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Odds Stacked Against Bruce Arians Coaching Browns in 2019

Bruce Arians
Could Bruce Arians leave the CBS broadcast booth after just one season to return to coaching in the NFL? Photo by Gage Skidmore (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Over the weekend, Bruce Arians said that the only team he would come out of retirement for is the Cleveland Browns
  • Bovada has a prop on whether or not Arians will coach the Browns in 2019
  • Will it be Arians or someone else leading Cleveland into the 2019 season?

The fact the NFL stands for ‘Not For Long’ has carried over into retirements. Ever since Brett Favre started yo-yoing back and forth, everyone thinks they can.

Now, could it be Bruce Arians’ turn?

News broke over the weekend that Arians himself said the Browns’ head coaching gig is “the only one he’d consider.” Bovada has now released a prop regarding his 2019 status.

So is Arians the next man to head up the Browns?

Odds Bruce Arians Coaches the Browns in 2019

Will Bruce Arians be the Browns’ coach in Week 1 of the 2019 season? Oddsat Bovada
Yes +450
No -850

Cleveland connection runs deep for Bruce Arians

Let’s start with the team Arians wants to come out of retirement for.

It’s no secret that Arians’ career as an offensive coordinator started in Cleveland. He spent three years there as the OC from 2001-2003.

In his first year, the Browns were the 28th-ranked passing offense and 31st-ranked rushing attack. In his second year? 18th in passing, 23rd in rushing, and a playoff appearance.

The Browns would go 8-8 the following season, miss the playoffs, and Arians was gone.

Those three years, however, showed Arians how passionate the city of Cleveland is about football.

Bruce Arians has the track record to succeed with Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers Season Passing Yards Rushing Yards Yards per Play TO%
2006+ 3,733 (9th) 1,992 (10th) 5.5 (6th) 18.1 (4th)
2007 3,071 (22nd) 2,168 (3rd) 5.2 (17th) 11.4 (27th)
2008* 3,301 (17th) 1,690 (23rd) 4.9 (24th) 12.6 (17th)

+Offensive Coordinator was Ken Whisenhunt
*Won Super Bowl

When you look at Arians from an Xs and Os standpoint, his hiring would make sense.

After leaving the Browns in 2003, Arians went to Pittsburgh. He was the wide receivers coach from 2004-06, and took over as OC in 2007.

While there was a drop off in passing yards in 2007, Arians was able to limit turnovers with a young Ben Roethlisberger. He leaned on the running game more, and created a more efficient offense by dropping the yards per play.

Arians would eventually move on to the Indianapolis Colts in 2012. A year after a 2-14 season, Arians transformed rookie QB Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense.

Indy gained a total of 4,589 total yards in 2011, with names like Curtis Painter, Dan Orlovsky, and Kerry Collins leading the offense.

The following season (with Arians)? Just five teams in the AFC would outscore the Colts, who put up 4,128 passing yards and 5,799 total yards.

He also stepped in at mid-season for Chuck Pagano as he battled leukemia. Arians went 9-3, becoming the first interim head coach to win Coach of the Year.

Bruce Arians’ experience with Cardinals would benefit Browns

Arians would get his first head coaching gig the next season with the Arizona Cardinals.

After back-to-back playoff appearances, the Cards had gone 18-30 the next three years.

Under Arians? The Cards finished 49-30-1, making the playoffs twice as Arians won Coach of the Year in 2014. They went from 28th in passing and 32nd in rushing under Ken Whisenhunt, to a top ten passing offense in 2015 and 2016.

Will Brue Arians be the next head coach of the Cleveland Browns?

The most interesting thing in this whole situation is that it was Arians who expressed interest in the Browns.

That’s big for Cleveland.

And while the Browns will undoubtedly open their search looking for the next Sean McVay, Arians is well respected throughout the league.

It remains to be seen how Gregg Williams will finish out the season. He has the defense playing as well as it has in years.

But Baker Mayfield needs a mentor.

And Brue Arians wants to be there. If the interest is legit, I think he heads to the top of the Browns’ list of candidates.

YES (+450) Bruce Arians will be the head coach of the Browns in 2019

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Bryan fell in love with sports watching Roy Halladay come within an inch of a no-hitter, and has spent the past decade turning this love into a career. He brings eight years editing with TSN and nine years of on-air work with Rogers Media to his odds and game analysis here at SportsBettingDime.