying about the Over or Under or who wins, why not create an SGP from this game to pair with the two moneyline options mentioned above. That SGP is for both teams to score Over 1.5 touchdowns.
That’s something that has happened in each of the past seven Rams games and that has happened in nine of the past ten Lions games.
- NFL Playoffs Parlay Picks: Bills / Cowboys / Rams vs Lions both over 1.5 touchdowns (-109); risk 1 unit at Bet365
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Wild Card Playoffs Teaser Picks
| Matchup | Pick (Teaser Odds) |
|---|---|
| Browns vs Texans | Atl Total Over 33 (-532) |
| Steelers vs Bills | Alt Total Under 45.5 (-468) |
| Rams vs Lions | Rams +11.5 (-450) |
| Eagles vs Buccaneers | Alt Total Under Under 55.5 (-520) |
| TOTAL ODDS | +110 |
We’re going Under some alternate totals in the Steelers vs Bills and Eagles vs Bucs, Over an alternate total in Browns vs Texans and adding some points to the Rams to make them +11.5 for out Wild Card Weekend teasers picks. This comes out to +110 odds at DraftKings.
NFL Wild Card Teaser Picks
I’ve created this teaser by choosing alternate spreads and totals at DraftKings. But you should be able to do so at most Super Bowl betting apps. Though some books may not allow for as much movement in the lines as DK.
Browns vs Texans
- Pick: Over 33
These teams have opposite Over/Under records with the Browns being tied for the highest amount of Overs at 11-6, and Houston also owning an 11-6 record but to the Under.
The total in this game is set at 44.5 and that’s a total that Browns games have gone over in each of their past three (45, 57 and 58). But they’ve also gone over that number in 5/6.
For Houston, their only game in their past six that has gone over 44.5 is their game with the Browns in Week 16, 36-22. Those Texans’ points came in garbage time when the game was out of hand, but still, they put up 22 points without CJ Stroud. He’s back here and will surely make this game more competitive this time around.
The Browns may be 1st in yards allowed per game but their defense has been poor on the road giving up 26, 38, 24, 31, 29, 36, 22 and 31 points. Those numbers alone would come close to going over an alternate total of 33.
Texans games have gone over 33 at a 14-2-1 rate this season.
Steelers vs Bills
- Pick: Under 45.5
I’m going to double dip in this game and use it in the teaser picks as well. While I think Buffalo wins, it could be close. The Bills are 0-8 ATS as double-digit favorites and 0-4 this season. Maybe Pittsburgh covers. The Steelers in a teaser at say +20.5 is also an option. Pittsburgh had a couple of heavy defeats earlier this season by 23 and 24 points but haven’t lost by more than 17 points since October 1.
But let’s focus on the total. It’s sunk from 42.5 to 35.5. That’s because of the weather that is calling for low-20s, snow, 25 mph winds and up to 50 mph wind gusts.
That surely disrupts both offenses and could lead to more rushing, less points and maybe some turnovers that stall out drives. Pittsburgh already runs the seventh-fewest plays per game and Buffalo could be without WR Gabe Davis to injury.
Let’s bump this total back up to even higher than what it started at to 45.5 and hope the elements muck this game up and cause an Under.
Rams vs Lions
- Pick: Rams +11.5
Once again, a second pick on a game in this column. I think the Rams are a good ATS pick on their own and offer good Wild Card upset potential, so add a whole bunch of points in teaser picks and I’m all in. The Rams are 10-7 and let’s look at those losses. They’ve come by 7, 3, 9, 7, 23, 17 and 6 points.
The 23-point loss was in Dallas where everyone loses and saw Stafford leave injured giving way to Brett Rypien. Rypien played the next game as well which resulted in a 17-point loss in Green Bay.
LA is rested, the Lions just struggled to put away the Vikings in Week 18 while Nick Mullens threw for almost 400 yards and they’ve lost TE Sam LaPorta to a knee injury.
Even if I’m wrong with the upset potential, Rams won’t get blown out.
The @Eagles have a lot of key injuries heading into their Monday Night matchup on #NFLWildCard weekend. @shandershow joined @GUnit_81 on #TheGregPetersonExperience to talk all the injuries and what he's most concerned about. https://t.co/RIHLBl4n3L pic.twitter.com/LOLOoePzDt
— VSiN (@VSiNLive) January 9, 2024
Eagles vs Buccaneers
- Pick: Under 55.5
The Eagles have been more of an Over team this season at 9-8. The Bucs have been more of an Under team at 11-6.
It was ages ago, but when these teams played earlier this season and in Tampa, it was an Under, with Philly winning 25-11. That total was set in a similar range at 44.
The Eagles have seen several games get into the 40s, 50s and higher in recent weeks with scores totalling 37, 66, 58, 37, 46, 61, 71, 38, 51, 69 and 48 in their past 11 games.
Bucs’ games have not hit such highs as often with their games finishing with 9, 36, 42, 54, 54, 39, 47, 41 and 26 points in their past nine games.
Both starting quarterbacks are dealing with injuries with Jalen Hurts suffering a finger injury last week and Baker Mayfield just banged up overall with rib and ankle injuries.
But the Eagles’ offense could also be slowed with each of D’Andre Swift, AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith dealing with injuries. I see both offfenses struggling so will add some points and take the Under.
- NFL Playoffs Teaser Picks: Browns vs Texans Over 33 / Steelers Bills Under 45.5 / Rams +11.5 / Eagles vs Buccaneers Under 55.5 (+110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Season record: 17-19, -3.05 units
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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
