Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Public Betting and Money Percentages for NFL Playoffs
- NFL public betting splits on the AFC Championship Game are showing a lot of love for the underdog Kansas City Chiefs over the Baltimore Ravens
- The reigning Super Bowl champs are drawing 74% of handle and 66% of bets in spread splits
- Baltimore, 3.5-point home favorites, are pulling 55% of moneyline bets
When it comes to the AFC Championship Game, the Kansas City Chiefs are much more been there and done that than the Baltimore Ravens, and that factor is being reflected in the Chiefs vs Ravens public betting and money percentages on the game.
Kansas City, the reigning Super Bowl champions, are playing in a sixth successive AFC title game. It’s Baltimore’s first appearance since 2013.
Spread bettors are absolutely loving the Chiefs as 3.5-point road underdogs. Kansas City is getting 74% of handle and 66% of bets in public spread splits. Moneyline players like the Ravens to win, giving Baltimore 55% of bets.
Let’s look more deeply into what the numbers are displaying in the NFL public betting trends for the Chiefs vs Ravens AFC Championship Game.
Chiefs vs Ravens Betting Percentages
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +3.5 | 74% | 66% | 44.5 | 90% | 46% | +165 | 52% | 45% |
| Baltimore Ravens | -3.5 | 26% | 34% | 44.5 | 10% | 54% | -200 | 48% | 55% |
The Ravens are -200 moneyline favorites in the Kansas City v Baltimore picks, giving them an 66.67% implied win probability. Baltimore is an AFC-best 14-4 straight up this season.
Kickoff for this game at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, January 28, is set for 3:00pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS.
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Spread Splits Backing Chiefs
The heavy spread action on the Chiefs is likely being driven by the line. Giving the defending champs 3.5 points or even up to 4 points at some shops, does seem like a lot. As well, the past two AFC Championship Games were determined by a field goal. Kansas City won by three points last season and lost by three points two years ago.
working for Sunday❗ pic.twitter.com/mAch3vz5vV
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) January 25, 2024
Baltimore, though, is an AFC-best 12-6 against the spread this season. As a home team, the Ravens are 6-4 ATS and as the home chalk they are 6-3 ATS. Baltimore is 4-1 ATS over the club’s past five games.
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last six games and 4-2 ATS in their past six meetings with the Ravens.
Moneyline Bets With Ravens
The people are of two minds when it comes to the public moneyline splits. The underdog Chiefs are the choice of handle players, generating 52% of handle. However, bettors are liking the favored Ravens at -200, given Baltimore 55% of the bets.
Baltimore is 7-3 straight up at home this season, which is only fourth-best in the AFC. As a home favorite, though, the Ravens are 7-2 SU. Overall, Baltimore is 7-1 SU through the past eight games and 4-1 SU over the team’s last five home games.
Kansas City is 7-2 SU as a road team this season. That’s tied for the most away wins in the NFL. It’s rare that the Chiefs are slotted as away underdogs in the moneyline. However, they are 2-0 in that scenario this season.
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Division On Total Outcome
The action is also going both ways in the total splits for this game. There’s overwhelming handle action on the over for the total of 44.5 points. It’s pulling a whopping 90% in the over/under splits. However, 54% of bets like the under to be the winning play.
Public (+60% of bets) wagers in Conference Championship games at @BetMGM
88% on Lions +275
77% on Ravens-Chiefs OVER 44.5
72% on Lions +7
65% on Chiefs +165 pic.twitter.com/NTEomdvMuo
— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 26, 2024
Neither Kansas City (7-12) or Baltimore (8-9-1) are especially consistent at hitting the over on the total this season. The Ravens are 5-4-1 on the total at home, while the Chiefs are 5-4 as an away team.
The over has come in four of the last five times that the Chiefs and Ravens have clashed and in four of the past five games in which Kansas City has visited Baltimore. However, the under was the play to make in four of the last five games played by the Chiefs and in four of Kansas City’s past six games when facing an opponent from the AFC North.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
