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Eagles Given Third-Best Odds to Win the Super Bowl, Bills Still Favorites

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Oct 2, 2022 · 8:42 PM PDT

Jalen Hurts excited reaction
Oct 2, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts after downing the ball in the closing minute against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Buffalo Bills remain Super Bowl favorites after comeback win in Baltimore
  • Philadelphia remains the lone unbeaten team in the NFL after knocking off Jaguars
  • See below for the latest Super Bowl 57 odds after Week 4 Sunday games

Is it just me, or does it seem like every week we’re seeing something bonkers?

Week 4 showed the Buffalo Bills have some resiliency, while the Baltimore Ravens have a problem closing.

Mega powers shut it down Sunday night, with Patrick Mahomes showing the 3-1 Chiefs should not be overlooked.

Speaking of overlooked, are the Eagles finally stepping into the elite class of the 2023 Super Bowl odds?

There’s a lot to unpack, so let’s run the freshest set of title odds following the Sunday-nighter.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

Team Odds
Buffalo Bills +400
Kansas City Chiefs +700
Philadelphia Eagles +750
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1000
Green Bay Packers +1000
LA Rams +1400
Baltimore Ravens +1500
LA Chargers +2000
Minnesota Vikings +2000
Cincinnati Bengals +2200
Dallas Cowboys +2500
San Francisco 49ers +2500
Miami Dolphins +2500
Denver Broncos +3000
Arizona Cardinals +5000
Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
Tennessee Titans +5000
Las Vegas Raiders +6000
Cleveland Browns +6000
Indianapolis Colts +6000
New Orleans Saints +8000
New York Giants +8000
New England Patriots +12500
Detroit Lions +20000
New York Jets +20000
Pittsburgh Steelers +20000
Chicago Bears +25000
Atlanta Falcons +25000
Seattle Seahawks +30000
Carolina Panthers +30000
Washington Commanders +30000
Houston Texans +100000

Odds as of Oct 2 at Caeasars Sportsbook.

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Eagles Remain Undefeated

Perhaps the knock on the Eagles was their soft early schedule. That has to be put to rest as Philly knocked off a very good Jacksonville Jaguars squad 29-21 in a consistent downpour. The Eagles found themselves in a 14-0 hole and didn’t flinch.

Jalen Hurts engineered three TD drives in the second quarter, part of 29 straight points to take command of the game.

Hurts didn’t have his best game, throwing for 204 yards and an interception, while adding 38 rush yards and a score. Miles Sanders did much of the heavy lifting, carrying 27 times for 134 yards and two majors, part of a 210-yard rushing effort Sunday.

The defense showed just how much damage they can do, making life miserable for what had been a hot Trevor Lawrence. They held him to 174 yards passing, with two touchdowns and an interception. Lawrence was sacked four times, and fumbled four times, all recovered by the Philly.

With odds as high as +4500 in March, the Eagles have climbed to +750 title odds, and are definitely worth considering as a wager.

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Bills Sink Ravens

There’s a reason the Bills are top of the charts — even after they were upended in Miami last week.

After falling behind 20-3 in the second quarter, Buffalo pitched a perfect half, scoring 20 straight points to come back and win 23-20.

Josh Allen threw for only 213 yards with a TD and an interception, but he also added a team-high 70 yards rushing and a major. He also engineered the winning drive, leading to a Tyler Bass chippie with no time remaining.

Jordan Poyer had two interceptions as the Buffalo D kept Baltimore to zero points after half. Poyer’s second pick was a crucial 4th-down play with under five the play in the fourth quarter and game tied at 20.

Baltimore had worked their way to the Bills’ goal line with a lengthy drive and came away with nothing, passing on a chip-shot field goal from Justin Tucker to take the lead.

Buffalo moves to +400, and are as good a bet as any to hoist the Lombardi.

As for the Ravens, they’ve now lost five straight home games, the most in the John Harbaugh era. It’s the second straight collapse in that streak, after blowing a 20-point lead to the Dolphins in Week 2.

Lamar Jackson ran for a game-high 73 yards, but threw for only 144 yards and those two second-half picks.

Oddsmakers still believe in the Ravens, though, as they only slightly drop from +1400 to +1500 Super Bowl odds.

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Chiefs Rock Buccaneers

So much for that Tampa Bay defense holding the fort.

Patrick Mahomes was unstoppable Sunday night, going 23-for-37 for 249 yards and three TD passes and a late INT, as the Chiefs laid the wood to the home-team Buccaneers 41-31. It was a score far closer than the game played out.

Tampa Bay had surrendered 27 points through three weeks, but KC wrecked them, putting up 27 points in the first half. The post-Tyreek Hill strategy to spread the wealth continues to pay dividends, as eight different players hauled in at least one pass.

The Bucs had given up the 2nd-fewest rush yards heading into Week 4,  but KC was able to add in that run element. Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran for 92 yards on 19 carries, while Isaiah Pacheco added 63 yards on 11 totes.

KC keeps the Bills uncomfortable, as they sit in second with +700 title odds, shortening from +800.

As for the Buccaneers, falling behind 21-3 essentially forced them to shut down the running game, making them a little too one-dimensional.

The good news? Brady and the passing game actually looked like the unit that’s been one of the league’s best the past couple of seasons. The bad news? Brady took a major shot while getting strip-sacked and appeared to hurt his throwing shoulder — enough that Blaine Gabbert was warming up (gulp).

While he stayed in the game, it’s another injury to account for, on an offense that can’t currently get healthy. Tampa fades from at +900 to +1000 odds, but I’d caution a wager until we see them at full force.

Dallas Does It With D

Honestly, did anyone else think Cooper Rush could engineer the Cowboys to three straight wins, after losing Dak Prescott to a thumb injury in Week 1? Me neither. Yet here we are, after the Cowboys spanked the Washington Commanders 25-10.

While Rush has become the first Cowboy ever to win his first four career starts, he’s backed by a freakishly talented defense.

The Dallas defense hasn’t given up more than 17 points in a game during Rush’s run. It is the first time the defense has held the team’s first four opponents to 19 points or fewer since 1973.

Dallas is second only to the Eagles in sacks this year with 15, and they are holding teams to an NFL-best 4.8 yards per pass.

Against Washington, they limited Carson Wentz to 170 yards passing, with a TD toss and two interceptions, while sacking him twice. Trevon Diggs was supremely impressive in this one, defending three passes and picking up an INT.

Rush has been solid, and while he hasn’t thrown for more than 235 yards in any of his starts, he hasn’t thrown an interception, and has completed better than 60% of his passes in two of his three starts.

The Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds have moved from +4000 odds to +2500. They’ve already beaten the Bengals and 3-1 New York Giants, but we’ll find out how legit they are as they battle the Rams and Eagles the next two weeks.

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