Updated Super Bowl 61 Futures – Packers Climb, Patriots Plummet

Another week of action has inevitably shifted the Super Bowl odds. Week 9 saw impressive performances from the Bengals, Packers, and Jaguars vault that trio up the futures market, while ugly outings from the Patriots, Vikings, and Falcons resulted in steep declines.

The table below lists the current Super Bowl odds alongside the odds from this time last week.

Updated Super Bowl Odds (After Week 9)

“Current Odds” represent consensus lines as of Nov 10.

The top of Super Bowl odds tight, with the 49ers (+540), Bills (+600), Jaguars (+750), and Bears (+800) all sitting comfortably at single-digit odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

Green Bay Packers (+3000 to +2100)

Green Bay engineered the most significant percentage surge among legitimate championship contenders following Week 9, slashing their Super Bowl price from +3000 down to +2100. The catalyst was a statement performance on both sides of the ball during a 45-27 win at New England, last year’s AFC champion.

By securing vital ground in the congested NFC North race and demonstrating top-tier third-down execution, oddsmakers were forced to trim Green Bay’s implied championship probability from 3.2% to 4.5%. With their offensive line providing clean pockets and the secondary locking down perimeter receivers, the Packers are no longer priced as fringe wild-card participants – they are actively knocking on the door of the league’s top tier.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+950 to +750)

Jacksonville’s steady climb into elite territory reached a new gear this week, moving from +950 to +750 and establishing themselves behind only San Francisco and Buffalo on the futures board. The Jaguars built this momentum on the heels of ruthless scoring efficiency, averaging 28.0 points per game (fifth in the NFL) while converting red-zone trips into touchdowns at a lethal 68.4% clip.

Their blowout 42-7 dismantling of Indianapolis in Week 8, paired with their poise heading into a pivotal primetime spotlight in Baltimore, cemented their status as the class of the AFC South. Books responded by shortening their implied title probability from 9.5% to 11.8%, signaling that the market now views Jacksonville as a championship-caliber powerhouse capable of going toe-to-toe with any heavyweight in the league.

Chicago Bears (+950 to +800)

The Chicago Bears continued their remarkable ascent up the board, shortening from +950 to +800 as they firm up their grip on an NFC wild-card or division crown. Operating behind an offense racking up 387.25 total yards per game with Caleb Williams directing traffic, Chicago has proven their high-scoring profile is not an early-season fluke.

Backed by a disciplined +3 turnover differential – despite four INTs from Williams in Week 9 – and an elite ground game powered by D’Andre Swift, the Bears are dictating game scripts and converting red-zone opportunities at an enviable 58.8% rate.

Seattle Seahawks (+1050 to +1600)

No upper-tier contender took a more severe hit in the futures market than the Seattle Seahawks, whose odds slid dramatically from +1050 out to +1600. The market’s sharp reaction stems directly from vulnerability under center, where Drew Lock was forced into action due to an injury to QB1 Sam Darnold. The prognosis for Darnold is still unclear at this point but Lock is expected to be back under center in Week 10.

Baltimore Ravens (+10000 to +15000)

The Baltimore Ravens tumbled from +10000 to a massive +15000 long-shot designation. Baltimore’s season has unraveled due to an overwhelming injury wave: losing two-time MVP Lamar Jackson and primary backup Tyler Huntley simultaneously forced emergency third-string passer Joe Fagnano into starting duties.

Coupled with a porous defense allowing 25.4 points per game that recently surrendered 36 points to Buffalo and 35 to Cincinnati, Baltimore has slid to 4-4 straight up and an anemic 2-6 against the spread. Priced at +15000 with a microscopic 0.7% implied probability, books have effectively written off the Ravens as a viable championship threat in 2026.