- Virutal must-win clash in playoff chase for Pack and Vikes
- Can Kirk Cousins out duel Aaron Rodgers on Sunday Night?
- Picking the perfect prop bets for a Sunday win
There’s only one way to go after a Week 11 goose egg. Up.
Yes, the Football Gods were not kind to us last week, but that’s just the way it goes sometimes. No worry. We’re channeling our inner Marshawn Lynch this week, as we’re regrouping big time and delivering you some Ws.
It’s an NFC North biggie between the visiting Packers and the host Vikings. Both teamswould like to catch the Bears for the division crown, but more than anything, both teams need wins to stay in the playoff picture.
Let’s get to it.
Prop #1: Cousins Will Have the Better Passing Stats
|Quarterback||Odds to Have More Passing Yards at BetOnline|
Vegas be trippin’ on this one.
In their memorable Week 2 tie, Cousins produced one of the best games of his young Vikings career, tossing for 425 yards and four TDs. Rodgers was no slouch, but he threw for 281 yards and one TD.
According to the NFL's official play-by-play data, the Packers had a 98.1% chance of winning yesterday before Kirk Cousins threw this touchdown pass to Adam Thielen, into one of the tiniest windows you'll ever see, while getting drilled by Mike Daniels: pic.twitter.com/jPkYsZDxqM
— Nick Olson (@NicholasJOlson) September 17, 2018
Most weeks, Rodgers does the main carrying, but his special teams was massive in this contest. Not only did Mason Crosby bang five field goals on the day, but the unit also found pay dirt.
— HeavensBarstool (@HeavensHawkeye) September 16, 2018
The other thing to note is that Cousins needs to chuck it all over the field to succeed.
With Dalvin Cook injured for stretches and Latavius Murray mostly ineffective, the Vikings’ 31st-ranked rushing attack isn’t doing them any favors.
— Eric Rosenthal (@ericsports) November 19, 2018
Plus, Cousins would like to bounce back from another dismal showing under the prime time lights. Last week’s SNF loss to the Bears put him at 4-12 in such games.
Couple that with Green Bay possibly finding their 1A running back in Aaron Jones, who currently leads the NFL at 6.36 yards a tote, and the Packers’ willingness to balance out their pass with run, and you’ve got yourself win no. 1. Let’s move on.
Prop #2: Expect a Short Yardage Touchdown
|The Packers/Vikings Shortest TD||MyBookie Odds|
|Under 1.5 yards||-125|
|Over 1.5 yards||-105|
This is just a deep dive into the numbers, and there appears to be an appetite for each team to surrender these scores from the goal line.
The Packers have allowed five such scores from in close, most recently in their last game against the Seahawks. They’ve also punched in three of their own.
Those statistics are identical to the Vikings, the most recent happening two weeks ago in their win over the Lions.
More than that, with two pass-happy offenses, every shot to the endzone brings a chance at pass interference and the ball automatically placed at the 1-yard line.
The Vikings have so far drawn six pass interference penalties this year and been flagged for three. The Packer D has surrendered five pass interference penalties and been awarded two in their games this season.
Prop #3: Davante Adams Will Shine
|Will Adams have at least 122 yards receiving?||BetOnline Odds|
We end with the major catching weapon Rodgers can rely on. Adams is coming off a monster night against the Seahawks, hauling in 10 balls for 166 yards.
Davante Adams hit em with like 3 moves right off the jumppic.twitter.com/usb8t6WPUp
— Sports ReUp (@SportsReUp) November 16, 2018
It was his best output of the season, and a bounce back from two straight sub-60 yard receiving games (he has had just one of those all year before Weeks 9 and 10).
The more desperate team has to be the Packers, so expect Adams to figure into the mix early and often – enough to land you a nice payout.
Let's have fun and keep it civil.