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Cowboys vs Eagles Predictions & Best Picks for Monday Night Football (Oct 26)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NFL News

Published:


Dak Prescott and CeDee Lamb celebrate during a game vs the Packers.
Oct 18, 2026; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) greets wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) during warmups prior to the game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
  • The Cowboys meet the Eagles in an NFC East clash on Monday Night Football
  • Dallas holds a definitive passing advantage to exploit a vulnerable Philadelphia secondary
  • Keep reading for the Cowboys vs Eagles predictions and best picks for Monday Night Football on Oct 26, below

Reeling NFC East rivals collide on Monday Night Football when the Dallas Cowboys (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U) travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles (2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U) at Lincoln Financial Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on ABC/ESPN and both teams desperately need a victory to stay relevant in the playoff picture.

Due to massive injuries on the Philly side, Dallas arrives as the road favorite in the NFL odds, leaning on quarterback Dak Prescott and elite wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. Already riding a dismal four-game losing streak, the Eagles will be without QB1 Jalen Hurts and WR1 Devonta Smith, while RB1 Saquon Barkley is questionable.

Below, I’ll break down this game from all angles. Keep reading for my Cowboys vs Eagles predictions and best picks for Monday Night Football on Oct. 26, below.

Cowboys vs Eagles Predictions for Monday Night Football

When breaking down the seasonal statistics, Dallas holds a significant advantage in moving the chains and putting points on the board.

MetricDallas CowboysPhiladelphia Eagles
Points Per Game24.817.7
Total Yards2,0591,533
Passing Yards1,6031,040
3rd Down Conversion47.2%37.3%
Red Zone Efficiency77.3%68.8%

The Cowboys outscore the Eagles by over a touchdown per game, backed by superior passing volume. Their ability to sustain drives is evident in their 47.2% third-down conversion rate. Dallas has also been ruthlessly efficient in scoring position with a 77.3% red-zone success rate.

Philadelphia provides little value for bettors this year, fielding a struggling offense that has amassed only 1,533 total yards on the season. Given Philadelphia’s lack of explosiveness and depleted depth chart, it is difficult to envision this contest turning into a high-scoring shootout.

ATS Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-104) at NOVIG – claim SBD’s exclusive NOVIG PROMO CODE today

Backing Dallas as a road favorite offers immense situational value against a Philadelphia squad that has covered the spread just once in six outings (1–5 ATS). The talent disparity is exacerbated under center: while Dallas boasts a functional, high-scoring aerial attack, the Eagles are adjusting to Tanner McKee orchestrating the passing game behind an offense generating just 17.7 points per contest.

Dallas’ 7.5-point scoring advantage, coupled with their 47.2% third-down conversion rate, gives the road favorites the sustained firepower needed to pull away and cover the 4.5-point spread.

Game-Total Pick: Under 44.5 Points (-113) at NOVIG

Philadelphia’s lack of explosiveness is a major reason they’re going to fall short of their NFL win totals. With McKee taking snaps in relief of Hurts in Week 6, the Eagles were held to just 16 points and averaged a modest 4.8 yards per pass attempt.

Philadelphia will look to protect McKee and lean heavily on ball control, short-area checkdowns, and running clock. Facing a Dallas defense that will load the box and dare McKee to beat them through the air without his full complement of weapons, expect extended possessions and limited big-play scoring that keeps this game Under 44.5 points.

Dallas vs Philadelphia Best Picks for MNF

Top Player Prop: Dallas Goedert Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-108) at NOVIG

The Eagles will take the field heavily depleted at the wide receiver position, as both DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks are officially ruled out with injuries. This absence forces the Philadelphia passing attack to rely on alternative weapons, making tight end Dallas Goedert a top target in the NFL player props market.

Goedert proved to be McKee’s favorite security blanket during Week 6 game against Carolina, commanding eight targets and hauling in six receptions for 61 yards. That followed a nine-target performance in Week 5, giving Goedert 17 targets over his last two games.

Whether McKee is executing quick-hitting slants or checking down against Dallas’ pass rush, Goedert’s established 8-to-10 target floor makes his Over 48.5 receiving yards prop the strongest individual play on the Monday night board.

DAL vs PHI Odds for Monday Night Football

Bet TypeCowboysEagles
Spread-4.5 (-108)+4.5 (-111)
Moneyline-227+185
Total PointsOver 44 (-108)Under 44 (-111)

Odds as of October 25 at BetMGM. Claim your BetMGM promo code now.

Dallas enters this divisional clash as a 4.5-point road favorite against Philadelphia at traditional sportsbooks. Bettors looking at the moneyline will find Dallas priced at -227 to secure the outright victory. Philadelphia offers plus-money value at +185 as the home underdog. Oddsmakers anticipate a moderately paced contest, setting the total at exactly 44 points.

Cowboys vs Eagles Public Betting Splits for MNF

  • Spread: 68.32% of the money is backing the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Moneyline: 77.98% of the handle favors a Dallas outright win.
  • Total: 58.63% of the money sits on the Under.

When comparing the NFL public betting splits to the official predictions, the consensus money aligns perfectly with the expected game script. Bettors are heavily backing Dallas with their wallets on both the spread and the moneyline. The financial backing for the game total leans toward the Under, reinforcing the projection that this contest will stay below the 44-point mark.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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