Bills vs Raiders Anytime TD Picks & Props to Bet (Oct 18)

• The 4-1 Buffalo Bills visit Las Vegas to face the 3-2 Raiders Sunday afternoon
• I’m very bullish on both starting running backs to have a big game in this critical AFC tilt
• Buffalo vs Las Vegas odds, player props and anytime touchdown scorer picks for Week 6

Sunday, the Buffalo Bills square off against the surprising Las Vegas Raiders in a huge game for playoff positioning in the AFC. Kickoff is set for 1:25 PM PT / 4:25 PM ET on CBS at Allegiant Stadium with Buffalo the favorite in the NFL odds.

Buffalo leans on dual-threat quarterback Josh Allen and running back James Cook to move the chains. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins orchestrates the Las Vegas passing attack with Ashton Jeanty providing backfield upside. Keep reading for my favorite NFL props picks and touchdown scorers for this contest.

Best Bills vs Raiders Player Prop Picks

Ashton Jeanty Over 14.5 Rushing Attempts (-117, Novig)

Ashton Jeanty commands massive backfield volume when defending his home track. Jeanty has exceeded 14.5 rushing attempts in both of his home starts this season (23 carries against Miami in Week 1 and 15 against Kansas City in Week 4), while clearing this 14.5 mark in four of five games overall (23, 21, 19, 15, and ten carries). The second-year RB has piled up 88 carries and 22 receptions through five weeks, serving as the unquestioned focal point of the game plan.

Buffalo’s defense surrenders 108.2 rushing yards per game and 3.92 yards per rushing attempt. With his consistently high home workload and heavy touch floor, the opportunities should be there to hit this over and cash my ticket.

Dalton Kincaid Under 4.5 Receptions (-133, BetMGM)

The Las Vegas defense yields 253.2 passing yards per game and allows a 42.2% third-down conversion rate. Against this setup, I am fading the Buffalo tight end because Dalton Kincaid has failed to exceed 4.5 receptions in ten of his last twelve games on the road (2.8 receptions per game average).

In fact, Kincaid’s target share has sharply declined as Buffalo’s offense leans increasingly on the ground game; over his last three games overall, Kincaid has recorded two, one, and one reception, totaling just 52 receiving yards combined over that span.

James Cook III Anytime Touchdown (59¢, Kalshi)

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Anytime TD Prediction

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Kalshi

Cook 1+ TD

59%

Predict

I am attacking the touchdown markets by backing the Buffalo running back to find paydirt. James Cook has caught fire around the goal line, scoring a touchdown in four consecutive games entering Week 6 (five total touchdowns on the season). After posting single rushing touchdowns in Weeks 2, 3, and 4 against Detroit, the Chargers, and New England, he erupted for two rushing scores and 111 yards on 25 carries last week against the Rams.

Cook averages a stellar 106.4 rushing yards per game (532 yards on 95 carries, 5.6 yards per carry), establishing him as the primary engine for this offense. Facing a Raiders defense that has allowed seven rushing touchdowns through five weeks, taking the Kalshi price of 59 cents per contract secures superior value on Cook.

BUF vs LV Touchdown Odds & Prices

The table lists Kalshi prices for anytime touchdowns and first touchdowns. It includes each listed player or team defense with a price of at least 2¢ in either market.

Not sure how Kalshi prices equate to American odds? Use SBD’s Kalshi odds converter to find out.