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Ravens vs Colts Player Props to Bet for Week 1

Ryan Potts

By Ryan Potts in NFL News

Published:


Jan 4, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers (4) reacts with quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) after scoring a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second half at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
  • I expect Zay Flowers and Derrick Henry to get off to hot starts.
  • Even off a torn Achilles, I found value in Daniel Jones’ rushing prop.
  • Keep reading for my Ravens vs Colts player props.

Player prop bettors have plenty of star power to target when Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens visit Jonathan Taylor and the Indianapolis Colts. Finding the right individual angles is crucial for this matchup. Key focal points like Mark Andrews and Josh Downs offer intriguing upside, but I am looking elsewhere for my favorite action.

Ravens vs Colts kicks off on September 13, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET from Lucas Oil Stadium, with live coverage on CBS. Let’s dive right in. My best prop picks follow immediately below.

Best Player Prop Picks for Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts

Finding betting value in this matchup requires diving into distinct situational splits and recent performance trends. Baltimore offers reliable offensive volume on the road, while Indianapolis presents unique quarterback usage at home. Targeting these established patterns provides a solid foundation for my betting card today.

Zay Flowers Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Baltimore’s dynamic receiver thrives in away matchups when his team is expected to win, benefiting from a highly favorable game script. Flowers has exceeded 63.5 receiving yards in 7 straight games on the road as a favorite. Over this game stretch, he has maintained a stellar 91.4 receiving yards per game average. With the Ravens averaging a robust 332.2 total yards per game last season, Flowers should find ample opportunities to exploit coverage gaps in the slot.

As Lamar Jackson’s clear-cut primary receiving option, Flowers benefits tremendously from the defense’s hyper-focus on Baltimore’s top-ranked rushing attack. When the Ravens are favored on the road, opposing defenses are routinely forced to load the box with single-high safety shells to respect Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson on the ground. This creates favorable single-coverage matchups and wide-open intermediate spacing for Flowers. Given his elite run-after-catch ability and steady 25%+ target share, Flowers possesses the explosive play profile to eclipse a 63.5-yard total on just 4 to 5 receptions, providing both a rock-solid floor and ceiling in this split.

Out of 17 games last season, Flowers cleared this mark in 11 games. He had a season-high 143 yards in Week 1 and ended his season with 138 yards (and two touchdowns).

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  • Prop Line: 63.5 Receiving Yards
  • Trend Hit Rate: 7 straight games as a favorite
  • Situational Average: 91.4 yards per game

Derrick Henry Over 89.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-113, Caesars)

The Ravens lean heavily on their backfield to dictate the pace on the road, and Henry serves as their primary offensive engine. He has exceeded 89.5 rushing and receiving yards in 4 straight games on the road. During that sample, he boasts a massive 141.0 yards per game average. Baltimore racked up 2,662 rushing yards last season with a consistent ground and pound approach. Henry’s guaranteed usage rate makes him a premium target to eclipse this posted 89.5 combined yardage total. You can start betting at Caesars now to tail this play.

What makes this over even stronger is that Henry didn’t just squeak past 89.5 scrimmage yards during this 4-game road tear—he cleared the century mark on rushing yards alone in all four contests (103 at CLE, 100 at CIN, 216 at GB, and 126 at PIT) while averaging 21.3 carries per game. Furthermore, Henry has a long, dominant track record against the Colts from his AFC South days, posting at least 100 scrimmage yards in 7 of his last 9 meetings against Indianapolis when seeing regular starter volume.

In a projected positive or neutral game script where Baltimore prioritizes clock control and physical trench play, Henry’s guaranteed 18+ touch baseline provides both an exceptionally high floor and a massive ceiling to clear 89.5 total yards.

Last season, Henry cleared this mark in 10 of 17 games. He had eight games with 100 yards on the ground alone. In Week 1, he had 169 rushing yards (182 scrimmage yards), scoring two touchdowns.

Daniel Jones Over 3.5 Rushing Attempts (+108, Kalshi)

Prediction Markets
Jones Rush Attempts Pick
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Kalshi
Jones Over 3.5 Rush Attempts
48%

Jones has exceeded 3.5 rushing attempts in 15 straight home games as an underdog (dating back to his time with the Giants) and averaged 7.8 rushing attempts per game in his last 12 home games. Given that sustained rushing usage, the over offers an appealing angle.

Beyond his historical splits as an underdog, Daniel Jones operates in a Shane Steichen offense renowned for maximizing quarterback mobility through designed zone-reads, RPOs, and bootlegs. Even against defenses that struggle to generate high-end sack totals (BAL finished 28th in the NFL last season), Jones consistently creates offense on the ground via both scheme and instinctive scrambles when intermediate passing lanes close down.

With a modest line of just 3.5 attempts, Jones needs only a couple of designed keepers and situational scrambles to clear this prop comfortably, making the over one of the most reliable floor bets on the board.

I would be concerned about Jones returning from a season-ending Achilles injury, but he has taken every rep as Indy’s No. 1 option this offseason. Last season, Jones had 45 rushes in 13 games, right in line with this over/under. He had four rushes in six games, maxing out with seven (twice).

Ryan Potts

Ryan Potts is a veteran football and baseball content creator. He was previously a credentialed NFL media member, covering the draft, combine, and Super Bowl. He has been featured on Atlanta sports talk radio and Arizona student radio. Ryan is a journalism graduate from the University of Arizona.

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