Upset Picks for Week 7 in NFL: Can Thomas Flip Off Seahawks Once More in Return to Seattle?

• Returning to CenturyLink Field can Earl Thomas’ Baltimore Ravens knock off MVP front-runner Russell Wilson and his Seattle Seahawks?
• The Oakland Raiders head to Lambeau Field to take on the 5-1 Green Bay Packers
• Picks went 0-2 last week, dropping our season total to +2.72

If you followed last week’s picks, then you were feeling the same as we were, when our dogs went 0-2 straight up. I guess backing a team that is outright tanking doesn’t yield many wins…but let’s move on, shall we?

Turning our attention towards potential NFL Week 7 upsets, the squads we’re going to back have a lot to play for this week, as they look to pull off stunning wins against a pair of NFC “powerhouses.”

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks Odds

*Odds taken 10/17/19

The Earl Thomas revenge game is the marquee matchup of the weekend, especially with the Ravens adding Marcus Peters to their struggling secondary this week.

Russell Wilson has been playing like a god through six games and has yet to throw an interception. Thomas will be feeling extra motivated to get the first one, considering how his nine seasons in Seattle came to an end.

The Seahawks have been pulling close games out of their keister all season long, despite a bottom five pass rush and a shaky secondary. Their 1.3 close wins above expected are entirely because of Wilson. One of these weeks, he won’t be able to bail his team out and I’m expecting it to come here, against a QB that defenses can only hope to contain.

First player to ever win BOTH the Air and Ground player of the Week: @Lj_era8. https://t.co/1fugQ19bax

— Garrett Downing (@gdowning14) October 17, 2019

While bettors may be scared of backing a road team visiting the 12th man, keep in mind that the Seahawks are 0-3 ATS at home this season.

Pick: 1.33 units on the Ravens moneyline (+150)

Oakland Raiders vs Green Bay Packers Odds

*Odds taken 10/17/19

For the third straight week, Green Bay will be without their top offensive weapon (and no, I don’t mean phantom hands-to-the-face penalties).

#Packers injury report vs. Raiders:

Out: WR Davante Adams, S Darnell Savage Jr.

Doubtful: WR Geronimo Allison, TE Bobby Tonyan

Questionable: WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, DT Kenny Clark, CB Tony Brown

— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) October 18, 2019

Following the uproar of the Packers getting every favorable call in their win over the Lions, it’s unlikely they’ll get the benefit of many whistles this week. That means Aaron Rodgers and this cast of misfit receivers will need to make the most of their limited offensive opportunities on Sunday, going against a Raiders offense that can control the clock with their ground game.

#Raiders averaging league best 6 yards per carry vs 8+ men in box. Packers allowing league worst 5.92 ypc with 8+ in box

— Josh Dubow (@JoshDubowAP) October 18, 2019

Sandwiched between their Monday Night showdown with Detroit and a Sunday Night-er against the Kansas City Chiefs (which admittedly, looked way more awesome before Thursday night), this has all the makings of a trap game for the Pack. Considering Oakland already took out the Colts and Bears in similar spots, there’s also a chance that Gruden’s team is just legitimately good.

“Carr has been under-the-radar really good… If the Raiders win, it could be a major statement game. I like them +4.5 at Green Bay.” — @ClayTravis

Derek Carr leads the NFL in completion % at 73.3. pic.twitter.com/9pmsABrtM4

— Lock It In (@LockItInonFS1) October 18, 2019

Despite having been burned by the Raiders a bunch this season, I’m going to throw my support behind them this time around.

Pick: 1 unit on the Raiders moneyline (+200)