Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 10
By John Hyslop in NFL Football
Published:
- Week 10 is over except for the matter of the Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football
- Like any responsible gambler, we need to make sure we have plenty of action on this thing
- Find two of my favorite Dolphins vs Rams player props to bet for this MNF matchup
I’m going to be honest with you all, we need to fire off some bets in this game tonight. Not only is it a Monday Night Football game, but it’s also a pretty good one. We’re talking about the Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams here people. These aren’t two bulls**t teams. Both have the firepower to make any game interesting. On top of that, both teams seem to be coming back to health after missing key guys. Luckily, I saw this as a great game to bet earlier in the week. I went through every possible line and considered every possible thing that could happen. We’re talking thousands of mental simulations here. What I found was shocking. Keep reading.
Dolphins vs Rams Player Prop Picks
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Pick |
---|---|---|---|
Jonnu Smith (Dolphins) | 3.5 (Ov +102 / Un -110) | 34.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) | Over 3.5 Receptions (+102) |
Player | Completions | Passing Yards | Pick |
Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) | 21.5 (Ov -120 / Un -108) | 244.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) | Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-105) |
Jonnu Smith Is Old Reliable
The Miami Dolphins’ pass game is nice but a little too flashy for my taste. I’m a receptions guy and when you look through the Miami Dolphins’ receiving options, all we see are a bunch of burners. None of these guys could ever pass as the “possession” type.
Lucky for us, Jonnu Smith has stepped into this role for Miami and it makes sense since he’s been doing it for years.
The Patriots paid Jonnu Smith for exactly this reasonpic.twitter.com/lflhzSq1XL
— PFF NE Patriots (@PFF_Patriots) September 7, 2021
In a game like tonight’s, I need receptions on the Dolphins’ side and I think our receptions guy is Jonnu Smith. It just is. For starters, the Dolphins seem to be trying to get the ball out of Tua’s hands as soon as possible these days. The guy’s ADOT is less than six yards. That’s crazy short.
Since that’s the case, tight ends and running backs in the receiving game are in play. Since we don’t want to play De’Von Achane at 5.5 for -130, we have to look to the tight ends. Jonnu is our guy in that room.
Over the last four games, Jonnu Smith has been targeted at least six ties in every game. That’s a lot. On top of that, these passes are all underneath stuff that has a high catch percentage. We can’t be wasting any targets here people and with Jonnu, we’re not.
I’m thinking he gets this by halftime. Maybe sooner. Feels easy.
- The Pick: Jonnu Smith 4+ Receptions (+102) at Bally Bet
Tua Will Drop Bombs Tonight
It’s been tough for Tua Tagovailoa. He came into the league touted as the man who will save the Miami Dolphins franchise only to keep suffering concussion after concussion. It’s sad really because the guy can play.
The league is actually a better place with him playing.
Entering Week 10, Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa graded out as the third best QB in our QB+ Rankings.
Tua ranks in the top five in clutch-situation performance so far this season, and his 55.6% third-down conversion rate leads the league among qualified QBs. pic.twitter.com/ntz3a5WS4l
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) November 11, 2024
After watching Tua over the last two weeks, I’m ready to say he’s back. The Dolphins have him playing the type of game that should keep him healthy. He’s getting the ball out quick which is evidenced by his crazy low ADOT. That is a good thing.
Tonight, Tua will see the Los Angeles Rams who are ripe for passing touchdowns. For starters, they’re 4th best in the NFL at home in the opponent rushing yards per attempt metric. That means balls need to fly which is good for us because the Rams have allowed 15 passing touchdowns this season. They’ve only played eight games so 15 is a big number.
These Rams give up the big play which is what we’re looking for tonight. A little Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill screen that goes for 80+ would be perfect. Still, even if we don’t get one of those, we are still in play for red zone TD passes. We only need two people. Tua just did that last week. Feels easy.
- The Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-105) at BetMGM
- 2024 SBD MNF Results – 9-8 (+3.49 Units)
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.