Dolphins Drawing 90% of Sharp Money as 14.5-Point Dogs vs Chargers – Picks & Odds

• Looking at sharps, 70% of bets are on Miami to cover
• Chargers opened at -16, but line dropped to 14.5 heading into Week 4 matchup
• Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below

Through three weeks of action, the winless Miami Dolphins have lost games by margins of 49, 43 and 25.

BookMaker released its latest Week 4 odds and are listing the Dolphins as 14.5-point underdogs in the point spread as they prepare to take on the Los Angeles Chargers at home on Sunday.

While many bets will have money on the Chargers to cover the spread, especially based on how Miami has performed to date, the Dolphins are still drawing 90% of sharp money as the heavy underdogs.

What is the best bet against the spread in this game? Let’s take a closer look at BookMaker’s L.A. Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins odds and stats.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins Odds

All odds taken September 28

BookMaker has reported recent figures from their sharp players, which also shows 70% of the bets taking the Dolphins to cover the spread.

When BookMaker odds opened earlier this week, the Chargers were the 16-point favorites but that line came down slightly heading into their Week 4 matchup against the Dolphins.

Who is the best bet ATS in this game? Is there any reason to go with the sharps?

The Miami Dolphins have a -117 point differential through 3 games this season. Where does that rank in NFL history? Pretty darn bad. Only the 1922 Louisville Brecks (-134) and 1923 Rochester Jeffersons (-122) were worse. pic.twitter.com/UAEt5AGSIz

— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 22, 2019

Chargers Below .500 ATS this Season

The Chargers hold a 1-2 record against the spread this season, covering in their opening victory over the Indianapolis Colts. Los Angeles has dropped its last two games going into Week 4 against a weak Miami Dolphins team.

The Dolphins, on the other hand, have not covered in all three of their games this season and are 0-3 against the spread heading into their home matchup against Los Angeles.

Poor Josh Rosen pic.twitter.com/lmNqEusqPe

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 23, 2019

Head-to-head over the last three meetings, the Dolphins have had success against the spread against the Chargers, which is why the sharps may be leaning towards taking the points on Miami. The Dolphins own a 2-1 record ATS against the Chargers during that stretch and are 4-1 over the last five meetings.

Miami Scoring 5.3 Points per Game

Is this Miami team, which will struggle to win a handful of games by the end of the season, worth betting on ATS on Sunday?

The Dolphins have been dreadful on offense, averaging just 5.3 points per game through three weeks of action compared to the Chargers, who are putting up 20 PPG.

Miami have also accumulated 667 total yards this season, which is the second lowest next to their division rivals, the New York Jets.

The Chargers have may not be scoring points but quarterback Philip Rivers and the offense is certainly putting up the yardage, ranking 8th overall in the NFL with 1,225.

Dolphins D in for a Long Day Against Allen

Miami’s defense will have all it can handle against the Chargers’ strong passing game that features wide receiver Keenan Allen. The Dolphins are allowing the fifth-most passing yards to opposing teams this season (291.3), an area Allen will look to expose on Sunday.

Allen is leading the NFL in receiving yards with 404 to go along with three touchdowns this season. Allen has scored more TDs through three weeks than the entire Dolphins receiving corps going into their Week 4 game.

Sure, 14.5 is a lot of points and against any other team, there may be enough statistical evidence to side with the sharps, but this Dolphins team hasn’t proven to me that they are capable of scoring or stop opposing offences at the same time.

Pick: Los Angeles Chargers (-14.5, -107)