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Chiefs Super Bowl 53 Odds Get Better Despite Losing to Seahawks in Week 16

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 7:51 AM PDT

Patrick Mahomes KC Chiefs
LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 19: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) during a NFL game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Rams on November 19, 2018, at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire)
  • Despite losing for the second straight week, the odds of the Kansas City Chiefs winning Super Bowl 53 have improved
  • The Chiefs haven’t reached the Super Bowl since winning Super Bowl 4 in 1970
  • The Chiefs haven’t reached the AFC Championship Game since 1993

The Kansas City Chiefs continue to be the best bet to represent the AFC in Super Bowl 53.

This despite the fact that Kansas City has lost its last two games and are 2-3 in their last five games, and with a recent history of backing into the playoffs.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 53

Team Odds
New Orleans Saints +250
Los Angeles Rams +390
Kansas City Chiefs +450
New England Patriots +650
Chicago Bears +800

On average, our leading sportsbooks list Kansas City at +500 odds to win the Super Bowl, even though it’s been 48 years since the Chiefs played in the Super Bowl.

Chiefs Not Alone In Backwards Motion

The fact of the matter is that all of the AFC’s top contenders are also in a bit of a free fall, and no team appears to be stepping forward.

If you were looking for a noise to represent the AFC, that beeping sound a truck makes while in reverse would be appropriate.

After their comeback win over the Chiefs, the Los Angeles Chargers looked to be living up to their name, until they stumbled at home and lost to the Baltimore Ravens.

The New England Patriots clinched the AFC East title for the 10th successive season, but even they’ve lost two of their last three games.

And no team is plummeting faster than the Pittsburgh Steelers, who’ve dropped four of their last five and have seen their Super Bowl odds jump to +4000.

The only AFC team currently making any sort of move is the Ravens, who are 5-1 in their last six.

Home Sweet Home? Not KC In The Playoffs

Currently, the Chiefs hold home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs, but is that necessarily a good thing?

How long has it been since Kansas City won playoff game, you ask?

Well, Joe Montana threw for a touchdown, Marcus Allen ran for a TD, and Nick Lowery kicked the winning field goal in a 27-24 win over the Steelers in the 1993 Wild Card Round.

Since that win, the Chiefs are 2-11 in the postseason and 0-7 in home playoff games.

Can Chiefs Outscore Their Mistakes?

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has established a new franchise mark for passing yardage in a season (4,602) and an NFL record for road TD passes (30).

Travis Kelce has set a team standard for receiving yardage by a tight end (1,260).

Yes, the Chiefs’ offense is explosive. It’s dynamic. But the Kansas City defense is implosive.

The Chiefs have scored at least 26 points in every game this season. They’ve topped 50 once, 40 four times, and 30 in six games. But the defense has surrendered on average 35.6 points over their current 2-3 skid.

Generally, that’s not a recipe for success and historically, neither is betting the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.

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