NFL Player Props Week 4 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Sept. 29)

• The NFL is back with another monster slate for Week 4 on Sunday, September 29th, 2024
• A great way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
• See below to find two of my favorite player props to bet for Week 4

It’s hard to believe we’re already at Week 4 but here we are. The NFL season moves fast. It waits for no one. The smartest thing we can do is keep up because the books have a lot of moving parts to deal with. Their trouble is our opportunity, so all we have to do is keep up with who’s in and who’s out. If we do that, we’re gold.

This week we have two bets that are based on the books just not being able to price roles. We’ll start with the Cincinnati Bengals/Carolina Panthers matchup. They benched their quarterback last week and now they have injury issues in their wide receiver room. After that, we can take a look at the Baltimore Ravens’ running back situation. I’m pretty sure the books dropped the ball there too. This is going to be an incredible week. Keep reading.

Week 4 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds taken September 27 at BetMGM & FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Diontae Johnson Might Set a Record

We all make mistakes. We’re talking everyone here. But one of the biggest mistakes we’ve ever seen is the Carolina Panthers taking Bryce Young #1 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He set that franchise back years and while that sucks for them, it’s great for us because we have a new quarterback throwing to Diontae Johnson.

And before the haters say he sat out of practice Thursday, he’s fine. He’s actually planning on playing Sunday.

Diontae Johnson said field conditions impacted his decision to sit out. Adds he’s good to go Sunday. pic.twitter.com/mXz2Yq4wA7

— Joe Person (@josephperson) September 26, 2024

The best thing that could have happened to Diontae Johnson was Andy Dalton taking over the QB1 role in Carolina. For starters, Dalton isn’t that bad. He’s not an all-time great, but he’s not Bryce Young bad, either. What’s even better is that he’s not afraid to lock in on one target, either. Just last week, Dalton targeted Johnson 14 times. That’s crazy.

This week we could easily see more of the same. Adam Thielen is sitting out and if we’re being honest, the receiver room in Carolina is pretty empty. They just don’t have guys and they’ll need some guys if they want to hang with the Cincinnati Bengals this Sunday. My guess is, the Bengal will play this thing from ahead, and when that happens, Diontae Johnson will see 10+ targets again. When that happens, he’ll catch at least six of them. Feels right.

• The Pick: Diontae Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions (+108) – FanDuel

Don’t Sleep on Justice Hill

The Baltimore Ravens signed Derrick Henry in the offseason, which fits perfectly with their identity. He’s a big-ass dude, who could run through a brick wall. Literally perfect for the Ravens.

While that’s great, the Ravens still need a pass catcher that can spell Henry. I think they have him in Justice Hill.

Justice Hill has thus far proven to be a great compliment to Derrick Henry and the Baltimore Ravens run game.

There’s no doubt his game has elevated this year, his pass protection is much improved as is his ball security! #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/8HX0wFiPN1

— Nic Mason (@British_Raven19) September 27, 2024

The thing with Hill is, he’s been in the league for five years and still has yet to rush for over 1,000 yards in his career. He was a special teamer for a couple years, then he was hurt, then he played sparingly at running back. Point is, he’s never really had too much of an opportunity until now.

Judging by the fact that Baltimore just signed Hill to an extension, it looks like the Ravens like him. I think he’s best served to catch passes out of the backfield, and that’s exactly what he did in Week 1 against the Kansas City Chiefs. The man caught six of eight targets that night. Look for this game to play out the same way that one did, and when that happens, Hill is catching at least three passes. Feels right.

• The Pick: Justice Hill Over 2.5 Receptions (+140) – BetMGM