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Early Odds to Get First Overall Pick in 2020 NFL Draft; Dolphins Listed as Favorites

Dolphins QB Josh Rosen
Could new Miami QB Josh Rosen throw a wrench into the team's "plans" to tank the 2019 season? Photo by Instragram user Josh3Rosen [Link].
  • MyBookie favors the Miami Dolphins to pick first overall in the 2020 NFL Draft
  • Miami selected Michigan T Jake Long first overall in 2008
  • That’s the only time the Dolphins ever held the no. 1 pick in the draft

Like Drake, last season the Miami Dolphins started from the bottom. In its NFL power rankings at the launch of the 2018 season, ESPN listed the Dolphins 32nd overall, the worst team in the league.

Miami didn’t end up there. The Dolphins finished 7-9 and selected 13th overall in the 2019 NFL Draft.

No matter. The football experts once more aren’t fussy about the Fins. In its most recent NFL power rankings, the Sporting News again starts the Dolphins off at the bottom, ranking them 32nd in the league.

The sportsbooks are also jumping on the dismal Dolphins’ bandwagon. MyBookie rates Miami as the best bet to earn the top pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Odds To Pick First Overall in 2020 NFL Draft

Team Odds to Pick 1st Overall in 2020 NFL Draft at MyBookie
Miami Dolphins +250
Arizona Cardinals +300
New York Giants +300
Oakland Raiders +400
Washington Redskins +400
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600
Cincinnati Bengals +900
Buffalo Bills +1000
Detroit Lions +2000
New York Jets +2000
San Francisco 49ers +2000
Denver Broncos +2500
Carolina Panthers +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +4000
Tennessee Titans +4000
Cleveland Browns +5000
The Field (any other team) +1000

*Odds taken on 05/09/19

Miami has picked first overall in the NFL Draft just once. In 2008, following a 1-15 campaign, the Dolphins selected Michigan tackle Jake Long with the no. 1 overall pick. Long was a four-time Pro Bowl player.

Will Dolphins Be Swimming With The Fishes?

There were reports even before the Dolphins hired New England defensive coordinator Brian Flores to be their new head coach that they intended to tank the season and focus on the 2020 NFL Draft.

There seems to be some merit to this theory.

Since the end of the 2018 season, the Dolphins jettisoned the contracts of quarterback Ryan Tannehill, running back Frank Gore, guard Josh Sitton, wide receiver Danny Amendola, tackle Ja’Wuan James, and defensive ends Andre Branch, William Hayes and Cameron Wake.

Defensive end Robert Quinn was also traded to the Dallas Cowboys.

That freed up more than $35 million in cap space. By 2020, the contracts of Tannehill and Ndamukong Suh come off the books. Miami will be sitting $100 million under the salary cap.

So Why Trade For Josh Rosen?

The one obvious wrench in this plan for the Fins to sink was the move to add QB Josh Rosen in a draft-day deal with the Arizona Cardinals.

Rosen was a top-10 pick in the 2018 draft and has tremendous upside. How quickly that potential transforms into performance would appear to be the issue with Rosen.

The problem with tanking for No. 1 overall in 2020 is that it’s obvious the pick will be a QB, Alabama’s Tui Tagovailoa.

If you’re tanking for Tua, why trade for Rosen?

A Capital Notion

A year ago, the New York Jets were supposed to be in tank mode. They ended up going 5-11. Last season, the Dolphins were 31st in the NFL in offense and 29th in defense and still went 7-9.

In the dreadful AFC East, they are certain to stumble into some undeserved wins.

The Dolphins aren’t the biggest disaster area in the NFL. You want to see a terribly-run operation, check out the nation’s capital.

Washington is such a dumpster fire that fans wish the organization could run as smoothly as the the Trump Administration.

If you want to bet on a hot mess ending up at the bottom of the NFL and picking first in the draft, Washington is the team to back.

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