Props Week 1: Patriots vs Seahawks Kick Off NFL Season on Wednesday

• The NFL is back with a Super Bowl rematch between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks
• Patriots’ QB Drake Maye will force throws against one of the best secondaries in football
• See my Week 1 Patriots vs Seahawks player props below

The NFL season is going to kick off the way it ended: with the New England Patriots taking on the Seattle Seahawks.

We’re looking at the player-prop market for this Super Bowl rematch, which hinges on backfield uncertainty and dynamic offensive playmakers.

Prop bettors must navigate Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson missing practice time with an ankle issue, while oddsmakers monitor Seahawks weapons like receiver Tory Horton and runner Emanuel Wilson.

Action kicks off tonight at 8:20pm ET from Lumen Field in Seattle, with NBC/Peacock carrying the national broadcast.

Check my top player prop picks for this Patriots vs Seahawks showdown below.

Patriots vs Seahawks Best Player Prop Picks

• Pick 1: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 88.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110 at BetMGM)

Primetime games have rarely been kind to Stevenson’s production. He has stayed under 86.5 total yards in eight of his last nine night matchups, an 88.8% under rate, averaging a measly 60.8 yards in that split. Despite the Patriots boasting a potent offense that averaged 379.4 total yards per game last year, a negative game script could limit his overall touches. With a hostile crowd and a Seahawks defense that racked up 47.0 sacks last season, the Patriots may abandon the run early.

The market’s current consensus sits at 88.5 total yards, with the under priced at -115, while his rushing-yard number is 58.5 (-114 under) and his attempt prop is 15.5 (-118 under). Those prices align with the trend profile: he has averaged 70.1 total yards across his last 16 games, stayed below 89.5 in 13 of those contests, and averaged only 34.8 rushing yards in 12 straight primetime games. New England’s 2025 profile also points to balance, with 2,191 rushing yards against 4,258 passing yards, so Henderson’s ankle absence does not automatically guarantee a feature workload for Stevenson on early downs.

• Pick 2: Drake Maye Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-115 at bet365)

Lumen Field is notoriously unforgiving for opposing quarterbacks, and the Seahawks defense is primed to capitalize. Their opportunistic secondary pulled down 18 interceptions last season, excelling at baiting mistakes when playing with a lead. Drake Maye enters this matchup with a concerning turnover trend, having thrown a pick in 75% of his last four games. If the Patriots passing offense is forced to chase points late, expect Maye to force a throw under pressure.

Maye’s interception market is not merely a matchup narrative: consensus lists over 0.5 at -117 and under at -110, making one pick a realistic threshold rather than a long-shot outcome. The trend feed shows an interception in 3 of his last 4 games, a 1.0-per-game average, plus four straight games as an underdog by fewer than seven points, where he has averaged 1.2 interceptions. The projected passing workload also creates opportunity: his consensus totals are 231.5 yards, 32.5 attempts, and 20.5 completions. Seattle recorded 18 interceptions and 47 sacks in 2025, while New England committed 16 turnovers, reinforcing pressure-driven volatility.

• Pick 3: George Holani Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at Caesars)

The Seahawks offensive scheme heavily prioritizes wide receivers, leaving limited targets for the backfield despite generating 3,877 passing yards last year. This air raid mentality has severely capped secondary options. Holani has failed to clear 10.5 receiving yards in nine of his last 10 games (90%), with an abysmal 3.4 yards per contest average. With Emanuel Wilson’s status being closely monitored, the Seahawks should utilize their available depth for a traditional ground and pound approach rather than check-downs.

Holani’s receiving line has moved from 11.5 to 10.5 yards, with the under at -115, and the broader market also posts 1.5 receptions at -152 under. That pricing matches a remarkably narrow role: he has averaged 3.4 receiving yards and 0.4 receptions in the relevant recent samples, stayed under 10.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games, and missed the mark in 7 of 8 as a favorite. His all-purpose trend is even weaker, with only 8.9 rushing-plus-receiving yards per game across 15 of his last 16 unders. Emanuel Wilson practiced fully, further reducing the need for Holani check-down targets.