Updated Super Bowl 61 Odds – Biggest Risers & Fallers After Week 1
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
Apart from the Monday nighter between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs, Week 1 of the new NFL season is in the books. The Super Bowl futures market is reacting rapidly as oddsmakers adjust lines based on opening-week analytics and underlying metrics.
Below are the current odds for all 32 NFL teams (via BetMGM) compared against their pre-Week 1 lines.
Updated Super Bowl Odds (After Week 1)
The Rams are the current favorite in the Super Bowl odds at +650, implying a 13.3% probability of winning it all. A $20 bet on Los Angeles would profit $130 for a total return of $150. The second-favorite Ravens sit at +850 with a 10.5% implied probability, where a $20 wager profits $170 for a $190 return.
Biggest Risers in Super Bowl Odds
The San Francisco 49ers saw the most dramatic improvement among contenders, surging from +1900 to +1400 after suffocating the Rams in a dominant 27–7 road statement win that proved their defensive front remains among the league’s elite.
The New York Giants also climbed significantly from +7000 to +5000 by knocking off the division rival Dallas Cowboys 28–20 behind an efficient, balanced offensive showcase, while the Arizona Cardinals shortened from +50000 to +30000 after springing a 26–14 upset over the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
The Jacksonville Jaguars moved from +3000 to +2500 following an emphatic 34–10 dismantling of Cleveland that featured three Trevor Lawrence touchdown passes, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tightened from +5500 to +5000 after flashing high-octane offensive firepower in a tight 33–27 road shootout against Cincinnati.
Biggest Fallers in Super Bowl Odds
The Miami Dolphins experienced the steepest drop, falling from +35000 to +100000 after an anemic offensive outing resulted in a 27–13 road loss to the Raiders.
The Cleveland Browns also cratered from +20000 to +75000 following their lopsided 34–10 defeat in Jacksonville, and the Tennessee Titans slid from +15000 to +75000 after managing just 10 points in a 23–10 home loss to the Jets.
Among contenders, the Los Angeles Chargers lengthened notably from +1700 to +2500 after a flat 26–14 home opening defeat to Arizona, and the Los Angeles Rams – despite remaining the outright favorite – drifted from +500 to +650 after being held to just seven points in a 27–7 blowout loss to San Francisco.
The Green Bay Packers also slid from +2000 to +2500 after hemorrhaging 39 points in a 39–22 divisional road loss to the Vikings.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
