NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Dolphins vs Chargers Sunday Night Football
- The Miami Dolphins are 3.5-point road favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers in the Week 14 SNF game, but NFL public betting splits are mixed in terms of spread wagering
- Public spread handle is with the Chargers, while moneyline betting splits are backing the Dolphins
- See the Dolphins vs Chargers public betting splits for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 11
The Miami Dolphins (8-4, 6-6 ATS) are enjoying the kind of season that the pundits were predicting for the Los Angeles Chargers (6-6, 7-5 ATS) prior to the start of the NFL season.
In the NFL odds as they meet in the Week 14 SNF game, the Dolphins are 3.5-point road favorites over the Chargers. And it’s Miami that is in a playoff position and contending for a division title.
The NFL public betting splits are displaying that the people aren’t quite as certain that Miami will come through and cover in this game.
Miami is the public pick in spread betting. However, it’s the Chargers that are the choice in spread handle. When it comes to moneyline splits, however, the public is solidly with the Dolphins.
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Total wagering is going with the over. There’s 78% of handle supporting the over on the total of 54.5 points. As well, 62% of bets are going with the over. The total for this game was originally at 51.5 points in the Week 14 NFL opening odds.
The game is being broadcast by NBC. Kickoff set set for 8:20 pm ET at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, December 11.
ATS Splits a Split Decision for Miami vs LAC
The Chargers are getting 60% of spread handle, while there’s 61% of spread bets on the Dolphins. This public uncertainty over Miami in the spread wagering splits is understandable. The Dolphins have not been a quality against the spread squad for quite some time. Miami is 3-6 ATS over the last nine games.
However, add the Chargers to the equation and the numbers are doing a 180-degree turn. Miami is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 games when facing the Chargers. The Dolphins are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games against AFC West opponents.
28 years later, the Dolphins aren't making @dariusrucker cry.
He revisited writing "Only Wanna Be with You" ahead of tonight's matchup on Sunday Night Football vs. the Chargers. #FinsUp #BoltUp https://t.co/JV6kpksolG
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) December 11, 2022
The Chargers are 2-3 ATS as a home team this season and 1-0 ATS as a home underdog in 2022. Miami is just 1-2 as a road favorite in 2022.
Miami is in California for the second successive week. Last week the Dolphins lost outright and failed to cover as 5-point road underdogs in a 33-17 loss at the San Francisco 49ers. That loss ended a 4-0 ATS run for Miami on the road in California. That includes a 19-17 win at the Chargers in Week 1 of the 2017 season as a 3.5-point away underdog.
It’s the first time in seven road games against the Chargers that Miami is a betting favorite.
Dolphins vs Chargers an Underwhelming Tradition
Going with the over on what is the largest total assigned to any Week 14 NFL game is a bold strategy in the Dolphins vs Chargers public betting trends. The over has been the winning play on the total in just two of the past 17 Miami vs Los Angeles Chargers contests. The under 8-1 the last nine times that Miami has visited the Chargers.
Week 14 brings us @chargers vs @MiamiDolphins
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— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) December 6, 2022
However, switching that research to more recency, and there’s some merit in an over play. In the last meeting between the two teams in 2020 saw them go over the total of 48.5 points in a 29-21 Miami victory. The over has come through in two of the last four games between these two clubs.
The total has gone over in four of Miami’s last five games and five of the last six road games played by the Dolphins. In Chargers home games, the over is the winning play in seven of the last nine played.
Miami on a Straight-Up Roll
Miami is getting 78% of moneyline handle and 72% of bets. Last week’s loss to the 49ers ended a five-game win streak for the Dolphins. Still, Miami is 5-1 SU over the past six games. On the road this season, Miami is 2-1 SU in the past three games and 3-3 overall.
With a 2-3 SU home slate, only two NFL teams have won fewer home games this season than the Chargers. They’re 3-6 SU in the last nine home games against the Dolphins.
LA is 2-4 SU in the past six games and 0-5 SU in the past five games played as a betting underdog.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
