NFL Player Props Week 13 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 1)
By John Hyslop in NFL Football
Published:
- It’s time to lock in for NFL Week 12 on December 1st, 2024
- The best way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
- Getting bets in on Friday is my favorite strategy, and it’s no different for this week
We were on pace to shatter every sports betting record in the books just a few short weeks ago. Now, we’re struggling to breathe. That’s what sports betting is all about. That’s why we do it. Some people jump out of airplanes for this high. We don’t even have to get off of our couches. Shout to us for cracking the code.
With all that being said, it’s time to lock in and take what’s rightfully ours from the books. It’s the only way. Lucky for us, we’ve got two of the most exploitable matchups I’ve ever seen in my life this Sunday. The first one is in the early slate and it’s the Pittsburgh Steelers/Cincinnati Bengals game. Then once they’re finished, we’ll turn our attention to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Carolina Panthers matchup.
This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.
Week 13 NFL Player Props and Odds
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Pick |
---|---|---|---|
Darnell Washington (Steelers) | 1.5 (Ov -146 / Un +112) | 15.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114) | 3+ Receptions (+188) |
Player | Passing TDs | Passing Yards | Pick |
Bryce Young (Panthers) | 1.5 (Ov +178 / Un -240) | 200.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 225+ Passing Yards (+170) |
Odds as of November 29 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering.
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Darnell Washington Is a Beast
When I used to play video games, I’d always do the “create a player” option. It was the best thing in the world. What made it the most fun was the fact that we were free to create 6’7″ tall, 300+ pound guys that could run like the wind. It was total domination.
Now years later, we get to bet on guys that look like some kid made them on Madden.
DARNELL. WASHINGTON.
The @GeorgiaFootball TE is 6’6″, 264 pounds and clocked a 4.65u.
📺: #NFLCombine on @nflnetwork
📱: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/fIlcB2WFf6— NFL (@NFL) March 4, 2023
Here’s the thing, this is Darnell Washington’s second year in the league but this is the first time he’s actually being used as a receiving option thanks to Russell Wilson. Look it up. The guy was only targeted 10 times last season. That’s brutal.
With his new friend Russell, Darnell has looked like a “create a player” from Madden. The beast has been targeted 15 times in just five games including 10 over the last three outings. Russell loves Darnell and it’s hard to blame him. There’s a lot to love.
This week, the Steelers will need all the help they can get in the pass game since they’re visiting the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are sure to hang points so the Steelers can’t just sit on the ball. Luckily, only five teams in the entire NFL have given up more receptions to the tight end position this season than the Bengals.
When the Steelers need to play “catch up”, Darnell is highly likely to be involved. In fact, I feel kind of weak for not going 4+ Receptions at +400. Feels right.
- The Pick: Darnell Washington 3+ Receptions (+188) – FanDuel
Bryce Young Might Not Be That Bad
I’ll be the first person to say that I thought Bryce Young stunk. It’s not my fault though. I watched him play last season and he was terrible. Like not good at all. What the hell were we supposed think?
But after watching him over the last few games, I’m ready to say he might not be that bad.
Bryce Young among QBs over his past three games:
🔹 84.5 PFF grade (4th)
🔹 7 Big Time Throws (T-3rd) pic.twitter.com/GnbWILlLq9— PFF CAR Panthers (@PFF_Panthers) November 26, 2024
Here’s the thing, much of this all comes down to matchups. That’s just a little reality. Whether or not a guy throws for a ton of yards generally depends on the defense in front of him and the game script. We can all agree on that.
Since that’s the case, I think we can unleash Bryce this week. His matchup is fantastic. First of all, we can expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score on the Carolina Panthers. Why does that matter? Because that’s going to put Bryce in a situation where he has to throw the ball. On top of that, Tampa’s run defense isn’t that bad. The Panthers might already have plans to unleash the Bryce.
When the Bryce is unleashed, he should have success. He’ll be facing a Tampa defense that has allowed more passing yards to the quarterback position than every other team in the NFL except for two. They just gave up almost 200 to Tommy Devito last week. Case closed.
We have to do this. We could even go 250+ at +340 if we really wanted to stick it to the books.
- The Pick: Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards (+170) – DraftKings
- 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-13 (+0.28 Units)
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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.