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Raiders vs 49ers Touchdown Picks & Props to Bet on Nov 8

Blair Johnson

By Blair Johnson in NFL News

Published:


Oct 11, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) acknowledges 49ers fans in the crowd after defeating the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

The San Francisco 49ers host the Las Vegas Raiders at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, on November 08, 2026, with kickoff set for 4:25 PM ET on FOX. With San Francisco missing Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr to injuries, the 49ers must rely on quarterback Brock Purdy and running back Christian McCaffrey to produce yardage. On the other sideline, quarterback Kirk Cousins and running back Ashton Jeanty look to keep the Las Vegas offense rolling in this Week 9 matchup.

Given the 49ers’ offensive reshuffling and a Raiders unit looking to capitalize, prop bettors have a unique landscape to navigate. This article explores the most compelling player prop opportunities, analyzing individual statistical trends and usage rates to uncover sports betting picks for Sunday’s clash.

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers Passing Props

Player (Team) Pass Yards Pass TDs Pass Completions
Kirk Cousins (LV) 248.5 (O-115/U-115) 1.5 (O-115/U-115) 23.5 (O-111/U-120)
Brock Purdy (SF) 247.5 (O-115/U-115) 2.5 (O+140/U-189) 21.5 (O-120/U-110)

All odds in tables from BetMGM as of Nov. 8.

Purdy’s passing yardage total opened at 251.5 before drifting down to 247.5. Despite the slight decrease in projected yards, his passing touchdown line sits at an ambitious 2.5, though the under is favored at -189. Cousins’s passing yardage expectation crept upward from an opening 246.5 to 248.5. His completions prop shows modest movement, with the over odds shifting from -105 to -111, while the total remains at 23.5.

Raiders vs 49ers Rushing & Receiving Props

Player (Team) Rush Yards Rush Attempts Receiving Yards Receptions
Christian McCaffrey (SF) 62.5 (O-115/U-115) 13.5 (O-139/U+105) 41.5 (O-115/U-115) 4.5 (O-182/U+135)
Kaelon Black (SF) 41.5 (O-110/U-120) — — —
George Kittle (SF) — — 70.5 (O-115/U-115) —
Brandin Cooks (SF) — — 16.5 (O-113/U-114) —
Ashton Jeanty (LV) 29.5 (O+100/U-133) — 36.5 (O-111/U-118) —
Mike Washington (LV) 32.5 (O-120/U-111) — — —
Brock Bowers (LV) — — 75.5 (O-115/U-115) —
Tre Tucker (LV) — — 36.5 (O-115/U-115) —

Notable adjustments occurred in both teams’ rushing and receiving projections. Washington’s rushing yardage total plummeted from an opening 42.5 down to 32.5, matching a drop in his attempt line from 12.5 to 9.5. Jeanty saw a subtle bump in both his rushing and receiving yardage totals since opening. On the San Francisco side, Kittle’s reception line dropped from 6.5 to 5.5, while Cooks had his receiving yards line climb from 10.5 to 16.5.

LV vs SF Touchdown Scorer Odds

Player (Team)Anytime TDFirst TD
Christian McCaffrey (SF)-321+310
George Kittle (SF)-127+575
Demarcus Robinson (SF)+212+1350
Brock Purdy (SF)+312+1550
Brandin Cooks (SF)+367+1700
Brock Bowers (LV)+115+1000
Ashton Jeanty (LV)+153+1050
Mike Washington (LV)+182+1450
Tre Tucker (LV)+308+2200
Michael Mayer (LV)+385+2500
Jalen Nailor (LV)+463+3300

Prediction market Kalshi offers better value on most of the touchdown props, bringing McCaffrey to a board-best -270 anytime touchdown price. Kittle is the only other player with negative odds (-122) to score at any point in the game.

First touchdown scorer odds also saw shifts; Robinson’s price fell sharply from an opening +2500 to +1350. For Las Vegas, Jeanty’s anytime touchdown line sits at +153, while his odds to score first ticked down slightly from +1100 to +1050.

When navigating the prop markets for Sunday’s cross-conference clash, recent historical data provides valuable context. Here are the most compelling individual performance patterns to consider.

