Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Spread & Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 8
- The Buffalo Bills are 8.5-point home favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL Week 8 TNF game on Thursday, October 26
- Tampa Bay is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine games against Buffalo. The Bills are 2-2 ATS at home this season
- See all of the trends, Buccaneers vs Bills odds and our best bet for TNF here
Both the Buffalo Bills (4-3, 3-4 ATS) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3, 3-3 ATS) are seeking to get their NFL seasons back on track as they meet in the Week 8 TNF game. Which is the best bet in our Buccaneers vs Bills picks? Read on to find out.
Straight up, Buffalo has lost two of the past three games. The Bills are 0-3 ATS in those three games.
Tampa Bay has lost two in a row and three of four SU. The Buccaneers are 1-3 ATS over the past four games.
It’s the Bills that oddsmakers are strongly liking to make amends. Buffalo is set as 8.5-point home favorites in the Buccaneers vs Bills odds. The Bills are 2-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
Let’s take a deeper look into this Buccaneers vs Bills prediction and matchup and offer you our best bet for this Week 78battle between AFC South and NFC South clubs.
Buccaneers vs Bills Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +330 | +8.5 (-110) | Over 43 (-108) |
| Buffalo Bills | -425 | -8.5 (-110) | Under 43 (-112) |
In the Buccaneers vs Bills odds, the Bills are -425 moneyline favorites, giving them a 80.95% implied win probability. The total is set at 43 points. The total has gone over in three of the last four games between these two teams.
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Tampa Bay vs Buffalo odds as of October 25 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim one of the best football betting promo codes to make your Buccaneers vs Bills picks and to bet on other Week 8 NFL action. And check out DraftKings daily menu of odds boosts for TNF and other games this week.
Kickoff for this game at Highmark Stadium on Thursday, October 26 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.
NFL bettors can also look out for ESPN BET, a brand new sportsbook set to launch in November that will offer another exciting opportunity for bettors this NFL season. ESPN BET is operated by PENN Entertainment and will initially be operating in 16 states.
Public Showing Mixed Emotions
Assessing the NFL public betting splits for this game, the people are of two minds. Spread handle is going 53% to the Bills. However, moneyline handle splits are with the Buccaneers at 62%.
The Buccaneers have proven to be money on the road this season. Tampa Bay is 2-0 ATS as an away team and 2-0 ATS as an away underdog. Overall, though, the Buccaneers are just 4-10 ATS in their past 14 games.
While Buffalo is 12-4 SU over the past 16 games, the Bills are only 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
Buffalo is the co-sixth betting choice in the odds to win Super Bowl at +1400. Tampa Bay is given a betting line of +9000 in this market.
Mayfield a Road Warrior
With his fourth team in two seasons, the retribution tour of Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has hit a speed bump in terms of wins and losses. Personal stats, though, are still showing promise.
Some interesting Bucs metrics so far in 2023:
– TB is 4th highest in play action frequency % but Mayfield is dead last in the NFL in Passer Rating w/play action at 70.1
– Mayfield is No. 2 in the NFL in pressure % that results in sacks. Mahomes is 1st at 7.2, Mayfield 2nd at…— Joe Marino (@TheJoeMarino) October 25, 2023
He’s completing 65.2% of his passes. He’s also showing some clutch in his game. Mayfield is leading the NFL with a 121.8 third-down passer rating.
On the road this season, Mayfield is 2-0 with five TD passes against one interception. He’s showing a 105.6 passer rating in those two road starts. Mayfield is also 1-0 SU against Buffalo. He beat the Bills with Cleveland in 2019.
Bills Seeking Faster Start
Slow starts to games are handcuffing Buffalo and QB Jake Allen is blaming himself. He thinks by downgrading his own emotional level, it’s bringing the team down with him. Buffalo has scored a paltry 10 points in the first half of the past three games.
There has been an effort it would seem, in order to preserve Josh Allen, McDermott has forced Josh to be someone else, instead of the gun slinging wild man that brought this franchise out of the dark ages.. I'll take some mistakes, if it means injecting some life into this O pic.twitter.com/7DE7dUpjL8
— 🔥 Draft Season 🔥 (@TheSportsBully1) October 25, 2023
Allen has thrown for one TD against two interceptions in the first half of those three games. He was the victim of a first-play pick in last week’s loss at New England.
Buffalo has gained just 11 yards over seven plays in the team’s first offensive series over the past three games. Things won’t get any easier for the Bills on TNF. The Tampa Bay defense has allowed only 55 first-half points. That’s tied for the fourth-fewest points surrendered by an NFL team through the first two quarters of games this season.
Buccaneers vs Bills Prediction
Tampa Bay is 6-0 SU in the past six games against an AFC East opponent. The Buccaneers are 8-4 SU in 12 games against Buffalo.
Buffalo is 15-3 SU in the club’s past 18 home games. The Bills are 10-7-2 ATS in their last 19 games when favored by more than a TD.
Allen, though, is 5-0 SU in five TNF appearances. Buffalo is displaying an NFL-best .706 winning percentage in prime time games since Allen was drafted in 2018.
Buccaneers vs Bills Picks: Buffalo Bills -8.5 (-110)
TNF Record: 5-2-0 (+3 units)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
