Upcoming Match-ups

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Predictions and Picks for NFC Championship Game

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Jan 29, 2023 · 9:20 AM PST

Jalen Hurts celebrates a touchdown
Jan 21, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) celebrates his touchdown with wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) during the second quarter against the New York Giants during an NFC divisional round game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
  • Philadelphia is laying 2.5-points in the 49ers vs Eagles odds in Sunday’s NFC Championship Game
  • These two teams each rank inside the top-six on defense per DVOA
  • All the available 49ers vs Eagles odds are listed below, along with injury updates and best bets

Conference Championship Weekend promises to be epic given the quality of the two matchups. Sunday’s action begins with the NFC title game, where the number one seed Eagles (15-3, 8-2 home) host the number two seed 49ers (15-4, 5-3 away). Philadelphia is favored in the 49ers vs Eagles odds.

You would think a game of this magnitude would see plenty of line movement in the San Francisco vs Philadelphia picks throughout the week, as casual bettors and sharps take a stand on who they think is the NFC’s top dog. However, the line hasn’t budged.

49ers vs Eagles Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
San Francisco 49ers +2.5 (+100) +130 O 46.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-120) -150 U 46.5 (-110)

Odds as of January 29 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on the NFL Conference Championship Games.

Online sportsbooks opened Philadelphia as 2.5-point favorites in the 49ers vs Eagles picks, and that’s exactly where the line currently sits in the NFC Championship odds. The betting action overwhelmingly favors the Eagles, as 74% of the spread tickets and 79% of the ATS money is on Philly. The fact that the line hasn’t gone to -3 yet, suggests oddsmakers are worried that Niners support will come pouring in once they’re catching a field goal.



Total wise, the line opened at 45.5 and has since been bet up to 46.5. At the number, the majority of bets (61%) and handle (61%) are on the under in the NFC Championship odds, which is something we completely agree with as we’ll discuss.

49ers vs Eagles Game Info

Kickoff is set for 3 pm ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA, with 48-degree temperatures and a 70% chance of rain in the forecast. Fox has the broadcast coverage, with Kevin Burkhardt on play-by-play and Greg Olsen providing color.

49ers vs Eagles Betting Trends

San Francisco enters play riding a 12-game winning streak. They’ve covered in 10 of those games, including each of their first two playoff contests. Rookie QB Brock Purdy is a perfect 7-0 as a starter, covering in six of seven outings.

The 49ers were a cash cow for spread backers this season versus NFC teams, going 12-2 ATS. Head coach Kyle Shanahan is 19-10 against the spread as a road underdog, including 12-3 ATS since 2019.

Philly meanwhile, are 15-1 in games Jalen Hurts started this season. They’re 9-6 against the spread in those contests, while Hurts has been nearly unbeatable as a home favorite. He’s 9-2-1 ATS over his career in that role, including 7-0 ATS when favored by a touchdown or less.

San Francisco vs Philadelphia Injury Report

Injury wise, both teams enter in very good health. On the San Francisco side, neither Christian McCaffrey (calf) or Deebo Samuel (ankle) carry a tag after showing up on the injury report earlier in the week.

Elijah Mitchell however, isn’t so lucky. The often injured running back is dealing with a groin issue now and is officially listed as questionable.

49ers vs Eagles DVOA Rankings

Team Offense Defense Overall
San Francisco 49ers 6 1 2
Philadelphia Eagles 3 6 3

Philly meanwhile, doesn’t have a single player listed on their injury report. All 22 of their starters are available to play, including slot corner Avonte Maddox who sat out the Divisional Round.

Maddox’s presence is an underrated reason why the 49ers’ passing game might disappoint. San Francisco loves targeting the middle of the field, an area where the Eagles were vulnerable without Maddox. In games he sat this season, Philly ranked last at defending over the middle. When Maddox was on the field, they ranked first.

49ers vs Eagles Prediction

There are plenty of other reasons to be pessimistic about the offensive success of both teams when making your 49ers vs Eagles picks. For starters, the Niners and Eagles rank first and sixth respectively on defense per DVOA.

San Fran held all but three of its opponents below 23 points, and nine of the past 12 teams they’ve faced haven’t reached 20 points.

Not to be outdone, Philadelphia ranks seventh in scoring defense and in first in sacks. They have an 18.9% sack rate on third down, and will face a rookie QB who all of a sudden looked like a seventh-round draft pick against a similarly talented Cowboys defense.

Purdy struggled to generate explosive plays in the Divisional Round, and no rookie QB has ever made it to the Super Bowl.

As good as Jalen Hurts has been this season, it’s important to note the competition. Hurts started four games against top-14 defenses, and none versus top-eight units. In those four games, the Eagles averaged 24 points. In his 12 starts against bottom-18 defenses, Philly put up 32 points per outing.

Both the 49ers and Eagles want to run the ball first and foremost. They both rank inside the top-10 in rushing attempts per game, and if there’s one thing we know about run-first football it’s that it bleeds the clock dry. That reduces the amount of plays that are run, subsequently limiting the number of scoring opportunities.

The under has hit in five straight Philadelphia playoff games, while both of last year’s conference championship matchups failed to eclipse the total. Back the under in the 49ers vs Eagles odds.

49ers vs Eagles Picks: Under 46.5 (-110)

2022 NFL Season Picks Record: 9-7, +0.94 units



Bet $5 on Any Pre-Game Moneyline & Win $150 in Bonus Bets!

BET $5
WIN $150


Author Image