  • Kirk Cousins, QB: Kirk Cousins has exceeded 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 games on the road (2.5 passing touchdowns/game average).
  • Christian McCaffrey, RB: Christian McCaffrey has exceeded 13.5 rushing attempts in 3 of his last 4 games at home (14.0 rushing attempts/game average).
  • Ashton Jeanty, RB: Ashton Jeanty has exceeded 36.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (45.2 receiving yards/game average).
  • George Kittle, TE: George Kittle has failed to exceed 70.5 receiving yards in 5 straight games after a loss (26.4 receiving yards/game average).
  • Tre Tucker, WR: Tre Tucker has exceeded 37.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 games after a win (59.8 receiving yards/game average).
  • Demarcus Robinson, WR: Demarcus Robinson has failed to exceed 34.5 receiving yards in 12 of his last 15 games (24.6 receiving yards/game average).

Best Raiders vs 49ers Player Props to Bet

Identifying betting value requires isolating individual performance patterns from broad team narratives. For this Week 9 matchup, a few players have demonstrated consistent situational tendencies that align perfectly with their current prop lines.

Kirk Cousins | Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-113 at Novig)
The Las Vegas signal-caller has carried a strong individual pattern of scoring production away from home.

  • The Trend: Kirk Cousins has exceeded 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 games on the road (2.5 passing touchdowns/game average).
  • The Matchup: San Francisco allows 19.86 points per game, but Cousins has sustained his touchdown efficiency on the road. His 83.3% hit rate on this specific prop over his recent road sample highlights his reliability to convert inside the red zone.

Ashton Jeanty | 37+ Receiving Yards (-113 at Novig)
Rather than looking strictly at his rushing totals, Jeanty’s receiving prop offers compelling value for Las Vegas.

  • The Trend: Ashton Jeanty has exceeded 36.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (45.2 receiving yards/game average).
  • The Matchup: Jeanty averages nearly nine yards above his current prop line across his recent away contests. With an 80% success rate in these traveling scenarios, the data heavily supports taking the over.

Christian McCaffrey | Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-270 at Kalshi)
McCaffrey’s volume when playing in Santa Clara presents a clear opportunity against the Las Vegas defensive front.

  • The Data: The Raiders have surrendered 146.38 rushing yards per game and 5.11 yards per rushing attempt this season.
  • The Matchup: This defensive allowance creates a positive environment for McCaffrey to find the end zone. The -270 odds via Kalshi represent strong value for a player who regularly handles red zone opportunities.

Raiders vs 49ers Injury Reports

Team Player Name Position Injury Status
SF Mike Evans WR Ribs Out
SF Deebo Samuel Sr WR Hamstring Out
SF Christian Kirk WR Knee Out
SF Nate Hobbs CB Adductor Questionable
SF Demarcus Robinson WR Ankle Questionable
SF Upton Stout CB Shoulder Questionable
SF Siran Neal DB Knee Questionable
LV Thomas Booker IV DT Ankle Out
LV Darien Porter CB Groin Questionable

The San Francisco 49ers enter Week 9 with major injury concerns at the wide receiver position. Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel Sr, and Christian Kirk have all been ruled out, while Demarcus Robinson carries a questionable designation. Defensively, cornerbacks Nate Hobbs and Upton Stout, along with defensive back Siran Neal, are also questionable.

The Las Vegas Raiders face injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Defensive tackle Thomas Booker IV is out, and cornerback Darien Porter is questionable. Because the provided data does not establish absence durations or snap histories, the concrete betting impact of these designations cannot be verified.

Raiders vs 49ers Odds

  • Spread: 49ers -9.5 (-111) | Raiders +9.5 (-108)
  • Moneyline: 49ers -476 | Raiders +375
  • Total: Over 52 (-108) | Under 52 (-111)

Odds from BetMGM.

The San Francisco 49ers enter this Week 9 contest as heavy home favorites, laying 9.5 points on the spread and carrying a steep -476 moneyline price. Oddsmakers project a relatively high-scoring affair, with the game total set at a robust 52 points. These lines highlight strong confidence in San Francisco’s ability to control the game at Levi’s Stadium, requiring the Raiders to cover a substantial margin to reward underdog spread bettors.

Blair Johnson
Blair Johnson

Sports Writer

Blair Johnson is a veteran journalist and seasoned sports content creator. He has been writing and producing content as long as he can remember, with such familiar names as CNN, NFL Media and Yahoo. Blair currently lives and works in the greater Los Angeles area.

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