Odds of Redskins vs Dolphins Ending In a Tie Set at +1200

• The Redskins (0-5) travel to play the Dolphins (0-4) in a meeting of two winless games
• A tie in this matchup could have implications all the way to April’s NFL Draft
• This is the Redskins’ first game after firing head coach Jay Gruden

In a meeting of two winless teams, the Miami Dolphins are home underdogs as they play host to the Washington Redskins.

They may be the the league’s cellar-dwellers, but there is still plenty of intrigue in the Redskins vs Dolphins odds and stats.

*Odds taken 10/11/19

Value In Betting on Tie?

Since, prior to last season, the NFL shortened overtime from 15 minutes to 10 minutes, there have already been three ties. Before that change, ties had already increased under the NFL’s modified sudden death, in which only a touchdown on the first possession wins instantly.

At +1200, the idea that two cellar dwellers play an inept offensive game on the way to a clunky tie isn’t far-fetched. However, I’d stay away.

These defenses are bad. The Dolphins defense is so poor that in the chart above, it actually makes Washington’s defense look good in juxtaposition. Make no mistake, the Redskins defense is bad too.

In overtime, it takes simply one blown coverage to win the game. Between Miami and Washington, it’s safe to say you’ll get at least one egregious defensive mishap. The three ties in the last two years have involved at least one well-coached team. That is a feature that this Sunday’s Dolphins-Redskins matchup lacks.

Draft Implications

The odds on a tie are especially interesting in this matchup, considering where these two teams will likely end up. The Dolphins sit at 0-4, while the Redskins hold a record of 0-5.

Should Sunday’s matchup end in a tie, and these two teams finish with identical records (which they are on pace to do), it would create a coin-toss conundrum for, potentially, the first overall pick in the NFL Draft.

Race to the Bottom

Redskins Move on From Gruden

The Redskins will be playing their first game after the firing of head coach Jay Gruden. For a team that drafted a rookie quarterback and was looking to take a big step forward, it’s been an extremely deflating start to the year.

hope you had fun, jay gruden. i doubt you did, but still. #highnoon pic.twitter.com/wkOgtF92M4

— bomani (@bomani_jones) October 7, 2019

Not only are the Redskins winless straight-up, they’re also 1-4 against the spread in 2019. All told, there’s been very little to get excited about in Washington.

What’s the Best Bet?

Betting a tanking team may not be appealing, but as the oft-repeated phrase goes, “players and coaches don’t tank”. The front office may want a high draft pick, but for the Dolphins players and coaches that are fighting for their jobs every Sunday, they have no real interest in losing.

Of course, that doesn’t mean you should bet the Dolphins every week. However, in a one-game scenario against a cellar-dwelling team that just fired its coach, this is the spot to do it. This is the best shot at a win for Miami until December when they meet the Bengals, and there is definitely value in the home team at +155 this Sunday.