- The Arizona Cardinals clash with the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football (Oct. 19th, 8:15 pm EST)
- Our MNF prop bets were 4-1 in Week 5 (2020 season: +1.06 units)
- Read below for analysis and our favorite Monday Night Football prop bets
Week 6 on the NFL calendar wraps up on Monday Night Football (Oct. 19th, 8:15 pm EST) as the Arizona Cardinals clash with the Dallas Cowboys.
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) October 18, 2020
This game features a lofty total of 55.5, and will mark the beginning of the Andy Dalton era in Dallas. The Cowboys offense is averaging 32.6 points per game, and should still be very effective with Dalton under center.
The props market certainly doesn’t view Dalton as a substantial downgrade from Dak, as all of the Cowboys receivers have yardage over/unders similar to what they would have if Prescott was slinging the pigskin.
Cardinals vs Cowboys Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Kyler Murray (ARZ)||26.5 (Ov +110 | Un -136)||289.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +165)|
|Andy Dalton (DAL)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||289.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -152 | Un +122)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Kenyan Drake (ARZ)||14.5 (Ov -121 | Un -104)||59.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Chase Edmonds (ARZ)||N/A||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)||20.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105)||89.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||120.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|DeAndre Hopkins (ARZ)||6.5 (Ov -148 | Un +118)||82.5 (Ov -124| Un +100)||26.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Christian Kirk (ARZ)||3.5 (Ov -162 | Un +130)||44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ)||3.5 (Ov -152 | Un +120)||40.5 (Ov +116 | Un -148)||N/A|
|Andy Isabella (ARZ)||N/A||22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Amari Cooper (DAL)||5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||65.5 (Ov -112| Un -112)||22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|CeeDee Lamb (DAL)||4.5 (Ov -129 | Un +104)||61.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Michael Gallup (DAL)||3.5 (Ov +145 | Un -182)||41.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Dalton Schultz (DAL)||3.5 (Ov +133 | Un -167)||31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
All Odds taken Oct. 18th at DraftKings
Prop #1: Ceedee Lamb Over 4.5 Receptions
When we last saw Dalton on a full-time basis, he was peppering slot receiver Tyler Boyd in Cincinnati. Dallas spent a first round pick this year on slot receiver CeeDee Lamb, and so far he’s exceeded all expectations.
Leaders in RECs on throws 20+ yards downfield:
💥 CeeDee Lamb – 7
💥 Calvin Ridley – 7
💥 D.K. Metcalf – 7
💥 Justin Jefferson – 6
These young WRs are taking the league by storm 😤 pic.twitter.com/o0340ti9xc
— PFF (@PFF) October 12, 2020
Lamb is one of the only wideouts with at least five receptions in every game so far in 2020, and Arizona is fresh off getting torched by New York Jets slot man Jamison Crowder.
The former Oklahoma star leads all Cowboys wideouts in receiving yards per game and has drawn 34 targets since Week 2.
Pick: Lamb Over 4.5 receptions (-129), 1 unit
Prop #2: Larry Fitzgerald Under 40.5 Receiving Yards
It’s been a while since Larry Fitzgerald was the Cardinals number one receiving option, but this season he’s fallen way down the pecking order.
The 37-year-old is on pace for a career low in targets, receptions and receiving yards, and is averaging just 6.8 yards per catch this season.
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) October 11, 2020
Fitzgerald has cleared 35 receiving yards just once through five weeks, and has just two more targets than backup running back Chase Edmonds. Yes, a matchup versus Dallas is mouthwatering, but the Cowboys have been getting eating alive on the outside, making this more a plum spot for DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk.
Pick: Fitzgerald Under 40.5 receiving yards (-148), 1 unit
Cardinals vs Cowboys Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)||+450||-335|
|Kenyan Drake (ARZ)||+650||-162|
|DeAndre Hopkins (ARZ)||+950||+110|
|Amari Cooper (DAL)||+1100||+135|
|Kyler Murray (ARZ)||+1100||+130|
|Chase Edmonds (ARZ)||+1300||+175|
|CeeDee Lamb (DAL)||+1400||+180|
|Christian Kirk (ARZ)||+1800||+240|
|Dalton Schultz (DAL)||+2000||+260|
|Michael Gallup (DAL)||+2000||+285|
|Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ)||+2500||+350|
|Andy Isabella (ARZ)||+2800||+400|
Prop #3: Kyler Strikes First
It’s no secret that Arizona’s lead back Kenyan Drake has struggled this season, which has prompted Kyler Murray to take matters into his own hands near the goal line. Murray has for 5 rushing TD this season, some on design runs and others on pure improvisation.
Kyler Murray takes 1,000 steps to run in the 19-yard TD
— PFF (@PFF) September 20, 2020
Murray entered Week 6, 16th in the entire league in rushing, ahead of such big names as Alvin Kamara, David Johnson and Chris Carson. He averages 7.2 yards per carry and if the pocket breaks down in the red zone, he’s a threat to make defenders look silly on his way in for a score.
I’ll also throw a sprinkle on Michael Gallup to score at any point during the game. Gallup caught two huge passes from Dalton on the Cowboys Week 5 game-winning drive and there’s clearly a solid connection between the two.
MICHAEL GALLUP, ARE YOU KIDDING?!😱
— PFF (@PFF) October 11, 2020
Gallup is a big play waiting to happen, and has the speed and athleticism to take advantage of the Cardinals’ 27th ranked coverage unit.
Picks: Murray to score first (+1100), 0.25 units, Gallup to score anytime (+285), 0.5 units
Let's have fun and keep it civil.