Week 14 Monday Night Football Props (Vikings vs Seahawks)

• The Minnesota Vikings visit the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football for Week 14
• Which players will be key to Seattle extending their current three-game winning streak?
• Can TE Kyle Rudolph offer some prop betting opportunities in the Vikings’ passing game?

Week 14’s Monday Night Football matchup features the 6-5-1 Minnesota Vikings visiting the 7-5 Seattle Seahawks. We dig into the prop cards to find the three best bets for this match on MNF.

Prop #1: Chris Carson To Have More Carries Than Dalvin Cook & To Rush For At Least 55 Yards

*For more options please follow the link in the table. All odds taken on 12/08/18.

The Seahawks have emerged as the league’s top rushing team and much of that has to do with the performance of Chris Carson. Carson is Seattle’s leading rusher with 704 yards for an average of 70.4 YPG.

Handing the rock to Carson seems to be a winning formula for Seattle. When Carson has hit double-digit carries of 13 or more the Hawks are 6-1. When he’s carried less than 13 (six, seven and eight) they are 0-3. During Seattle’s current three-game winning streak he’s carried the ball 13, 16 and 17 times.

Carson has definitely solidified himself as the lead back as next highest carries total during their winnng streak by a fellow RB has been eight (Rashad Penny). With Penny listed as questionable with an ankle injury, Carson could also potentially handle a heavier workload.

Having maintained a convincing grip on the Seahawks' lead back job, Chris Carson can be confidently slotted into the RB2 spot of anyone who's rostered him.

Check out @evansilva's Week 13 Matchups for every fantasy-relevant player here: https://t.co/qfILQIiZWi pic.twitter.com/VRp86CJ4z6

— Rotoworld (@rotoworld) November 30, 2018

Contrast that to the backfield of the Vikings, which is a little more balanced between Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray.

In their past four games together the Cook/Murray duo have a carries split of 9/4, 10/11, 9/4 and 10/10. Further, only one time all season has Cook carried the ball more than ten times and that came in Week 1.

Chris Carson Rushing Yards Last 5 Games

On the season, Carson has only finished under 55 yards in three of his ten games. One of those three he finished just shy with 51 once.

Pick 1: Chris Carson To Have More Carries Than Dalvin Cook & To Rush For At Least 55 Yards

Prop #2: Tyler Lockett To Have At Least 4 Receptions

The Seahawks’ passing game has been most successful when Russell Wilson looks to the team’s top WR Tyler Lockett. The two have connected often as Lockett leads the team in targets (55), receptions (44), yards (713) and TDs (9).

Going up against a Vikings run defense which ranks seventh in YPG could be enough to see some extra involvement from Seattle receivers.

Hitting on four receptions would be just slightly over his average of 3.67 receptions per game. However, in three of his past four games he’s hit his season-high of five receptions. Overall Lockett has finished with four or five catches on six occasions.

Russell Wilson's passer rating when targeting his WR1 (by targets):

2018: Tyler Lockett (158.3)
2017: Doug Baldwin (103.7)
2016: Doug Baldwin (119.7)
2015: Doug Baldwin (142.8)
2014: Doug Baldwin (103.2)
2013: Golden Tate (108.6)
2012: Sidney Rice (124.7)

— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) December 7, 2018

With fellow WR Doug Baldwin listed as questionable with a hip injury, Lockett could be relied upon even further in Seattle’s passing game.

Pete Carroll says Doug Baldwin has "barely made it through the week" with a groin injury. Related to previous injury. Will be a game-time decision.

— Mike Vorel (@mikevorel) December 8, 2018

Pick 2: Tyler Lockett To Have At Least 4 Receptions

Prop #3: Kyle Rudolph To Have At Least 3 Receptions & 30 Receiving Yards

While Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs get most of the headlines in the Vikes’ passing game, TE Kyle Rudolph is typically efficient in a supporting role himself.

Rudolph has 46 catches on the year which ranks him eighth overall in the league for TEs.

You’ll have to lay a little juice here but it’s rare to be able to find any value when selecting totals this low.

While Rudolph rarely goes off for a huge day, he’s caught at least three passes in eight of 12 games this season – twice he’s caught four, three times five and on two occasions he’s caught seven.

Last year Kyle Rudolph had the best hands of any tight end, with only one drop on the entire year.

This year, Rudolph again has the best hands of any tight end, with zero drops on the year—along with some spectacular contested catches: pic.twitter.com/aoYsSPuFia

— Nick Olson (@NickOlsonNFL) December 6, 2018

In the past two games, Rudolph has finished with 38 and 63 receiving yards – 63 was a season-high and he’s reached at least 30 on eight occasions. What’s great about Rudolph is that he’s typically used for mid-range passing situations.

Rudolph averages 10.1 yards per catch. His longest reception in ten games this season has been at least 16 yards as well. If form holds true he could be more than halfway to the receiving total of this prop with just one catch.

Rudolph Receptions & Receiving Yards Last 5 Games

Pick 3: Kyle Rudolph To Have At Least 3 Receptions & 30 Receiving Yards