Jameis Winston’s 2020 NFL MVP Odds Improving Rapidly – Could Former Buc Be Replacing Brady in New England?

Jameis Winston
Jameis Winston has seen his 2020 NFL MVP Odds improve considerably. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr).
  • Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston could be departing the Sunshine State
  • Winston’s 2020 MVP odds have drastically dropped – is he worth wagering on?
  • See the updated odds for the 2020 NFL MVP below

With each passing day, it appears more and more likely that quarterback Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are headed towards a divorce. While the 2015 first-overall pick has shown flashes of brilliance in his five seasons, he’s also been maddeningly inconsistent, leading to rumors that head coach Bruce Arians is very interested in replacing him with Tom Brady.

Interestingly, Winston saw his 2020 NFL MVP odds slashed from +6600 to +2500 since word broke that he is likely on the way out the door with him being linked to the New England opening at QB. Is it worth plunking down cash on him or are you playing with fool’s gold expecting him to suddenly stop turning the ball over at an alarming rate?

2020 NFL MVP Odds

Player Odds
Patrick Mahomes +400
Lamar Jackson +500
Russell Wilson +500
Kyler Murray +1500
Deshaun Watson +1500
Drew Brees +1600
Aaron Rodgers +1800
Dak Prescott +1800
Carson Wentz +1800
Tom Brady +2500
Jameis Winston +2500
Christian McCaffrey +2500
Jimmy Garoppolo +2500
Matt Ryan +2800
Ezekiel Elliott +2800

Odds taken March 17th.

Why Winston’s MVP Odds Have Dropped Significantly

It’s a major surprise that Jameis Winston’s odds to win 2020 MVP would drop so strongly from +6600 to +2500, despite him leading the league with a career-high 5,109 passing yards. While he had his issues protecting the football in Tampa Bay, leading to the dubious honor of the 30-30 club (TD’s and INT’s), he had a QB whisperer Head Coach in Bruce Arians plus a stable of talented wide receivers to work with. Chris Godwin was third in the league with 1,333 yards with Mike Evans being 13th, amassing 1,157.

He did get lasik eye surgery in the off-season, leading to the predictable jokes, but the bottom line is he played in an offense that allowed him to air the ball out, racking up yards and him throwing a career-best 33 touchdowns this season. Yet Tampa Bay still seemingly wants to wash their hands of him.

In his five seasons, Winston has only thrown for more than 22 touchdowns just twice, with 11 interceptions his low watermark for any campaign. Do these numbers inspire much confidence that he could finally have a career eureka moment? Hardly, but his odds keep dropping because he’s generating the most wagers.

Jameis Winston’s Career Statistics

Year Yards Completion Percentage TD/INT Sacks
2015 4,042 58.3% 22/15 27
2016 4,090 60.8% 28/18 35
2017 (13 starts) 3,504 63.8% 19/11 33
2018 (9 starts) 2,992 64.6% 19/14 27
2019 5,109 60.7% 33/30 47

Would New England Really Boost His MVP Chances?

Why would his odds improve so starkly by switching teams? Should he head to New England, he’d be working with the legend Bill Belichick, but as of now, their assortment of wide receivers and tight ends don’t inspire much confidence whatsoever. Outside of Julian Edelman, no wide receiver on their roster had more than 400 yards on the season, with their leading tight end (Matt LaCosse) picking up a paltry 131 yards. Without more help for Winston, you’d expect more mistakes, which has been his career downfall.

Chargers an Intriguing Destination

There hasn’t been much talk of Winston plying his trade for the Chargers, but that could be the team that could unlock that potential, with some excellent skill position players around him in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry and Austin Ekeler. Whether the Chargers want to potentially go through another quarterback with a penchant for throwing passes to the other team (Philip Rivers had 20 picks last year), is another story. His talent is undeniable, but there’s just way too much inconsistency and controversy that surrounds him to trust him to ascend to the top of the sport.

Pick: Jameis Winston does not win 2020 NFL MVP

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