Dolphins vs Bills Props – Best Player Props to Bet
By Chris Wassel in NFL Football
Published:
- The Dolphins play the Bills in the Super Wild Card round on Sunday, January 15 in Orchard Park, New York
- Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and four TDs when he faced Miami last month
- Read below for analysis and our favorite Dolphins vs Bills props
It’s been four weeks since Josh Allen faced the Miami Dolphins. Miami at least had Tua Tagovaiola, but are now starting Skylar Thompson due to Tagovaiola’s concussion injury. So let’s read on for some Dolphins vs Bills props.
That game helps somewhat from four weeks ago. So much has changed with Miami since then while Buffalo’s offense is just as potent as ever. If anything, the weather helps Buffalo even more. Miami made the playoffs only to go up to face a motivated Bills team. That sounds like a recipe for a quick tee time.
As they meet on Sunday, it’s the Bills that are set as 13.5-point favorites in the contest. Let’s look at the best Dolphins vs Bills player props and scoring props available below for your Miami vs Buffalo picks.
Dolphins vs Bills Player Props
Quarterback | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Skylar Thompson (MIA) | OFF | 190.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) | 0.5 (Ov -220/Un+163) |
Josh Allen (BUF) | 22.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) | 260.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) | 1.5 (Ov-175/Un+132) |
Running Back | Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs |
Jeff Wilson (MIA) | OFF | 59.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) | OFF |
Josh Allen (BUF) | 9.5 (Ov+110/Un-143 | 47.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) | OFF |
Devin Singletary (BUF) | 11.5 (Ov-110/Un-118 | 42.5 (Ov-117/Un-113) | OFF |
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Stefon Diggs (BUF) | 6.5 (Ov+100/Un-129) | 79.5 (Ov-114/Un-114) | OFF |
Tyreek Hill (MIA) | OFF | 60.5 (Ov-115/Un-113) | OFF |
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | OFF | 47.5 (Ov-115/Un-113) | OFF |
Gabriel Davis (BUF) | 3.5 (Ov-112/Un-117) | 47.5 (Ov-117/Un-112) | OFF |
Dawson Knox (BUF) | 3.5 (Ov-112/Un-143) | 34.5 (Ov-113/Un-115) | OFF |
All odds as of Jan. 14. Preview the newest Barstool Sportsbook promo code prior to kick-off today.
Allen is listed at 1.5 in his passing touchdown total in the table above, while Thompson is listed at 0.5. Stefon Diggs has the highest receiving yardage prop at 79.5 in the Dolphins vs Bills picks.
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This game will kickoff at 1:00pm ET on Sunday, January 15 at the Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. The weather forecast is calling for sunshine and temperatures in the 30’s.
CBS is carrying the broadcast in the USA, with streaming available through fuboTV. DAZN is carrying the game in Canada.
Dolphins vs Bills Props #1: Josh Allen Over 22.5 Completions
With Miami’s secondary as banged up as it is, Josh Allen should be able to air it out with few concerns on Sunday. The last time the two teams played, Allen did throw 40 passes. However, he figures to be a bit more accurate. It is a close bet but Allen has averaged 23 completions a game in his career versus the Dolphins.
4 man rush with spy LB on Josh Allen and LB spy on RB. 5 DBs in coverage. Our defense has had issues with Allen running and RB uncovered out of backfield. https://t.co/TbreXDhKpT
— CBStacy (@CBStacy) January 14, 2023
Miami’s problem lies in the fact that even their spies cannot quite cover Josh Allen. It is partially why taking the Over 1.5 touchdowns, Over 47.5 yards, and Over 1.5 passing touchdowns hold some water on Sunday. Allen could come in right around that 23-25 completion range.
Pick: Josh Allen over 22.5 completions (+100), 1 unit.
Dolphins vs Bills Props #2: Stefon Diggs First Touchdown
When it comes to this NFL season, it makes sense the wide receiver makes an early statement at home on Sunday. Diggs had 12 catches in two meetings against Miami, but no touchdowns. Expect that to change on Sunday with Miami attempting to sit back more. Diggs should find holes in this defense no matter what cover package Miami throws out there.
Again, Miami’s passing defense has been as horrid as Minnesota’s the past five or six weeks and ranks 27th in yards allowed plus 26th in touchdowns allowed. Enough said.
Picks: Stefon Diggs first touchdown (+540), 1 unit. Stefon Diggs anytime touchdown (-114), 1 unit)
Dolphins vs Bills Scoring Props
Player | Odds to Score First TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs (BUF) | +540 | -114 |
Josh Allen (BUF) | +600 | -104 |
Devin Singletary (BUF) | +750 | +133 |
Gabriel Davis (BUF) | +800 | +160 |
James Cook (BUF) | +900 | +165 |
Jeff Wilson (MIA) | +900 | +180 |
Tyreek Hill (MIA) | +1300 | +195 |
Dawson Knox (BUF) | +1100 | +225 |
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | +1700 | +285 |
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) | +1800 | +390 |
Mike Gesicki (MIA) | +3300 | +550 |
Stefon Diggs and Josh Allen are both odds-on favorites to find the endzone in the NFL Wild Card Weekend props.
Dolphins vs Bills Props #3: Tyreek Hill Under 60.5 Yards
This proves to be the biggest gamble of all the player props but not on the surface. Hill is a game breaker and can score at any time. However, Buffalo seems to neutralize him somewhat. He had 69 yards in the last meeting on a whopping 13 targets. Miami figures to run the ball more with Skylar Thompson under the helm. Passing could be a bit of a disaster.
Here's a reminder of why you #MustWatchMiami this Sunday:
…when @cheetah 🐆 scored a TD we'd never seen before #MustWatchMiami pic.twitter.com/3ZO8COwgRb
— Miami Dolphins UK (@Dolphins_UK) January 14, 2023
Honestly, the receiver has a better chance of getting in the end zone, but Buffalo may let someone else lead Miami receiving in yards.
Pick: Tyreek Hill under 60.5 yards receiving (-113), 1 unit.
Dolphins vs Bills Props #4: Buffalo Anytime D/ST Touchdown
This prop is worth a modest bet on Sunday but worth a shot. The Dolphins with Thompson under center could turn a few balls over. At +340, if Miami has to pass a lot, Buffalo could make them pay with a touchdown.
Pick: Buffalo D/ST anytime TD (+340), 1 unit.
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Sports Writer
A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.