Upcoming Match-ups

Dolphins vs Bills Props – Best Player Props to Bet

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NFL Football

Updated Jan 14, 2023 · 3:10 PM PST

Bills quarterback Josh Allen makes a throw
Bills quarterback Josh Allen stands in the pocket and makes a throw to sideline.
  • The Dolphins play the Bills in the Super Wild Card round on Sunday, January 15 in Orchard Park, New York
  • Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and four TDs when he faced Miami last month
  • Read below for analysis and our favorite Dolphins vs Bills props

It’s been four weeks since Josh Allen faced the Miami Dolphins. Miami at least had Tua Tagovaiola, but are now starting Skylar Thompson due to Tagovaiola’s concussion injury. So let’s read on for some Dolphins vs Bills props.

That game helps somewhat from four weeks ago. So much has changed with Miami since then while Buffalo’s offense is just as potent as ever. If anything, the weather helps Buffalo even more. Miami made the playoffs only to go up to face a motivated Bills team. That sounds like a recipe for a quick tee time.

As they meet on Sunday, it’s the Bills that are set as 13.5-point favorites in the contest. Let’s look at the best Dolphins vs Bills player props and scoring props available below for your Miami vs Buffalo picks.

Dolphins vs Bills Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Skylar Thompson (MIA) OFF 190.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) 0.5 (Ov -220/Un+163)
Josh Allen (BUF) 22.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) 260.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) 1.5 (Ov-175/Un+132)
Running Back Attempts Rushing Yards Rushing TDs
Jeff Wilson (MIA) OFF 59.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) OFF
Josh Allen (BUF) 9.5 (Ov+110/Un-143 47.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) OFF
Devin Singletary (BUF) 11.5 (Ov-110/Un-118 42.5 (Ov-117/Un-113) OFF
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (Ov+100/Un-129) 79.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) OFF
Tyreek Hill (MIA) OFF 60.5 (Ov-115/Un-113) OFF
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) OFF 47.5 (Ov-115/Un-113) OFF
Gabriel Davis (BUF) 3.5 (Ov-112/Un-117) 47.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) OFF
Dawson Knox (BUF) 3.5 (Ov-112/Un-143) 34.5 (Ov-113/Un-115) OFF

All odds as of Jan. 14. Preview the newest Barstool Sportsbook promo code prior to kick-off today.

Allen is listed at 1.5 in his passing touchdown total in the table above, while Thompson is listed at 0.5. Stefon Diggs has the highest receiving yardage prop at 79.5 in the Dolphins vs Bills picks.


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This game will kickoff at 1:00pm ET on Sunday, January 15 at the Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. The weather forecast is calling for sunshine and temperatures in the 30’s.

CBS is carrying the broadcast in the USA, with streaming available through fuboTV. DAZN is carrying the game in Canada.

Dolphins vs Bills Props #1: Josh Allen Over 22.5 Completions

With Miami’s secondary as banged up as it is, Josh Allen should be able to air it out with few concerns on Sunday. The last time the two teams played, Allen did throw 40 passes. However, he figures to be a bit more accurate. It is a close bet but Allen has averaged 23 completions a game in his career versus the Dolphins.

Miami’s problem lies in the fact that even their spies cannot quite cover Josh Allen. It is partially why taking the Over 1.5 touchdowns, Over 47.5 yards, and Over 1.5 passing touchdowns hold some water on Sunday. Allen could come in right around that 23-25 completion range.

Pick: Josh Allen over 22.5 completions (+100), 1 unit.

Dolphins vs Bills Props #2: Stefon Diggs First Touchdown

When it comes to this NFL season, it makes sense the wide receiver makes an early statement at home on Sunday. Diggs had 12 catches in two meetings against Miami, but no touchdowns. Expect that to change on Sunday with Miami attempting to sit back more. Diggs should find holes in this defense no matter what cover package Miami throws out there.

Again, Miami’s passing defense has been as horrid as Minnesota’s the past five or six weeks and ranks 27th in yards allowed plus 26th in touchdowns allowed. Enough said.

Picks: Stefon Diggs first touchdown (+540), 1 unit. Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown (-114), 1 unit)

Dolphins vs Bills Scoring Props

Player Odds to Score First TD Odds to Score Any TD
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +540 -114
Josh Allen (BUF) +600 -104
Devin Singletary (BUF) +750 +133
Gabriel Davis (BUF) +800 +160
James Cook (BUF) +900 +165
Jeff Wilson (MIA) +900 +180
Tyreek Hill (MIA) +1300 +195
Dawson Knox (BUF) +1100 +225
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) +1700 +285
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) +1800 +390
Mike Gesicki (MIA) +3300 +550

Stefon Diggs and Josh Allen are both odds-on favorites to find the endzone in the NFL Wild Card Weekend props.

Dolphins vs Bills Props #3: Tyreek Hill Under 60.5 Yards

This proves to be the biggest gamble of all the player props but not on the surface. Hill is a game breaker and can score at any time. However, Buffalo seems to neutralize him somewhat. He had 69 yards in the last meeting on a whopping 13 targets. Miami figures to run the ball more with Skylar Thompson under the helm. Passing could be a bit of a disaster.

Honestly, the receiver has a better chance of getting in the end zone, but Buffalo may let someone else lead Miami receiving in yards.

Pick: Tyreek Hill under 60.5 yards receiving (-113), 1 unit. 

Dolphins vs Bills Props #4: Buffalo Anytime D/ST Touchdown

This prop is worth a modest bet on Sunday but worth a shot. The Dolphins with Thompson under center could turn a few balls over. At +340, if Miami has to pass a lot, Buffalo could make them pay with a touchdown.

Pick: Buffalo D/ST anytime TD (+340), 1 unit.


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